Sport Tipps

Stadium Background

Vitoria Sernache vs Varzim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal
Unser Tipp

Spielereignisse

16' Event
Lucas Daniel
76' Event
Silva F.
84'
Tavares D.

Spielzusammenfassung

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

90%
Vitoria Sernache
6%
Unentschieden
4%
Varzim
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Vitoria Sernache

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Vitoria Sernache have won more games recently than Varzim.
  • Vitoria Sernache are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Vitoria Sernache have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitoria Sernache, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 85%
Über 1.5 Tore 75.5%
Über 2.5 Tore 25%
Über 3.5 Tore 22%
Über 4.5 Tore 10%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 28.8%
Vitoria Sernache Ohne Gegentor 68%
Varzim Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Vitoria Sernache Varzim
Spiele 29 29
Siege 13 11
Unentschieden 8 3
Niederlagen 8 15
Erzielte Tore 1 1.28
Gegentore 0.93 1.31
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.50 1.56
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

19. Sept. 2026 Taça de Portugal
Vitoria Sernache vs Varzim
2:1

Schlüsselspieler-Analyse

Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen

Vitoria Sernache Vergleich

Top-Torschütze Lucas Daniel
1 Tore
Top-Vorlagengeber Henrique Cavalcante
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.15
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.75

Varzim Vergleich

Top-Torschütze Silva F.
1 Tore
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.42
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Vitoria Sernache 95 / 100
Varzim 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Vitoria Sernache Varzim

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Vitoria Sernache Win (1)
Nebentipp Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS-Prognose No (NG)
Über/Unter Tipp Under 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Difficult form: Varzim registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Vitoria Sernache's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Varzim has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Tor-Trends

Vitoria Sernache VS Varzim
1.25 Erzielte Tore 2
1.13 Kassierte Tore 1.75
63% Über 1.5 88%
50% Über 2.5 88%
25% Über 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Sernache

(Home)
01 Nov
Lusitano GC
0 : 1
Vitoria Sernache
25 Oct
Santarem
2 : 1
Vitoria Sernache
18 Oct
Brito
0 : 1
Vitoria Sernache
10 Oct
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Louletano
19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1
Varzim
Page 1 of 6

Varzim

(Away)
31 Oct
Leca
2 : 0
Varzim
25 Oct
Varzim
2 : 4
Vitoria Guimaraes B
11 Oct
Sao Joao de Ver
2 : 1
Varzim
19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1
Varzim
12 Sept
Varzim
1 : 2
SC Vianense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sporting CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcains 1
Sertanense 0
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Amora -
TBD -
Uniao Da Serra 5
Uniao de Pombal 0
Montijo 0
Atletico CP 4
TBD -
Lagoa -
Bombarralense -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
Rebordosa 2
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 5
CF Os Gavionenses 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Casa Pia -
O Elvas CAD 9
Sao Roque 0
TBD -
Leiria -
Rebordelo 0
GD Braganca 4
Celoricense 1
Pevidem 0
Oliveirense 4
Penalva do Castelo 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
Covilha 0
Mortagua FC 1
TBD -
Leca -
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ermesinde 1
Paredes 3
Maria de Fonte 1
Uniao Nogueirense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
GD Alcochetense 8
Fayal 0
C.F. Benfica 3
Viana Alentejo 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Ac. Fundao 0
Guarda FC 6
TBD -
Chaves -
UD Ovarense -
TBD -
Fornos de Algodres 0
Os Marialvas 4
Vila Pouca -
TBD -
TBD -
Brito -
GD Os Nazarenos 0
Vitoria Sernache 3
Varzim 5
Trofense 1
SC Barreiro 2
FC Madalena 5
TBD -
Lusitania FC -
Correlha 1
AD Limianos 4
Ferreiras 0
Aljustrelense 3
Santarem -
TBD -
Merelinense 2
Atletico Arcos 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Olhanense -
TBD -
Messejanense 0
Portel 8
Oliveira Hospital 1
GD Sourense 0
Uniao Montemor 1
Juv. Evora 4
ACDR Lamelas -
TBD -
Portalegrense 0
Santo Antonio 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
SC Salgueiros 2
Sousense 1
TBD -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Nogueirense 1
Naval 1893 3
TBD -
FC Felgueiras -
Pacos Ferreira 0
AD Fafe 1
TBD -
Lajense -
Fazendense 1
Mocarriense 0
TBD -
Figueirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Machico 2
Camacha 3
Florgrade 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Castro Daire -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Torreense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Caldas SC 1
Sintrense 3
TBD -
AFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Imortal -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alverca -
Estrela Calheta -
TBD -
SC Vianense 8
Minas de Argozelo 0
Cinfaes 1
SC Espinho 0
TBD -
Leixoes -
Serpa 2
Grandolense 0
Castrense 0
Louletano 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Malveira 2
Mafra 3
TBD -
Tirsense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Beira Mar 4
Uniao Lamas 3
Lusitano GC 1
CF Os Belenenses 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Sacavenense 5
SC Angrense 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
Regua 0
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 1
Vila Mea 0
Fatima 3
SB Castelo Branco 1
TBD -
Vinhais -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Anca -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 3
Pacos de Brandao 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
1º Dezembro 0
Real SC 1
TBD -
Academica -
CDC Montalegre 0
Ponte da Barca 1
TBD -
Amarante FC -
1/64-finals
Sporting CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcains 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Amora 3
Uniao Da Serra 4
Atletico CP 4
Lagoa 1
Bombarralense 0
Vizela 1
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
O Elvas CAD 0
Leiria 2
GD Braganca 6
Celoricense 1
Oliveirense 1
Penafiel 2
Mortagua FC 0
Leca 2
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paredes 5
Maria de Fonte 1
TBD -
Famalicao -
GD Alcochetense 2
C.F. Benfica 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
Guarda FC 2
Chaves 3
UD Ovarense 0
Os Marialvas 1
Vila Pouca 0
Brito 5
Vitoria Sernache 2
Varzim 1
FC Madalena 1
Lusitania FC 3
AD Limianos 3
Aljustrelense 0
Santarem 5
Merelinense 0
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Olhanense 1
Portel 0
Oliveira Hospital 3
Juv. Evora 2
ACDR Lamelas 4
Santo Antonio 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
SC Salgueiros 1
Feirense 0
TBD -
Estoril -
Naval 1893 0
FC Felgueiras 2
AD Fafe 4
Lajense 0
Fazendense 6
Figueirense 1
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Camacha 0
Florgrade 1
Castro Daire 0
Portimonense 1
Torreense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Sintrense 0
AFS 2
TBD -
Moreirense -
Imortal 1
Tondela 5
TBD -
Alverca -
Estrela Calheta 1
SC Vianense 3
Cinfaes 0
Leixoes 4
Serpa 1
Louletano 2
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Mafra 3
Tirsense 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Beira Mar 0
CF Os Belenenses 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Sacavenense 0
SC Farense 1
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 0
Fatima 4
Vinhais 1
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Anca 1
Sanjoanense 4
TBD -
Nacional -
Real SC 1
Academica 4
Ponte da Barca 0
Amarante FC 2
1/32-finals
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal 1
Uniao Da Serra 2
Atletico CP 1
Vizela 0
FC Alpendorada 0
Casa Pia 1
Leiria 2
GD Braganca 1
Penafiel 0
Leca 1
FC Porto -
TBD -
Paredes 1
Famalicao 0
GD Alcochetense 1
Maritimo 2
Chaves 2
Os Marialvas 1
Brito 0
Vitoria Sernache 1
Lusitania FC 2
AD Limianos 1
Santarem 2
Gil Vicente 3
Olhanense 2
Oliveira Hospital 1
ACDR Lamelas 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
TBD -
Braga -
SC Salgueiros 1
Estoril 2
FC Felgueiras 1
AD Fafe 0
Fazendense 1
Estrela da Amadora 2
Florgrade 1
Portimonense 2
Torreense -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
AFS 1
Moreirense 0
Tondela 2
Alverca 0
SC Vianense 1
Leixoes 0
Louletano 0
Rio Ave 1
Mafra 3
Santa Clara 2
CF Os Belenenses 3
Arouca 4
SC Farense 3
AD Marco 09 0
Fatima 1
Academico Viseu 0
Sanjoanense 1
Nacional 0
Academica 3
Amarante FC 2
1/16-finals
Sporting CP -
Uniao Da Serra -
Atletico CP -
Casa Pia -
Leiria -
Leca -
FC Porto -
Paredes -
Maritimo -
Chaves -
Vitoria Sernache -
Lusitania FC -
Gil Vicente -
Olhanense -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Braga -
Estoril -
FC Felgueiras -
Estrela da Amadora -
Portimonense -
Torreense -
Benfica -
AFS -
Tondela -
SC Vianense -
Rio Ave -
Mafra -
Arouca -
SC Farense -
Fatima -
Sanjoanense -
Academica -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -