Προβλέψεις Σπορ
Περίληψη Αγώνα
A one-off knockout match in the National League Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Gateshead at 1.34 goals for, 1.66 against; Derby U21 at 1.41 for, 2.31 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (2.46 - 1.40) back Gateshead to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Πιθανότητες Νίκης
Προκύπτει από 10.000 προσομοιώσεις φόρμας και έδρας
Σιγουριά Μοντέλου
Συνολικός δείκτης σιγουριάς
- Look at the last few games and Gateshead come out ahead of Derby U21 on wins alone.
- Gateshead are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Gateshead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
- Η υψηλή αποτελεσματικότητα δείχνει παιχνίδι με πολλά γκολ (Πιθανότητα Over 2.5: 78%).
Πιθανότητες Γκολ
Εκτιμήσεις για αγορές γκολ βάσει ιστορικού xG
Ανάλυση Πρόσφατης Φόρμας
Μέσοι όροι ανά αγώνα
| Στατιστικό | Gateshead | Derby U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Αγώνες | 32 | 29 |
| Νίκες | 11 | 6 |
| Ισοπαλίες | 7 | 7 |
| Ήττες | 14 | 16 |
| Γκολ που Σημειώθηκαν | 1.34 | 1.41 |
| Γκολ που Δέχτηκαν | 1.66 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.46 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Ιστορικά ποσοστά επιτυχίας στις βασικές αγορές
Δείκτης Momentum SokaPicks
Δείκτης απόδοσης συνυπολογίζοντας κούραση & αντίπαλο (0-100)
Δείκτης Ικανότητας Επίθεσης & Άμυνας
Πρόβλεψη Μοντέλου
Προσομοιωμένα σκορ και βασικές αγορές
Έξυπνα Insights
Ιστορικές τάσεις που εντοπίστηκαν αυτόματα
Defensive concern: Derby U21 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Difficult form: Derby U21 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Gateshead scored in 78% of their last 32 games.
Gateshead went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Τάσεις Σκοραρίσματος
Recent Form & Match History
Gateshead
(Home)Derby U21
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Scunthorpe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Nottingham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 | Wealdstone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 7 | Derby U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 8 | Stoke City U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norwich U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | West Ham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 4 | Ipswich U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | Braintree | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Hornchurch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 8 | Worthing FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Boreham Wood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Tamworth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 6 | Solihull Moors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 7 | Leeds U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:10 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Truro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sutton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 4 | West Brom U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 5 | Woking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 6 | Leicester U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 7 | Boston United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |