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Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Αγγλία Αγγλία

FA Cup Stadium MK, Milton Keynes
Σάβ 7 Νοε 2026
VS
03:00 μ.μ.
Η Πρόβλεψή μας

Περίληψη Αγώνα

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Swindon have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while Milton Keynes Dons have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.82. Past meetings favor Milton Keynes Dons slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 14 Μαρ 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.06) point toward Milton Keynes Dons. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Πιθανότητες Νίκης

Προκύπτει από 10.000 προσομοιώσεις φόρμας και έδρας

60%
Milton Keynes Dons
22%
Ισοπαλίες
18%
Swindon
Πρόβλεψη ισοπαλίας: 22% Φαβορί: Milton Keynes Dons

Σιγουριά Μοντέλου

Συνολικός δείκτης σιγουριάς

82% / Πολύ Υψηλό Σιγουριάς
  • Swindon haven't matched Milton Keynes Dons's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Milton Keynes Dons's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Milton Keynes Dons have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Milton Keynes Dons, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Η υψηλή αποτελεσματικότητα δείχνει παιχνίδι με πολλά γκολ (Πιθανότητα Over 2.5: 78%).

Πιθανότητες Γκολ

Εκτιμήσεις για αγορές γκολ βάσει ιστορικού xG

Over 0.5 Γκολ 92%
Over 1.5 Γκολ 82%
Over 2.5 Γκολ 78%
Over 3.5 Γκολ 38%
Over 4.5 Γκολ 17%
Να Σκοράρουν και οι Δύο (G/G) 74.2%
Milton Keynes Dons Να μην δεχτεί γκολ 20%
Swindon Να μην δεχτεί γκολ 10%

Ανάλυση Πρόσφατης Φόρμας

Μέσοι όροι ανά αγώνα

Στατιστικό Milton Keynes Dons Swindon
Αγώνες 28 29
Νίκες 11 10
Ισοπαλίες 10 5
Ήττες 7 14
Γκολ που Σημειώθηκαν 1.82 1.24
Γκολ που Δέχτηκαν 1.29 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Ιστορικά ποσοστά επιτυχίας στις βασικές αγορές

14 Μαρ 2026 League Two
Swindon vs Milton Keynes Dons
1:2
26 Δεκ 2025 League Two
Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon
1:0
11 Νοε 2025 EFL Trophy
Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon
0:4
3 Μαΐ 2025 League Two
Swindon vs Milton Keynes Dons
0:0
9 Νοε 2024 League Two
Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon
3:1

Δείκτης Momentum SokaPicks

Δείκτης απόδοσης συνυπολογίζοντας κούραση & αντίπαλο (0-100)

Milton Keynes Dons 58 / 100
Swindon 18 / 100
Πώς υπολογίζεται: Σταθμισμένος τύπος από φόρμα (60%), διαφορά γκολ (20%), έδρα (10%) και απουσίες (10%).

Δείκτης Ικανότητας Επίθεσης & Άμυνας

ΕΠΙΘΕΣΗ ΑΜΥΝΑ KATOXH ΠΕΙΘΑΡΧΙΑ
Milton Keynes Dons Swindon

Πρόβλεψη Μοντέλου

Προσομοιωμένα σκορ και βασικές αγορές

Κύρια Επιλογή Milton Keynes Dons Win (1)
Δεύτερη Επιλογή Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Αποτέλεσμα Yes (GG)
Over/Under Επιλογή Over 2.5

Έξυπνα Insights

Ιστορικές τάσεις που εντοπίστηκαν αυτόματα

Swindon has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Milton Keynes Dons's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Milton Keynes Dons stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Τάσεις Σκοραρίσματος

Milton Keynes Dons VS Swindon
3.13 Γκολ που Σημειώθηκαν 0.63
1.5 Γκολ που Δέχθηκαν 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Milton Keynes Dons

(Home)
31 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
6 : 1
Doncaster
27 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1
Bromley
24 Oct
Stevenage
0 : 1
Milton Keynes Dons
20 Oct
Blackpool
2 : 0
Milton Keynes Dons
17 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 1
Luton
Page 1 of 6

Swindon

(Away)
31 Oct
Swindon
2 : 1
Rotherham
24 Oct
Bristol Rovers
0 : 0
Swindon
20 Oct
Barnet
1 : 3
Swindon
17 Oct
Swindon
1 : 1
Walsall
10 Oct
Swindon
0 : 1
Crewe
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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