Pronostics Sportifs
AD Pontassolense vs Macedo de Cavaleiros
Portugal
Second Division - Zona Norte 2010/2011 
Résumé du Match
This Second Division - Zona Norte 2010/2011 encounter between AD Pontassolense and Macedo de Cavaleiros promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. AD Pontassolense averages 0.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent matches. Macedo de Cavaleiros shows a form average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for AD Pontassolense, 1 wins for Macedo de Cavaleiros, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 27.03.11 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.94 for AD Pontassolense and 2.44 for Macedo de Cavaleiros, suggesting the primary value lies in the Macedo de Cavaleiros double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- AD Pontassolense a pris plus de points récemment que Macedo de Cavaleiros.
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (1.94 vs 2.44 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les visiteurs.
- Des défenses solides favorisent une rencontre fermée avec peu de buts.
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | AD Pontassolense | Macedo de Cavaleiros |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 30 | 32 |
| Victoires | 4 | 4 |
| Nuls | 8 | 8 |
| Défaites | 18 | 20 |
| Buts Marqués | 0.7 | 0.69 |
| Buts Encaissés | 1.87 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) | 4.00 | 1.88 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
AD Pontassolense
Macedo de Cavaleiros
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
AD Pontassolense have found the net in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Macedo de Cavaleiros have conceded at least one goal in 84% of their last 32 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
AD Pontassolense remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Macedo de Cavaleiros suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | U. Madeira | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 53:18 | 67 |
| 2 | Tirsense | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 40:26 | 55 |
| 3 | Chaves | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 34:21 | 51 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 40:33 | 46 |
| 5 | AD Lousada | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 46:40 | 46 |
| 6 | Maritimo B | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 36:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Vizela | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 36:29 | 43 |
| 8 | Macedo de Cavaleiros | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:29 | 43 |
| 9 | Camacha | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 34:35 | 41 |
| 10 | Oliveirense | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 31:37 | 41 |
| 11 | Merelinense | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 31:32 | 40 |
| 12 | Ribeirao | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 38:29 | 39 |
| 13 | CF Canical | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 32:42 | 33 |
| 14 | CF Andorinha | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 15 | GD Braganca | 30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 24:53 | 18 |
| 16 | AD Pontassolense | 30 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 20:55 | 15 |