Pronostics Sportifs
Résumé du Match
Al-Hilal Omdurman enters this Premier League fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 60%. Al-Hilal Omdurman averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded in recent matches. Gorilla shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Al-Hilal Omdurman, 0 wins for Gorilla, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 21.02.26 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for Al-Hilal Omdurman and 1.00 for Gorilla, suggesting the primary value lies in the Al-Hilal Omdurman double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Al-Hilal Omdurman a pris plus de points récemment que Gorilla.
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les locaux.
- Des défenses solides favorisent une rencontre fermée avec peu de buts.
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Al-Hilal Omdurman | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 31 | 30 |
| Victoires | 20 | 9 |
| Nuls | 6 | 10 |
| Défaites | 5 | 11 |
| Buts Marqués | 2.03 | 1.13 |
| Buts Encaissés | 0.71 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.13 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
Al-Hilal Omdurman
Gorilla
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
Al-Hilal Omdurman is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Gorilla will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Al-Hilal Omdurman's attacks.
Expect Al-Hilal Omdurman to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Al-Hilal Omdurman vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Gorilla, allowing Al-Hilal Omdurman's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Al-Hilal Omdurman, while Gorilla takes risks to salvage a result.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Al-Hilal Omdurman have found the net in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Gorilla have conceded at least one goal in 77% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.
Al-Hilal Omdurman remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Gorilla suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74:25 | 75 |
| 2 | APR | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41:24 | 59 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 40:30 | 56 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 34:21 | 53 |
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29:19 | 52 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Marines | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 45 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Musanze | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38:37 | 43 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:42 | 40 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:54 | 38 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 27:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Gasogi United | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:44 | 35 |
| 16 | Amagaju | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 19:38 | 35 |
| 17 | Muhanga | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 25:46 | 31 |
| 18 | Rutsiro | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 30:47 | 29 |