Pronostics Sportifs
Résumé du Match
Al Wahda enters this Division 1 2011/2012 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 57%. Al Wahda averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. Najm Sba shows a form average of 0.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Al Wahda, 0 wins for Najm Sba, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 17.05.12 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Al Wahda and 0.75 for Najm Sba, suggesting the primary value lies in the Al Wahda double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Al Wahda a pris plus de points récemment que Najm Sba.
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (1.23 vs 0.75 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les locaux.
- Des défenses solides favorisent une rencontre fermée avec peu de buts.
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Al Wahda | Najm Sba |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 38 | 27 |
| Victoires | 21 | 5 |
| Nuls | 8 | 6 |
| Défaites | 9 | 16 |
| Buts Marqués | 1.39 | 0.63 |
| Buts Encaissés | 0.79 | 1.52 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
Al Wahda
Najm Sba
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
Al Wahda is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Najm Sba will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Al Wahda's attacks.
Expect Al Wahda to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Al Wahda vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Najm Sba, allowing Al Wahda's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Al Wahda, while Najm Sba takes risks to salvage a result.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Al Wahda have found the net in 68% of their last 38 matches.
Najm Sba have conceded at least one goal in 81% of their last 27 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.
Al Wahda remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Najm Sba suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Shaab Ibb | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 39:20 | 48 |
| 2 | Al-Ittihad | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 28:20 | 48 |
| 3 | Al Oruba | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38:20 | 46 |
| 4 | Al Ahli | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:29 | 43 |
| 5 | Al Hilal | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 40 |
| 6 | Al Shabab Hadramaut | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 31:30 | 38 |
| 7 | Taliat Taiz | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 27:22 | 37 |
| 8 | Al Shula | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 29:19 | 36 |
| 9 | Al Wahda | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 31:34 | 34 |
| 10 | Al-Tilal | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 20:26 | 33 |
| 11 | Al Baydaa | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 27:38 | 31 |
| 12 | Al Shaab Sana | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Al Ahli Taizz | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | 23 |
| 14 | Najm Sba | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 16:41 | 18 |