Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Castanhal vs Guarani

Brésil Brésil

Copa Betano do Brasil Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho, Castanhal
mer. 25 févr. 2026
2 - 1
06:30 PM
Notre Pronostic

Événements du Match

7' Event
Daniel GTA
23' Event
Lucca
1' Event
Guizao
(Pénalty)

Résumé du Match

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

36%
Castanhal
44%
Nuls
20%
Guarani
Projection de nul: 44% Favori: Draw

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

71% / Moyen de Confiance
  • Castanhal have managed 1.03 goals a game lately — Guarani are scoring more at 1.39.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Castanhal, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Des défenses solides favorisent une rencontre fermée avec peu de buts.

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 85%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 69%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 25%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 22%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 10%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Castanhal Match sans Encaisser 10%
Guarani Match sans Encaisser 68%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Castanhal Guarani
Matchs Joués 30 28
Victoires 10 10
Nuls 8 9
Défaites 12 9
Buts Marqués 1.03 1.39
Buts Encaissés 1.2 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.19
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

25 févr. 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Castanhal vs Guarani
2:1

Analyse d'Impact des Joueurs Clés

Joueurs majeurs et implication sur les buts attendus

Castanhal Comparer

Meilleur Buteur Daniel GTA
1 Buts
Moyenne xG / match 0.8
Moyenne xA / match 0.52

Guarani Comparer

Meilleur Buteur Lucca
1 Buts
Moyenne xG / match 1.99
Moyenne xA / match 1.22

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Castanhal 34 / 100
Guarani 32 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castanhal Guarani

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal GUA Win (2)
Pronostic Secondaire Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
Pronostic BTTS No (NG)
Prono Plus/Moins Under 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Castanhal scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Guarani conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Castanhal has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tendances de Buts

Castanhal VS Guarani
0 Buts Marqués 1.88
2.5 Buts Encaissés 0.88
50% Plus de 1.5 88%
50% Plus de 2.5 38%
50% Plus de 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Castanhal

(Home)
11 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 4
Nova Iguacu
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1
Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Castanhal
1 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
25 Feb
Castanhal
2 : 1
Guarani
22 Feb
Paysandu PA
1 : 0
Castanhal
Page 1 of 6

Guarani

(Away)
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
27 Jul
Guarani
3 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
12 Jul
Paysandu PA
3 : 2
Guarani
04 Jul
Guarani
0 : 0
Floresta EC
28 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 1
Guarani
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
TBD -
Sport Recife -
Anapolis -
TBD -
TBD -
Cianorte -
Rio Branco ES -
TBD -
TBD -
Athletic Club -
Ypiranga FC -
TBD -
Ji-Parana 2
Pantanal 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Ivinhema 1
Independente AP 0
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
America RN -
TBD -
TBD -
Gremio Atletico Sampaio -
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
America MG -
TBD -
America de Propria 1
Tirol 2
TBD -
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Corinthians -
Bragantino -
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Mirassol -
Gremio -
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Vasco da Gama AC 1
Velo Clube 2
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Vila Nova FC -
ASA -
TBD -
TBD -
Operario MS -
Confianca -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tombense -
TBD -
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Oratorio -
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista -
TBD -
TBD -
Maringa FC -
Retro -
TBD -
TBD -
Uberlandia -
Gama 2
Monte Roraima 0
TBD -
Goias -
Trem -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense-PI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Joinville -
TBD -
TBD -
CSA -
Sao Bernardo -
TBD -
TBD -
Alagoinhas -
Sao Luiz -
TBD -
TBD -
Maranhao -
Ceara -
TBD -
Araguaina 0
Primavera EC 3
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuna Luso -
TBD -
TBD -
Tocantinopolis -
EC Juventude -
TBD -
Galvez 1
Guapore 2
Bare 0
Madureira 3
TBD -
ABC -
Aguia De Maraba -
TBD -
TBD -
Independencia Futebol Clube -
Portuguesa -
TBD -
TBD -
AE Altos -
Avai -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Vitoria -
Paysandu PA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
TBD -
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Maracana -
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Vasco -
Capital FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Manaus FC -
Londrina -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Penedense -
Betim FC 1
Piaui 0
TBD -
Operario-PR -
Juazeirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Capital -
TBD -
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Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
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Operario VG -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Velho -
Atletico GO -
TBD -
Primavera AC 2
Bragantino PA 1
Ponte Preta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SER Caxias do Sul -
TBD -
TBD -
Guarany de Bage -
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
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Santa Catarina 2
IAPE 0
TBD -
Cuiaba -
Ceilandia -
TBD -
TBD -
Jacuipense -
Mixto -
TBD -
TBD -
Botafogo PB -
Novorizontino -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional-AM (Manaus) -
Castanhal -
TBD -
TBD -
Guarani -
Nova Iguacu -
TBD -
TBD -
Lagarto -
Manauara -
TBD -
TBD -
Itabaiana -
Fortaleza -
TBD -
Maguary 1
Laguna RN 0
Santa Cruz -
TBD -
TBD -
Sousa -
CRB -
TBD -
Porto-BA 2
Serra Branca 1
Imperatriz -
TBD -
TBD -
Amazonas -
Figueirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Azuriz -
Santos -
TBD -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/128-finals
Desportiva Ferroviaria 0
Sport Recife 1
Anapolis 3
Cianorte 1
Rio Branco ES 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 2
Ji-Parana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Ivinhema 2
Volta Redonda 4
America RN 3
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
TBD -
America MG 2
Tirol 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Velo Clube 0
Vila Nova FC 1
ASA 1
Operario MS 2
Confianca -
TBD -
Tombense 2
Oratorio 1
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista 2
Maringa FC 3
Retro 1
Uberlandia 2
Gama 2
Goias 3
Trem 0
Fluminense-PI 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Joinville 1
CSA 0
Sao Bernardo 2
Alagoinhas 0
Sao Luiz 0
Maranhao 1
Ceara 2
Primavera EC 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuna Luso 4
Tocantinopolis 1
EC Juventude 5
Guapore 0
Madureira 1
ABC 0
Aguia De Maraba 2
Independencia Futebol Clube 0
Portuguesa 5
AE Altos 1
Avai 3
Porto Vitoria 0
Paysandu PA -
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ 1
Maracana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Capital FC 1
Manaus FC 2
Londrina 1
SC Penedense 0
Betim FC 0
Operario-PR 2
Juazeirense 1
Capital 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Operario VG 1
Porto Velho 2
Atletico GO 1
Primavera AC 0
Ponte Preta -
TBD -
SER Caxias do Sul 0
Guarany de Bage 1
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
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TBD -
Santa Catarina 2
Cuiaba 1
Ceilandia 1
Jacuipense 2
Mixto 2
Botafogo PB 1
Novorizontino 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0
Castanhal 2
Guarani 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Lagarto 1
Manauara 3
Itabaiana 1
Fortaleza 4
Maguary 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sousa 1
CRB 6
Porto-BA 0
Imperatriz 0
Amazonas 3
Figueirense 1
Azuriz 0
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/64-finals
Sport Recife 2
Anapolis 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 1
America RN 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
America MG 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 2
Operario MS 1
Confianca 2
Tombense 0
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 3
Uberlandia 2
Goias 3
Fluminense-PI 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Joinville 0
Sao Bernardo 1
Maranhao 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuna Luso 1
EC Juventude 2
Madureira 0
Aguia De Maraba 1
Portuguesa 2
Avai 1
Paysandu PA 3
Portuguesa RJ 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Manaus FC 0
Londrina 1
Operario-PR 2
Capital 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Velho 0
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 1
Guarany de Bage 0
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Catarina 0
Jacuipense 1
Mixto 0
Novorizontino 3
Castanhal 0
Nova Iguacu 4
Manauara 0
Fortaleza 1
Sousa 0
CRB 2
Amazonas 0
Figueirense 1
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/32-finals
Sport Recife 1
Athletic Club 3
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 0
Confianca 1
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 0
Goias 1
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
Sao Bernardo 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
EC Juventude 3
Aguia De Maraba 0
Portuguesa 2
Paysandu PA 3
TBD -
Vasco -
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 0
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
Jacuipense 1
Novorizontino 0
Nova Iguacu 0
Fortaleza 1
CRB 1
Figueirense 0
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/16-finals
Athletic Club 3
Internacional 5
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0
Corinthians 2
Bragantino 2
Mirassol 3
Gremio 5
Confianca 0
Botafogo RJ 1
Chapecoense-SC 2
Goias 2
Cruzeiro 3
Atletico-MG 4
Ceara 3
Sao Paulo 2
EC Juventude 3
Paysandu PA 2
Vasco 4
Operario-PR 1
Fluminense 2
Athletico-PR 1
Atletico GO 0
Flamengo RJ 2
Vitoria 3
Palmeiras 7
Jacuipense 1
Fortaleza 2
CRB 1
Santos 2
Coritiba 0
Bahia 2
Remo 5
1/8-finals
Internacional 3
Corinthians 2
Mirassol 1
Gremio 2
Chapecoense-SC 0
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 1
EC Juventude 0
Vasco 3
Fluminense 1
Athletico-PR 2
Vitoria 4
Palmeiras 5
Fortaleza 3
Santos 1
Remo 0
Quarter-finals
Internacional -
Gremio -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
Vasco -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
Santos -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -