Pronostics Sportifs
Résumé du Match
Ch. Odesa 2 enters this Druha Liga 2010/2011 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 56%. Ch. Odesa 2 averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Yednist shows a form average of 0.7 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Ch. Odesa 2, 1 wins for Yednist, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 22.10.11 ended in a 2:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.10 for Ch. Odesa 2 and 1.31 for Yednist, suggesting the primary value lies in the Ch. Odesa 2 double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Ch. Odesa 2 a pris plus de points récemment que Yednist.
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (1.10 vs 1.31 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les locaux.
- Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 62%).
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Ch. Odesa 2 | Yednist |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 33 | 30 |
| Victoires | 7 | 3 |
| Nuls | 10 | 6 |
| Défaites | 16 | 21 |
| Buts Marqués | 1.03 | 0.67 |
| Buts Encaissés | 1.82 | 2.4 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
Ch. Odesa 2
Yednist
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
Ch. Odesa 2 is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Yednist will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Ch. Odesa 2's attacks.
Expect Ch. Odesa 2 to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Ch. Odesa 2 vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Yednist, allowing Ch. Odesa 2's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Ch. Odesa 2, while Yednist takes risks to salvage a result.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Ch. Odesa 2 have found the net in 52% of their last 33 matches.
Yednist have conceded at least one goal in 86% of their last 29 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.00 goals per match.
Ch. Odesa 2 remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Yednist suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MFK Mykolaiv | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 29:12 | 48 |
| 2 | Sumy | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 38:13 | 45 |
| 3 | Nova Kakhovka | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 38:17 | 44 |
| 4 | Bastion Illichivsk | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 38:16 | 43 |
| 5 | Desna | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38:24 | 40 |
| 6 | Ch. Odesa 2 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 27:17 | 36 |
| 7 | Skala Stryj | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 26:19 | 35 |
| 8 | Yednist | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 39:26 | 32 |
| 9 | FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 19:29 | 22 |
| 10 | Nyva Ternopil | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 17:51 | 14 |
| 11 | FC Ros Bila Tserkva | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 20:58 | 8 |
| 12 | Veres Rivne | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 4:51 | -3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpik Donetsk | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 45:15 | 53 |
| 2 | SC Poltava | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 41:21 | 48 |
| 3 | Kremin | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 37:20 | 43 |
| 4 | Stal Kamianske | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 5 | Kryvbas Krivoy Rog | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32:26 | 35 |
| 6 | Shakhter Sverdlovsk | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 25:30 | 33 |
| 7 | Shakhtar 3 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 38:37 | 29 |
| 8 | FC Mariupol II | 22 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 20:37 | 27 |
| 9 | Hirnyk-Sport | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 17:29 | 22 |
| 10 | SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 2 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 18:43 | 19 |
| 11 | Olkom Melitopol | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 21:22 | 17 |
| 12 | Dnipro II | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13:41 | 9 |