Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Chimney vs Crewe

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

This match ends 0-5, with Crewe advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

40%
Chimney
33%
Nuls
27%
Crewe
Projection de nul: 33% Favori: Chimney

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

70% / Moyen de Confiance
  • Crewe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chimney a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Crewe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Crewe, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 95%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 99%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 100%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 95%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 71%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 32%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 75%
Chimney Match sans Encaisser 10%
Crewe Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Chimney Crewe
Matchs Joués 31 30
Victoires 3 11
Nuls 1 1
Défaites 27 18
Buts Marqués 1.1 1.6
Buts Encaissés 3.58 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 3.35
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

20 août 2016 Irish Cup
Chimney vs Crewe
0:5
15 mai 2004 IFA Championship 2
Chimney vs Crewe
0:0
20 déc. 2003 IFA Championship 2
Crewe vs Chimney
1:3

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Chimney 38 / 100
Crewe 26 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chimney Crewe

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal CHI Win (1)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Defensive concern: Crewe conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Crewe lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Chimney found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Tendances de Buts

Chimney VS Crewe
1.83 Buts Marqués 2.88
3.83 Buts Encaissés 1.88
100% Plus de 1.5 100%
100% Plus de 2.5 100%
67% Plus de 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chimney

(Home)
02 Nov
Chimney
0 : 3
Valley Rangers
27 Sept
Glebe
1 : 2
Chimney
17 Aug
Chimney
5 : 1
Laurelvale
18 Aug
Grove
5 : 2
Chimney
19 Aug
Hanover
8 : 2
Chimney
Page 1 of 7

Crewe

(Away)
22 Jul
Crewe
0 : 8
Bangor FC
20 Jul
Crewe
1 : 3
Dollingstown
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 3
Ballymena
28 Sept
Crewe
3 : 4
Crumlin United
17 Aug
Crewe
:
Donegal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill -
TBD -
TBD -
Nortel -
St. Marys -
TBD -
Donegal 1
Oxford Stars 3
Glebe 4
Iveagh Utd 0
Portaferry Rovers 2
Silverwood 3
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Moyola 3
Craigavon City 1
Grove 6
Sport & Leisure 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Markethill 4
St. Patricks Young 5
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Laurelvale 1
TBD -
Ards Rangers -
Abbey Villa 5
Holywood 0
Saintfield 0
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Crewe 5
Chimney 0
TBD -
Ardglass -
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 0
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Sofia Farmer 2
Lower Maze 1
Banbridge 0
Limavady 2
Donard -
TBD -
Tullyvallen Rangers 0
Windmill 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 4
Rosario Youth 0
Dromore Amateurs 0
Queens University 14
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Foundry 1
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers -
Comber Rec 4
Brantwood 3
Ballywalter Recreation 1
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC -
TBD -
TBD -
St Luke's -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shorts -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 0
Dunloy 3
Strabane Athletic -
TBD -
Dundonald 2
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne Technical Old Boys -
Desertmartin 2
Newcastle 0
TBD -
Tobermore -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown -
Killymoon -
Hanover 2
Sirocco 3
Newry City 7
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 4
Rathfern Rangers 0
Dungannon Rovers 0
U. U. Jordanstown 4
Barn -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Drumaness -
TBD -
Bloomfield 3
Seapatrick 4
Camlough -
TBD -
TBD -
Dromara -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Bangor Amateurs FC -
TBD -
Ballynahinch United -
Crumlin Star -
TBD -
Immaculata 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart -
TBD -
Magherafelt 1
Moneyslane FC 6
Islandmagee 4
Ballymacash 1
TBD -
Killyleagh Youth -
Valley Rangers 3
Newtowne FC 1
TBD -
Seagoe -
Coagh Utd 2
Malachians 1
Banbridge Rangers 4
Derriaghy 5
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Glenavon -
1/128-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill -
Nortel -
St. Marys 4
Oxford Stars 5
Glebe 3
Silverwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Grove 5
Sport & Leisure 2
St. Patricks Young 1
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 4
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings 2
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 5
Ardglass 1
Crumlin United 2
Ballymoney 3
Sofia Farmer 2
Limavady 0
Donard -
Windmill -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Queens University 0
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Lisburn Rangers 4
Comber Rec 5
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC 1
St Luke's 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shorts 8
Dunloy 0
Strabane Athletic 4
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Desertmartin 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Sirocco 1
Newry City 1
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
U. U. Jordanstown 2
Barn 1
Dundela 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Seapatrick 0
Camlough 0
Dromara 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Ballynahinch United 1
Crumlin Star 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 2
Moneyslane FC 0
Islandmagee 5
Killyleagh Youth 3
Valley Rangers 7
Seagoe 0
Coagh Utd 1
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/64-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 1
Oxford Stars 0
Glebe 0
Grove 1
Sport & Leisure 3
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 2
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 3
Ballymoney 1
Sofia Farmer 0
Windmill 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Comber Rec 2
St Luke's 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shorts 2
East Belfast 0
Wakehurst 1
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 5
Newington FC 4
Downshire Y.M. 2
Dundela 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Dromara 1
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 5
Killyleagh Youth 0
Valley Rangers 0
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/32-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 6
Grove 2
Sport & Leisure 1
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 4
Windmill 3
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 3
St Luke's 0
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
Shorts 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Dundela 3
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
Drumaness 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart 4
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/16-finals
Dungannon 3
Dergview 0
Richhill 1
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 2
Knockbreda 1
Ballinamallard 0
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 2
Ards 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
PSNI 2
Institute 4
Ballyclare 2
Glentoran 1
Linfield 2
Coleraine 5
Carrick Rangers 1
Annagh 0
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Lurgan Celtic 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 2
Portadown 2
Larne 1
Fivemiletown 0
Loughgall 3
Armagh 2
Trojans 1
Portstewart 1
Glenavon 4
1/8-finals
Dungannon 4
Dollingstown 1
Crewe 0
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
PSNI 0
Institute 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Ballymena 3
Portadown 2
Loughgall 1
Armagh 0
Glenavon 2
Quarter-finals
Dungannon 2
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 4
Ballymena 0
Portadown 0
Glenavon 5
Semi-finals
Dungannon 0
Linfield 1
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 1
Final
Linfield 3
Coleraine 0