Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Chorley vs Runcorn Linnets

Angleterre Angleterre

FA Cup 2023/2024 Victory Park, Chorley
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

Chorley in this FA Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

60%
Chorley
22%
Nuls
18%
Runcorn Linnets
Projection de nul: 22% Favori: Chorley

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

82% / Très Élevé de Confiance
  • Runcorn Linnets have won more games recently than Chorley.
  • Win probability leans Chorley's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Runcorn Linnets arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chorley, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 98%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 87.5%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 20%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 9%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 77%
Chorley Match sans Encaisser 19%
Runcorn Linnets Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Chorley Runcorn Linnets
Matchs Joués 30 30
Victoires 8 11
Nuls 7 4
Défaites 15 15
Buts Marqués 1.07 1.5
Buts Encaissés 1.4 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 1.29
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

19 sept. 2023 FA Cup
Chorley vs Runcorn Linnets
3:1
16 sept. 2023 FA Cup
Runcorn Linnets vs Chorley
1:1

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Chorley 58 / 100
Runcorn Linnets 18 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chorley Runcorn Linnets

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Chorley Win (1)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Runcorn Linnets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Chorley scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Chorley went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tendances de Buts

Chorley VS Runcorn Linnets
0.75 Buts Marqués 1.2
1.38 Buts Encaissés 2.4
75% Plus de 1.5 100%
63% Plus de 2.5 80%
0% Plus de 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Chorley

(Home)
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0
Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0
Chorley
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2
Brackley
29 Aug
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
Chorley
Page 1 of 6

Runcorn Linnets

(Away)
13 Sept
Hallam
2 : 1
Runcorn Linnets
29 Aug
Stocksbridge
1 : 2
Runcorn Linnets
31 Jul
Leek Town
1 : 1
Runcorn Linnets
25 Jul
Runcorn Linnets
2 : 4
Ashton United
11 Jul
Runcorn Linnets
0 : 4
United of Manchester
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Darlington FC -
TBD -
Workington 6
Prestwich Heys 0
Farsley -
TBD -
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clitheroe 1
Hyde 2
Brighouse Town 2
Albion Sports 4
Spennymoor -
TBD -
Guiseley 0
Marine 3
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
Consett 0
Bradford PA 2
Lincoln Utd. 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Worksop 4
Sheffield FC 1
Rushall -
TBD -
Nuneaton 1
Carlton Town 2
Boston United -
TBD -
Leamington 2
Coleshill Town 0
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sherwood Colliery 1
Worcester 2
Leek Town 5
Grimsby Borough 0
South Shields -
TBD -
Bishop Auckland 2
West Auckland Town 1
Hereford -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 3
Hanley Town 0
Biggleswade FC 8
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Leighton Town 1
Cambridge City 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
Redditch 5
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Hashtag 1
Brentwood 0
Romania 0
Needham Market 3
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town 5
New Salamis FC 1
Barton 2
Milton Keynes Irish 1
Concord Rangers 1
Wroxham 4
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin 2
Welwyn Garden 1
Mildenhall 0
Sudbury 5
Hullbridge 0
Kettering 1
Sporting Khalsa 5
Darlaston Town (1874) 4
Cleethorpes 2
Hinckley LR 1
TBD -
Alfreton -
Bamber Bridge 0
Mossley AFC 4
Widnes FC 2
AFC Emley 5
Whickham 1
Macclesfield 4
TBD -
Buxton -
United of Manchester 1
Barnoldswick Town 0
Warrington Rylands 1
Stockton 0
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tadcaster Albion 2
Heaton Stannington 1
TBD -
Chester -
Nantwich 3
Shifnal Town 2
TBD -
Banbury -
Rugby 0
Barwell 2
Ashby Ivanhoe 0
Bromsgrove 2
Ware 3
Dereham 2
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Goole 0
Whitby 6
Prescot Cables 4
North Ferriby FC 2
Morpeth 3
Radcliffe 2
TBD -
Southport -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Charnock Richard 4
Runcorn Linnets 5
TBD -
Chorley -
Telford 0
Coalville Town 1
Stafford 2
Atherstone 0
Tamworth -
TBD -
Harborough 3
Stamford 1
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster 2
Witton Albion 1
Ossett United 0
Marske United 3
Ashton United 3
Dunston 1
FC Guisborough Town 0
Atherton Collieries 4
Long Eaton 1
Stourbridge 3
Gainsborough 3
Matlock 6
Mickleover 3
Ilkeston 0
Stratford 1
Spalding United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascot United 1
Westfield 0
Faversham 0
Lewes 4
Southall FC 5
Beaconsfield Town 4
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Tiverton 0
Wimborne 1
TBD -
Torquay -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Hungerford 4
Petersfield 0
Reading City 3
Shaftesbury Town 1
Winchester City 3
Evesham 2
Hadley 2
Steyning Town 3
TBD -
Maidstone -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
AFC Totton 5
Sholing 1
Eastbourne United 2
Epsom 1
Berkhamsted Town 5
Beckenham Town 4
Cray Wanderers 5
Newhaven FC 1
Chatham 1
Ramsgate 5
Plymouth Parkway 2
Dorchester 0
Frome Town 3
Clevedon 1
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley -
Kirkley & Pakefield 1
FC Witham Town 2
Hornchurch 5
Fakenham 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnet -
Bedford 5
Walthamstow FC 0
Heybridge 1
Gorleston 3
Royston Town 1
Cheshunt 0
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Leatherhead 1
Horsham FC 2
Marlow 2
Croydon Athletic 0
Knaphill 1
Hanwell Town 0
Hythe 0
Hanworth Villa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
Erith & Belvedere 1
Hastings 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Haringey Borough 3
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Yeovil -
TBD -
AFC Stoneham 5
Basingstoke 4
Didcot 5
Tadley Calleva 1
Bishops Cleeve 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Whitstable Town 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
TBD -
Farnborough -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Canvey Island 5
Lowestoft 1
TBD -
Braintree -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Flackwell Heath 1
Farnham 2
Walton & Hersham 1
Chesham 3
Hendon 2
Margate 3
Hartley Wintney 0
Folkestone 4
Harrow Borough 0
Bracknell Town 2
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Horndean 3
Bideford 0
Poole Town 3
Barnstaple Town 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Sevenoaks 1
Whitehawk 2
Redhill 1
Herne Bay 0
Okehampton Argyle 1
Highworth 3
TBD -
Weymouth -
Larkhall 3
Moneyfields 0
TBD -
Bath City -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laverstock & Ford 2
Gosport Borough 7
Swindon Supermarine 1
Cribbs 2
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
Lancing 2
Carshalton 5
Kingstonian 4
Lydd Town 1
Binfield 2
Northwood 3
Uxbridge 0
Cray Valley 3
Halesowen 7
Rugby Borough 0
Alvechurch 1
Basford Utd. 0
Enfield Town 3
Potters 0
Woodford Town 1
Felixstowe & Walton 4
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mousehole 5
Bashley 3
Salisbury 3
Bridgwater United 2
Hayes & Yeading 2
Chertsey Town 1
TBD -
Slough Town -
Brightlingsea 2
Sawbridgeworth 0
Billericay 7
Stowmarket Town 0
Leiston 2
St Ives Town 1
TBD -
St. Albans -
Merthyr Town 5
Yate 1
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Sheppey United 3
Kennington 1
Burgess Hill 2
Bognor Regis 0
Quarter-finals
Darlington FC 3
Workington 1
Farsley 1
Scarborough Athletic 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde 2
Albion Sports 1
Spennymoor 3
Marine 4
Blyth Spartans 4
Bradford PA 2
Lincoln Utd. 0
Worksop 3
Rushall 3
Carlton Town 2
Boston United 4
Leamington 0
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worcester 0
Leek Town 2
South Shields 2
Bishop Auckland 0
Hereford 2
Anstey Nomads 0
Biggleswade FC 1
Cambridge City 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports 3
Redditch 1
Hashtag 0
Needham Market 1
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford 4
Biggleswade Town 6
Barton 5
Wroxham 4
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin 3
Sudbury 0
Kettering 1
Sporting Khalsa 0
Cleethorpes 2
Alfreton 4
Mossley AFC 2
AFC Emley 4
Macclesfield 2
Buxton 0
United of Manchester 0
Warrington Rylands 4
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tadcaster Albion 1
Chester 3
Nantwich 2
Banbury 1
Barwell 1
Bromsgrove 2
Ware 4
Chelmsford 5
Whitby 2
Prescot Cables 1
Morpeth 3
Southport 0
Warrington Town 2
Curzon Ashton 3
Runcorn Linnets 2
Chorley 4
Coalville Town 2
Stafford 1
Tamworth 2
Harborough 1
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster 4
Marske United 1
Ashton United 5
Atherton Collieries 3
Stourbridge 2
Matlock 0
Mickleover 3
Spalding United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascot United 1
Lewes 2
Southall FC 1
Hampton & Richmond 2
Wimborne 0
Torquay 3
Chippenham Town 1
Hungerford 4
Reading City 2
Winchester City 5
Steyning Town 1
Maidstone 4
Gloucester City 0
AFC Totton 3
Eastbourne United 1
Berkhamsted Town 3
Cray Wanderers 4
Ramsgate 5
Plymouth Parkway 3
Frome Town 4
King’s Lynn 0
Aveley 4
FC Witham Town 1
Hornchurch 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnet -
Bedford 2
Gorleston 3
Royston Town 1
Hemel Hempstead 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Horsham FC 5
Marlow 3
Knaphill 0
Hanworth Villa 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. 3
Hastings 2
Haringey Borough 4
Tonbridge 2
Yeovil 7
AFC Stoneham 1
Didcot 2
Bristol Manor Farm 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Wingate & Finchley 0
Farnborough 6
Weston-super-Mare 2
Truro 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Canvey Island 2
Braintree 4
Scunthorpe 1
Brackley 3
Farnham 1
Chesham 2
Margate 5
Folkestone 3
Bracknell Town 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Horndean 0
Poole Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Eastbourne Borough 0
Worthing FC 1
Whitehawk 4
Redhill 0
Highworth 1
Weymouth 3
Larkhall 2
Bath City 3
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough 3
Cribbs 0
Dartford 2
Welling 3
Carshalton 4
Kingstonian 0
Northwood 5
Cray Valley 6
Halesowen 5
Alvechurch 2
Enfield Town 3
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mousehole 0
Salisbury 5
Hayes & Yeading 0
Slough Town 2
Brightlingsea 1
Billericay 3
Leiston 1
St. Albans 2
Merthyr Town 3
Taunton Town 2
Sheppey United 3
Burgess Hill 0
Semi-finals
Darlington FC 1
Scarborough Athletic 2
TBD -
Oxford City -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Halifax -
TBD -
Hyde 0
Marine 2
Blyth Spartans 1
Worksop 6
Rushall 0
Boston United 1
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Leek Town 2
South Shields 0
Hereford 3
Cambridge City 0
TBD -
Rochdale -
York City -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports 0
Needham Market 3
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town 3
Barton 1
Chesterfield -
TBD -
Hitchin 0
Kettering 1
Alfreton 1
AFC Emley 0
Macclesfield 2
Warrington Rylands 1
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Chester 2
Nantwich 1
Bromsgrove 2
Chelmsford 5
Whitby 1
Morpeth 0
Curzon Ashton 2
Chorley 1
Coalville Town 0
Tamworth 2
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Lancaster 0
Ashton United 2
Stourbridge 2
Mickleover 0
TBD -
Gateshead -
Aldershot -
TBD -
Lewes 3
Hampton & Richmond 0
Torquay 5
Hungerford 0
Winchester City 0
Maidstone 2
AFC Totton 1
Berkhamsted Town 0
Ramsgate 2
Frome Town 1
Aveley 4
Hornchurch 3
TBD -
Barnet -
Gorleston 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
TBD -
Woking -
Horsham FC 3
Hanworth Villa 1
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Dover Ath. 2
Haringey Borough 1
Yeovil 2
Didcot 0
TBD -
Southend -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Farnborough 0
Weston-super-Mare 1
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Braintree 3
Brackley 2
Chesham 2
Margate 0
Bracknell Town 3
Poole Town 1
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Worthing FC 2
Whitehawk 1
Weymouth 1
Bath City 2
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
Gosport Borough 4
Welling 6
Carshalton 4
Cray Valley 5
Halesowen 1
Enfield Town 2
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Salisbury 0
Slough Town 3
Billericay 1
St. Albans 0
Merthyr Town 1
Sheppey United 4
Final
Scarborough Athletic 5
Oxford City 4
Altrincham 0
Oldham 1
Halifax 0
Marine 1
Worksop 3
Boston United 2
AFC Fylde 3
Leek Town 1
Hereford 1
Rochdale 0
York City 1
Needham Market 0
Solihull Moors 4
Biggleswade Town 1
Chesterfield 5
Kettering 0
Alfreton 3
Macclesfield 1
Hartlepool 0
Chester 2
Chelmsford 3
Whitby 5
Curzon Ashton 1
Tamworth 0
Kidderminster 2
Ashton United 0
Stourbridge 0
Gateshead 3
Aldershot 4
Lewes 1
Torquay 0
Maidstone 2
AFC Totton 0
Ramsgate 1
Aveley 2
Barnet 6
Hemel Hempstead 0
Woking 2
Horsham FC 2
Dorking Wanderers 0
Eastleigh 1
Dover Ath. 0
Yeovil 2
Southend 0
Bromley 3
Wealdstone 2
Weston-super-Mare 0
Maidenhead 3
Braintree 1
Chesham 3
Bracknell Town 1
Dagenham & Red. 0
Worthing FC 2
Bath City 0
Boreham Wood 1
Welling 0
Cray Valley 5
Enfield Town 2
Ebbsfleet 2
Slough Town 4
Billericay 2
Sheppey United 3