Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Chorley vs Worksop

Angleterre Angleterre

FA Trophy 2025/2026 Victory Park, Chorley
Notre Pronostic

Événements du Match

30' Event
Lalkovic M.
31' Event
Smith H.
Own Goal
57' Event
Lalkovic M.

Résumé du Match

Worksop in this FA Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

4%
Chorley
6%
Nuls
90%
Worksop
Projection de nul: 6% Favori: Worksop

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

95% / Très Élevé de Confiance
  • Chorley haven't matched Worksop's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Worksop a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Worksop arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chorley, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 31.5%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 14%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 74.6%
Chorley Match sans Encaisser 10%
Worksop Match sans Encaisser 17%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Chorley Worksop
Matchs Joués 28 28
Victoires 7 15
Nuls 6 4
Défaites 15 9
Buts Marqués 0.96 2.04
Buts Encaissés 1.32 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.31
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

25 avr. 2026 National League North
Chorley vs Worksop
2:1
6 déc. 2025 National League North
Worksop vs Chorley
1:1
15 nov. 2025 FA Trophy
Chorley vs Worksop
2:3
8 mars 2014 NPL Premier Division
Chorley vs Worksop
1:0
26 oct. 2013 NPL Premier Division
Worksop vs Chorley
1:4

Analyse d'Impact des Joueurs Clés

Joueurs majeurs et implication sur les buts attendus

Chorley Comparer

Meilleur Buteur Lalkovic M.
2 Buts
Moyenne xG / match 0.68
Moyenne xA / match 0.44

Worksop Comparer

Meilleur Buteur Waterfall L.
1 Buts
Meilleur Passeur Whitham L.
1 Ast
Moyenne xG / match 2.1
Moyenne xA / match 1.28

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Chorley 10 / 100
Worksop 84 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chorley Worksop

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal WOR Win (2)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Chorley scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Worksop has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Chorley has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tendances de Buts

Chorley VS Worksop
0.63 Buts Marqués 3.38
1.25 Buts Encaissés 1.13
63% Plus de 1.5 88%
50% Plus de 2.5 88%
0% Plus de 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chorley

(Home)
08 Aug
Chorley
1 : 2
Chester
28 Jul
Trafford
2 : 1
Chorley
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3
Accrington
21 Jul
Chorley
0 : 0
Altrincham
11 Jul
Chorley
1 : 2
Bury FC
Page 1 of 6

Worksop

(Away)
08 Aug
Darlington FC
1 : 2
Worksop
28 Jul
Worksop
1 : 0
Mickleover
25 Jul
Worksop
4 : 0
Garforth
14 Jul
South Normanton Athletic
3 : 4
Worksop
11 Jul
Worksop
3 : 1
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sudbury 2
Leiston 1
TBD -
Hereford -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
Bradford PA 2
Morpeth 1
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Buxton -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Leek Town 3
Bromsgrove 0
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
Basingstoke 1
Dorchester 2
Brentwood 3
Welling 0
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
Alvechurch 1
Worcester 0
Real Bedford 3
Ashford United 2
Redditch 1
Gainsborough 2
Alfreton -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Chester -
TBD -
Clitheroe 4
Stockton 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Leatherhead 2
Canvey Island 1
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
Stanway Rovers 1
Harrow Borough 2
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
Farnham 3
Bishops Cleeve 2
Wimborne 1
Portchester 0
Waltham Abbey 0
Chatham 2
Plymouth Parkway 2
Poole Town 1
TBD -
Salisbury -
Harborough 4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
TBD -
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carlisle -
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Bath City -
TBD -
Bracknell Town 1
Banbury 0
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester 1
Bamber Bridge 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bedford -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 4
Stratford 0
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Worksop -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Spalding United 0
Corby 1
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morecambe -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Sittingbourne 2
Cray Valley 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Forest Green -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay 0
Stortford 5
Wingate & Finchley 0
Cheshunt 1
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Tilbury 1
Hadley 0
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
St. Albans 0
Hanwell Town 2
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Leamington -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
Ilkeston 3
St Ives Town 1
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Marine -
TBD -
Hyde 0
Stocksbridge 3
Slough Town -
TBD -
Gloucester City 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Tonbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Walton & Hersham 5
Hendon 1
TBD -
Farnborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burgess Hill 1
Folkestone 4
TBD -
AFC Totton -
South Shields -
TBD -
Dunston 1
Hebburn Town 0
Macclesfield -
TBD -
Prescot Cables 2
Guiseley 1
1/64-finals
Sudbury 1
Hereford 5
Radcliffe 3
Bradford PA 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Spennymoor 2
AFC Fylde 3
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Buxton 2
Southport 3
Leek Town 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Dover Ath. 2
Dorchester 0
Brentwood 0
Hornchurch 1
Chesham 1
Telford 2
TBD -
Altrincham -
Yeovil -
TBD -
Torquay 0
Maidstone 2
Alvechurch 2
Real Bedford 1
Gainsborough 1
Alfreton 2
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
Oxford City 1
Peterborough Sports 2
Chester 0
Clitheroe 1
TBD -
York City -
Leatherhead 2
Hampton & Richmond 0
King’s Lynn 2
Harrow Borough 3
Hemel Hempstead 1
Chelmsford 0
Horsham FC 2
Farnham 0
Wimborne 0
Chatham 1
Plymouth Parkway 4
Salisbury 3
Harborough 3
Enfield Town 0
TBD -
Carlisle -
Dorking Wanderers 3
Eastbourne Borough 2
Bath City 2
Bracknell Town 1
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Halifax -
TBD -
United of Manchester 3
Darlington FC 2
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Bedford 0
Anstey Nomads 1
Chorley 2
Worksop 3
Kidderminster 3
Corby 0
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
Morecambe -
Ebbsfleet 2
Sittingbourne 1
TBD -
Braintree -
Forest Green -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 0
Weston-super-Mare 1
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Stortford 1
Cheshunt 2
Dagenham & Red. 2
Tilbury 0
Merthyr Town 2
Hanwell Town 3
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Leamington 2
Maidenhead 0
TBD -
Rochdale -
Ilkeston 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Marine 2
Stocksbridge 0
Slough Town 1
Gloucester City 2
Tonbridge 0
Worthing FC 4
Walton & Hersham 2
Farnborough 1
TBD -
Sutton -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Woking -
TBD -
Folkestone 1
AFC Totton 2
South Shields 6
Dunston 2
Macclesfield 1
Prescot Cables 0
1/32-finals
Hereford 2
Radcliffe 1
Solihull Moors 2
AFC Fylde 3
Eastleigh 2
Aldershot 1
Southport 3
Leek Town 1
Dover Ath. 1
Hornchurch 4
Telford 4
Altrincham 3
Yeovil 2
Maidstone 1
Alvechurch 3
Alfreton 2
Scunthorpe 5
Peterborough Sports 0
Clitheroe 2
York City 1
Leatherhead 3
Harrow Borough 2
Hemel Hempstead 0
Horsham FC 2
Chatham 3
Plymouth Parkway 0
Harborough 1
Carlisle 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Bath City 2
Southend 4
Truro 0
Halifax 4
United of Manchester 0
Hartlepool 1
Anstey Nomads 2
Worksop 0
Kidderminster 1
Gateshead 0
Morecambe 3
Ebbsfleet 3
Braintree 1
Forest Green 4
Weston-super-Mare 0
Wealdstone 2
Cheshunt 1
Dagenham & Red. 3
Hanwell Town 1
Tamworth 2
Boston United 1
Leamington 0
Rochdale 1
Curzon Ashton 1
Marine 2
Gloucester City 4
Worthing FC 3
Walton & Hersham 4
Sutton 1
Boreham Wood 3
Brackley 4
Woking 2
AFC Totton 0
South Shields 0
Macclesfield 1
1/16-finals
Hereford 2
AFC Fylde 3
Eastleigh 0
Southport 2
Hornchurch 1
Telford 2
Yeovil 1
Alvechurch 0
Scunthorpe 3
Clitheroe 1
Leatherhead 2
Horsham FC 3
Chatham 1
Carlisle 0
Bath City 1
Southend 3
Halifax 4
Anstey Nomads 0
Kidderminster 6
Morecambe 2
Ebbsfleet 0
Forest Green 2
Wealdstone 1
Dagenham & Red. 0
Tamworth 2
Rochdale 1
Marine 2
Gloucester City 1
Walton & Hersham 1
Brackley 0
Woking 2
Macclesfield 1
1/8-finals
AFC Fylde 0
Southport 1
Telford 0
Yeovil 2
Scunthorpe 1
Horsham FC 2
Chatham 0
Southend 1
Halifax 1
Kidderminster 2
Forest Green 0
Wealdstone 3
Tamworth 0
Marine 1
Walton & Hersham 1
Woking 2
Quarter-finals
Southport 2
Yeovil 1
Horsham FC 1
Southend 2
Kidderminster 1
Wealdstone 2
Marine 1
Woking 0
Semi-finals
Southport 1
Southend 3
Wealdstone 1
Marine 0
Final
Southend 1
Wealdstone 0