Pronostics Sportifs
Résumé du Match
This Copa Colombia encounter between Cucuta and Leones promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Cucuta averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Leones shows a form average of 0.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Cucuta, 1 wins for Leones, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.05.26 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.13 for Cucuta and 1.06 for Leones, suggesting the primary value lies in the Cucuta double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Cucuta a pris plus de points récemment que Leones.
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (1.13 vs 1.06 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les locaux.
- Des défenses solides favorisent une rencontre fermée avec peu de buts.
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Cucuta | Leones |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 37 | 30 |
| Victoires | 13 | 5 |
| Nuls | 12 | 7 |
| Défaites | 12 | 18 |
| Buts Marqués | 1.27 | 0.53 |
| Buts Encaissés | 1.24 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
Cucuta
Leones
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
Cucuta is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Leones will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Cucuta's attacks.
Expect Cucuta to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Cucuta vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Leones, allowing Cucuta's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Cucuta, while Leones takes risks to salvage a result.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Cucuta have found the net in 73% of their last 37 matches.
Leones have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.60 goals per match.
Cucuta remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Leones suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Alianza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Real Santander | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:13 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millonarios | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Chico | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 5 |
| 4 | Patriotas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 5 | Atletico F.C. | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:16 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Medellin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Leones | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 4 | Cucuta | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 5 | Orsomarso | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Pereira | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Aguilas Doradas | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Ind. Yumbo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | 1 |