Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Dereham vs Holbeach

Angleterre Angleterre

FA Cup 2016/2017
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

Dereham in this FA Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

31%
Dereham
39%
Nuls
30%
Holbeach
Projection de nul: 39% Favori: Draw

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

65% / Moyen de Confiance
  • Form's been kind to Dereham lately — more wins on the board than Holbeach.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Dereham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dereham, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 82%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 99%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 94%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 19%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 9%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 80.2%
Dereham Match sans Encaisser 16%
Holbeach Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Dereham Holbeach
Matchs Joués 30 9
Victoires 8 2
Nuls 4 2
Défaites 18 5
Buts Marqués 1.3 1.56
Buts Encaissés 2.07 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

3 sept. 2016 FA Cup
Dereham vs Holbeach
2:1

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Dereham 31 / 100
Holbeach 29 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dereham Holbeach

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Holbeach Win (2)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Dereham scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Holbeach let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Holbeach has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tendances de Buts

Dereham VS Holbeach
1.13 Buts Marqués 1
2 Buts Encaissés 2
88% Plus de 1.5 100%
75% Plus de 2.5 100%
38% Plus de 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dereham

(Home)
02 Sept
Ware
3 : 2
Dereham
24 Sept
Dereham
0 : 1
Spalding United
13 Sept
Kempston
0 : 1
Dereham
03 Sept
Dereham
0 : 1
Biggleswade Town
01 Jul
Dereham
0 : 4
Norwich
Page 1 of 6

Holbeach

(Away)
02 Sept
Grantham Town
2 : 1
Holbeach
03 Sept
Dereham
2 : 1
Holbeach
29 Sept
Worcester
2 : 0
Holbeach
26 Sept
Holbeach
1 : 1
Worcester
15 Sept
Stourport
0 : 1
Holbeach
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Harlow 3
Romford 1
Brigg Town 1
King’s Lynn 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
North Ferriby United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
United of Manchester -
TBD -
Billingham Synthonia FC 4
Ossett Town 5
Bridlington Town 2
Newcastle Benfield 0
TBD -
Harrogate -
Stalybridge -
TBD -
Buxton 0
Witton Albion 3
Ashton Athletic 7
Mossley AFC 2
TBD -
Halifax -
Stockport County -
TBD -
Colne 0
Hyde 1
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
Salford -
Farsley 3
Sheffield FC 0
Pontefract Collieries 2
Tadcaster Albion 3
Trafford 5
Cheadle Town 2
Ossett Albion 1
Bishop Auckland 5
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Halesowen 3
Coleshill Town 0
Hednesford 1
Belper Town 2
Marine 2
Marske United 0
Ashton United 0
Nantwich 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 6
Ashby Ivanhoe 0
Evesham 2
Barwell 4
Mickleover 3
Spalding United 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Stourbridge 3
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Blyth Spartans 3
Frickley 1
Colwyn Bay 1
Morpeth 4
Matlock 4
Heanor Town 2
Stafford 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Shildon 5
Washington 2
Warrington Town 0
Workington 3
Lincoln City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Lincoln Utd. 6
Dunkirk 1
TBD -
Nuneaton -
Burscough 4
Maine Road 3
Squires Gate 2
Handsworth Parramore 5
Chorley -
TBD -
Skelmersdale 3
Dunston 4
Whitby 5
Winsford United 4
Radcliffe 3
Spennymoor 5
Stamford 5
Neots 2
Deeping Rangers 2
Gresley 6
Coalville Town 2
Redditch 1
Stratford 1
AFC Mansfield 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bedworth United 2
Coventry United 0
Grantham Town 3
Chasetown 4
Consett 5
Harrogate Railway 0
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Welling -
TBD -
Ramsgate 1
Whyteleafe 2
Farnborough 5
Andover Town 0
Portishead Town 1
Swindon Supermarine 4
Merthyr Town 4
Barnstaple Town 0
Bideford 1
Portchester 2
East Thurrock Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Westfields 4
St Ives Town 0
Leamington 1
Highgate United 3
Hythe 1
Leatherhead 0
Greenwich Borough 2
Walton Casuals 3
Hungerford -
TBD -
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 0
Basingstoke 4
South Park 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Grays 1
Leiston 4
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Forest Green -
Chesham 5
Saffron 0
Lewes 1
Sevenoaks 2
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Godalming Town 0
Staines 4
Potters 3
Chalfont St Peter 0
Dunstable Town 1
Canvey Island 2
Oxford City -
TBD -
TBD -
Bath City -
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury 3
Dorchester 0
Gillingham Town 0
Cirencester 2
Histon 2
Lowestoft 0
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Woking -
Taunton Town 2
Cinderford Town 0
Fleet Town 1
Slimbridge 2
AFC Dunstable 4
Heybridge 3
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
Frome Town 0
Salisbury 2
Herne Bay 3
Ashford Town 1
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Bromley -
Beaconsfield Town 7
Wantage 2
Haringey Borough 0
FC Witham Town 3
Stortford -
TBD -
Tilbury 1
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Worcester -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
Rugby 1
Corby 0
TBD -
Brackley -
Tonbridge 9
Ascot United 2
Waltham Abbey 0
Wingate & Finchley 5
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Eynesbury Rovers 1
Romulus 1
Hereford 4
Slough Town 6
Chipstead 1
Flackwell Heath 1
Cambridge City 3
Chelmsford -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Faversham 1
Cray Wanderers 0
Biggleswade United 2
Hitchin 4
VCD Athletic 4
Kingstonian 1
Arundel FC 1
Egham Town 5
Worthing FC 9
Carshalton 5
Sun Sports 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Dereham 2
Holbeach 1
TBD -
St. Albans -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Hornchurch 0
TBD -
Concord Rangers -
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Pagham 0
Cheshunt 2
Hendon 5
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Hounslow United 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Kings Langley 6
Sporting Bengal 1
London Colney 0
Hadley 1
Harrow Borough 4
Sawbridgeworth 1
Needham Market 0
Uxbridge 2
Truro -
TBD -
Street 2
Winchester City 4
Margate -
TBD -
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Barton 1
Stanway Rovers 0
Camberley Town 0
Hastings 2
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 9
Moneyfields 0
TBD -
Poole Town -
Bognor Regis 5
Guildford City 1
Brightlingsea 1
Billericay 2
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Darlington FC -
TBD -
Brighouse Town 0
Lancaster 3
Brimscombe & Thrupp 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
Hamworthy United 2
Brislington 5
Gosport Borough -
TBD -
Paulton Rovers 1
Weymouth 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
TBD -
Hinckley LR 2
Kirby Muxloe 3
Rushall 3
Soham 2
Leek Town 2
Kettering 3
Burgess Hill 2
Ashford United 1
Harefield United 2
Kempston 3
Alresford Town 5
Fareham 3
Plymouth Parkway 0
Cadbury Heath 3
TBD -
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TBD -
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Dover Ath. -
Merstham 4
East Preston 1
Eastbourne Town 0
Colliers Wood 2
Hanwell Town 1
Enfield Town 0
Chertsey Town 0
Thamesmead 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Sholing 0
Eastbourne United 0
Highworth 3
Sudbury 6
Halstead Town 0
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone 3
North Greenford Utd. 1
Stotfold 1
Walthamstow FC 2
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Corinthian-Casuals 2
North Leigh 3
Quarter-finals
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Alfreton 1
AFC Fylde 0
Harlow 0
King’s Lynn 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
North Ferriby United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
United of Manchester 7
Ossett Town 1
Bridlington Town 3
Harrogate 4
Stalybridge 3
Witton Albion 2
Ashton Athletic 0
Halifax 5
Stockport County 2
Hyde 0
Bradford PA 0
Salford 1
Farsley 2
Tadcaster Albion 0
Trafford 0
Bishop Auckland 1
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Halesowen 1
Belper Town 0
Marine 4
Nantwich 5
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Barwell 0
Mickleover 1
Stourbridge 2
Altrincham 3
Gainsborough 2
Blyth Spartans 2
Morpeth 4
Matlock 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
Shildon 1
Workington 3
Lincoln City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Lincoln Utd. 2
Nuneaton 1
Burscough 0
Handsworth Parramore 2
Chorley 2
Dunston 0
Whitby 0
Spennymoor 1
Stamford 2
Gresley 1
Coalville Town 0
AFC Mansfield 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bedworth United 1
Chasetown 0
Consett 1
Curzon Ashton 2
Welling 2
Whyteleafe 0
Farnborough 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
Merthyr Town 2
Portchester 0
East Thurrock Utd 2
Whitehawk 3
Westfields 4
Highgate United 2
Hythe 2
Walton Casuals 4
Hungerford 1
Basingstoke 0
South Park 1
Leiston 4
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Chesham 4
Sevenoaks 3
Maidenhead 0
Staines 1
Potters 5
Canvey Island 4
Oxford City 2
Bath City 3
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury 6
Cirencester 1
Histon 0
Wealdstone 4
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Taunton Town 2
Slimbridge 0
AFC Dunstable 1
Hampton & Richmond 7
Gloucester City 2
Salisbury 1
Herne Bay 2
Hemel Hempstead 6
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Beaconsfield Town 3
FC Witham Town 1
Stortford 1
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Worcester 3
Telford 1
Rugby 0
Brackley 6
Tonbridge 3
Wingate & Finchley 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Hereford 3
Slough Town 3
Cambridge City 1
Chelmsford 2
Dartford 3
Faversham 3
Hitchin 2
VCD Athletic 1
Egham Town 2
Worthing FC 2
Hayes & Yeading 0
Dereham 1
St. Albans 2
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Concord Rangers 1
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Hendon 2
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough 2
Metropolitan Police 1
Kings Langley 1
Hadley 2
Harrow Borough 2
Uxbridge 1
Truro 0
Winchester City 4
Margate 2
Biggleswade Town 0
Barton 0
Hastings 1
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 4
Poole Town 1
Bognor Regis 1
Billericay 2
Kidderminster 4
Tamworth 0
Darlington FC 1
Lancaster 2
Brimscombe & Thrupp 2
Brislington 1
Gosport Borough 2
Weymouth 3
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United 2
Kirby Muxloe 1
Rushall 1
Kettering 2
Burgess Hill 4
Kempston 2
Alresford Town 1
Cadbury Heath 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Merstham 2
Colliers Wood 1
Hanwell Town 3
Thamesmead 5
Havant & Waterlooville 5
Highworth 1
Sudbury 0
Ebbsfleet 5
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone 3
Walthamstow FC 1
Weston-super-Mare 1
North Leigh 2
Semi-finals
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Alfreton 2
King’s Lynn 0
TBD -
Gateshead -
North Ferriby United -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
United of Manchester 3
Harrogate 5
Stalybridge 1
Halifax 2
Stockport County 2
Salford 0
Farsley 0
Bishop Auckland 1
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Halesowen 2
Nantwich 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Stourbridge 2
Altrincham 3
Morpeth 0
Matlock 4
Workington 2
Lincoln City -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Lincoln Utd. 3
Handsworth Parramore 1
Chorley 0
Spennymoor 1
Stamford 2
AFC Mansfield 1
TBD -
Wrexham -
York City -
TBD -
Bedworth United 0
Curzon Ashton 4
Welling 7
Swindon Supermarine 1
Merthyr Town 0
Whitehawk 2
Westfields 4
Walton Casuals 0
Hungerford 1
Leiston 4
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Chesham 2
Staines 0
Potters 2
Bath City 1
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Banbury 1
Wealdstone 2
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Taunton Town 2
Hampton & Richmond 1
Gloucester City 2
Hemel Hempstead 4
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Beaconsfield Town 3
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Worcester 0
Brackley 3
Tonbridge 4
Hereford 2
Slough Town 2
Dartford 3
Faversham 1
Egham Town 2
Worthing FC 0
St. Albans 6
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Hendon 3
Aldershot -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough 4
Hadley 1
Harrow Borough 2
Winchester City 1
Margate 4
Hastings 3
Maidstone -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 2
Billericay 3
Kidderminster 3
Lancaster 2
Brimscombe & Thrupp 0
Weymouth 6
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Boston United 0
Kettering 2
Burgess Hill 6
Cadbury Heath 1
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Merstham 5
Thamesmead 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Ebbsfleet 7
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Folkestone 1
North Leigh 3
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
TBD -
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Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Southport 1
Chester 0
Alfreton 5
Gateshead 4
North Ferriby United 1
Macclesfield 4
Harrogate 0
Halifax 2
Stockport County 2
Bishop Auckland 0
Barrow 2
Tranmere 1
Nantwich 1
Stourbridge 3
Altrincham 3
Matlock 1
Lincoln City 2
Guiseley 1
Lincoln Utd. 0
Spennymoor 3
Stamford 4
Wrexham 3
York City 2
Curzon Ashton 3
Welling 0
Whitehawk 1
Westfields 2
Leiston 1
Sutton 2
Forest Green 1
Chesham 1
Potters 0
Dagenham & Red. 3
Wealdstone 1
Torquay 2
Woking 3
Taunton Town 1
Hemel Hempstead 0
Braintree 4
Bromley 2
Beaconsfield Town 0
Brackley 5
Tonbridge 0
Dartford 3
Egham Town 0
St. Albans 1
Boreham Wood 3
Hendon 0
Aldershot 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Harrow Borough 5
Margate 3
Maidstone 3
Billericay 1
Kidderminster 6
Weymouth 0
Solihull Moors 3
Kettering 1
Burgess Hill 0
Dover Ath. 5
Merstham 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Eastleigh 6
North Leigh 0