Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Dereham vs Kempston

Angleterre Angleterre

FA Trophy 2018/2019
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

This match ends 1-3, with Kempston advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

36%
Dereham
44%
Nuls
20%
Kempston
Projection de nul: 44% Favori: Draw

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

71% / Moyen de Confiance
  • Dereham have managed 1.3 goals a game lately — Kempston are scoring more at 1.52.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Kempston, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 56.5%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 25%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 79%
Dereham Match sans Encaisser 10%
Kempston Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Dereham Kempston
Matchs Joués 30 29
Victoires 8 8
Nuls 4 5
Défaites 18 16
Buts Marqués 1.3 1.52
Buts Encaissés 2.07 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

13 sept. 2022 FA Trophy
Kempston vs Dereham
0:1
13 oct. 2018 FA Trophy
Dereham vs Kempston
1:3

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Dereham 34 / 100
Kempston 20 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dereham Kempston

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Kempston Win (2)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Attacking prowess: Dereham scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Kempston conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Kempston registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tendances de Buts

Dereham VS Kempston
1.25 Buts Marqués 1.63
2.63 Buts Encaissés 2.25
63% Plus de 1.5 88%
63% Plus de 2.5 75%
50% Plus de 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dereham

(Home)
02 Sept
Ware
3 : 2
Dereham
24 Sept
Dereham
0 : 1
Spalding United
13 Sept
Kempston
0 : 1
Dereham
03 Sept
Dereham
0 : 1
Biggleswade Town
01 Jul
Dereham
0 : 4
Norwich
Page 1 of 6

Kempston

(Away)
09 Sept
Leighton Town
3 : 1
Kempston
13 Sept
Kempston
0 : 1
Dereham
03 Sept
Kempston
1 : 2
Bedford
25 Jul
Crawley Green
2 : 3
Kempston
20 Jul
Wellingborough
3 : 2
Kempston
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports 2
Cambridge City 4
Rushall -
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Stafford -
Stamford 1
Belper Town 0
Loughborough Dynamo 2
Leek Town 5
Stourbridge -
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Kettering -
Stalybridge -
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Nantwich -
Buxton -
TBD -
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King’s Lynn -
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
FC Wisbech Town 3
Corby 2
Yaxley 3
Frickley 3
Skelmersdale 1
Trafford 1
Ramsbottom Utd 2
AFC Mansfield 2
Soham 1
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Hednesford -
Pickering Town 3
Stocksbridge 0
Tadcaster Albion 1
Droylsden 3
Neots -
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Matlock -
Barwell -
TBD -
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Coalville Town -
Lancaster -
TBD -
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Marine -
Clitheroe 3
Pontefract Collieries 2
Colwyn Bay 0
Ossett United 6
Newcastle Town 2
Gresley 1
Lincoln Utd. 1
Chasetown 2
Scarborough Athletic -
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Workington -
Marske United 4
Atherton Collieries 3
Radcliffe 2
Cleethorpes 3
Gainsborough -
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Tamworth -
Halesowen -
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Grantham Town -
Warrington Town -
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Kendal 1
Prescot Cables 5
Alvechurch -
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Stratford -
Redditch -
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Mickleover -
Witton Albion -
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Whitby -
St Ives Town -
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Farsley -
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Morpeth 3
Brighouse Town 4
Bedworth United -
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Spalding United 1
Carlton Town 4
South Shields -
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North Ferriby United -
Bamber Bridge -
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Hyde -
Brightlingsea -
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Cray Wanderers 0
Canvey Island 2
Ramsgate 2
Phoenix Sports 1
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Hornchurch -
Lewes -
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Westfield 2
Ashford Town 3
Farnborough -
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Merthyr Town -
Chipstead 2
Welwyn Garden 1
South Park 1
Berkhamsted Town 5
Kingstonian -
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Tilbury 1
Bedford 4
Dorking Wanderers -
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Grays 2
Sevenoaks 4
Whyteleafe 4
Hastings 2
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Tonbridge -
Hendon -
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Staines -
Harrow Borough -
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Biggleswade Town -
Basingstoke -
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Wimborne -
Lowestoft -
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Enfield Town -
Royston Town -
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Chalfont St Peter 0
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Bristol Manor Farm 1
Paulton Rovers 0
Larkhall 0
Thame United 1
Horsham FC 3
Ware 1
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Corinthian-Casuals -
Margate -
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Potters -
Brentwood 4
Marlow 1
Bedfont Sports 1
Whitstable Town 4
Frome Town -
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Poole Town -
Herne Bay 2
Aylesbury Vale 1
AFC Dunstable 0
FC Witham Town 1
Kings Langley -
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Needham Market -
Leiston -
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Hanwell Town 1
VCD Athletic 3
Thatcham 2
Cirencester 0
Slimbridge 2
Melksham 3
Salisbury -
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Barnstaple Town 1
Fleet Town 2
East Grinstead Town 1
Great Wakering 0
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Merstham -
Swindon Supermarine -
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Banbury -
Hitchin -
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Barking 0
Hayes & Yeading 1
Metropolitan Police -
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Carshalton -
Whitehawk -
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Harlow -
Weymouth -
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Taunton Town -
Cinderford Town 5
Moneyfields 0
Bideford 2
Street 3
Yate 1
Blackfield & Langley 0
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Dorchester -
Gosport Borough -
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North Leigh 2
AFC Totton 6
Aveley 2
Basildon 1
Northwood 0
Dunstable Town 2
Kempston 3
Dereham 1
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Beaconsfield Town -
Burgess Hill -
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Worthing FC -
Haringey Borough -
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Chesham -
Walton Casuals -
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Three Bridges 0
Molesey 1
Bracknell Town 3
Haywards Heath 2
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Bognor Regis -
Folkestone -
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Leatherhead -
Didcot 2
Hertford Town 1
Kidlington 0
Mangotsfield 3
Greenwich Borough 4
Egham Town 1
Aylesbury United 2
Mildenhall 3
Hythe 2
Romania 0
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Stortford -
Hartley Wintney -
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Tiverton -
Sittingbourne 2
Faversham 0
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Wingate & Finchley -
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Semi-finals
Basford Utd. 2
Cambridge City 1
Rushall 1
Stafford 2
Stamford 1
Leek Town 0
Stourbridge 0
Kettering 2
Stalybridge 1
Nantwich 0
Buxton 5
King’s Lynn 4
FC Wisbech Town 1
Yaxley 3
Frickley 0
Ramsbottom Utd 3
AFC Mansfield 2
Hednesford 1
Pickering Town 5
Droylsden 4
Neots 1
Matlock 0
Barwell 4
Coalville Town 3
Lancaster 2
Marine 0
Clitheroe 1
Ossett United 2
Newcastle Town 5
Chasetown 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
Workington 1
Marske United 2
Cleethorpes 0
Gainsborough 0
Tamworth 3
Halesowen 4
Grantham Town 0
Warrington Town 0
Prescot Cables 1
Alvechurch 1
Stratford 4
Redditch 0
Mickleover 1
Witton Albion 1
Whitby 0
St Ives Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Farsley 4
Brighouse Town 1
Bedworth United 0
Carlton Town 1
South Shields 4
North Ferriby United 0
Bamber Bridge 0
Hyde 3
Brightlingsea 1
Canvey Island 0
Ramsgate 0
Hornchurch 6
Lewes 2
Ashford Town 1
Farnborough 2
Merthyr Town 3
Chipstead 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Kingstonian 3
Bedford 4
Dorking Wanderers 2
Sevenoaks 1
Whyteleafe 1
Tonbridge 2
Hendon 2
Staines 1
Harrow Borough 1
Biggleswade Town 2
Basingstoke 4
Wimborne 2
Lowestoft 0
Enfield Town 1
Royston Town 3
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Thame United 4
Horsham FC 3
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Margate 1
Potters 2
Brentwood 3
Whitstable Town 1
Frome Town 1
Poole Town 2
Herne Bay 2
FC Witham Town 1
Kings Langley 0
Needham Market 2
Leiston 3
VCD Athletic 1
Thatcham 1
Melksham 2
Salisbury 3
Fleet Town 0
East Grinstead Town 0
Merstham 2
Swindon Supermarine 1
Banbury 4
Hitchin 0
Hayes & Yeading 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Carshalton 4
Whitehawk 2
Harlow 3
Weymouth 3
Taunton Town 1
Cinderford Town 3
Street 6
Yate 1
Dorchester 3
Gosport Borough 1
AFC Totton 2
Aveley 1
Dunstable Town 0
Kempston 2
Beaconsfield Town 4
Burgess Hill 2
Worthing FC 3
Haringey Borough 3
Chesham 4
Walton Casuals 1
Molesey 0
Bracknell Town 4
Bognor Regis 5
Folkestone 5
Leatherhead 1
Didcot 5
Mangotsfield 3
Greenwich Borough 4
Mildenhall 2
Hythe 1
Stortford 2
Hartley Wintney 2
Tiverton 6
Sittingbourne 1
Wingate & Finchley 2
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Final
Basford Utd. 4
Stafford 0
Stamford 1
Kettering 0
Stalybridge 2
Buxton 1
Yaxley 3
Ramsbottom Utd 7
AFC Mansfield 2
Pickering Town 4
Neots 0
Barwell 1
Lancaster 1
Ossett United 0
Newcastle Town 2
Workington 7
Marske United 2
Tamworth 0
Halesowen 3
Prescot Cables 2
Stratford 2
Mickleover 1
Witton Albion 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Farsley 4
Carlton Town 0
South Shields 2
Hyde 1
Brightlingsea 2
Hornchurch 1
Lewes 2
Merthyr Town 0
Chipstead 2
Bedford 4
Dorking Wanderers 1
Tonbridge 0
Hendon 1
Biggleswade Town 2
Basingstoke 2
Enfield Town 1
Royston Town 5
Thame United 2
Horsham FC 1
Potters 0
Brentwood 3
Poole Town 6
Herne Bay 0
Needham Market 1
Leiston 2
Melksham 1
Salisbury 2
Merstham 0
Banbury 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Carshalton 3
Harlow 1
Weymouth 3
Street 2
Dorchester 3
AFC Totton 1
Aveley 1
Beaconsfield Town 2
Worthing FC 1
Chesham 0
Walton Casuals 2
Bognor Regis 0
Folkestone 3
Didcot 0
Greenwich Borough 1
Stortford 0
Tiverton 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
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