Pronostics Sportifs
Résumé du Match
Dinaz Vyshgorod enters this Druha Liga 2020/2021 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 59%. Dinaz Vyshgorod averages 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in recent matches. Karpaty (inactive) shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Dinaz Vyshgorod, 0 wins for Karpaty (inactive), and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 22.05.21 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.92 for Dinaz Vyshgorod and 1.88 for Karpaty (inactive), suggesting the primary value lies in the Dinaz Vyshgorod double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Dinaz Vyshgorod a pris plus de points récemment que Karpaty (inactive).
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (0.92 vs 1.88 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les locaux.
- Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 67%).
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Dinaz Vyshgorod | Karpaty (inactive) |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 32 | 28 |
| Victoires | 7 | 4 |
| Nuls | 4 | 4 |
| Défaites | 21 | 20 |
| Buts Marqués | 1 | 0.75 |
| Buts Encaissés | 2 | 2.11 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
Dinaz Vyshgorod
Karpaty (inactive)
Analyse d'Impact des Joueurs Clés
Joueurs majeurs et implication sur les buts attendus
Dinaz Vyshgorod Comparer
Karpaty (inactive) Comparer
Alertes Disponibilité
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
Dinaz Vyshgorod is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Karpaty (inactive) will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Dinaz Vyshgorod's attacks.
Expect Dinaz Vyshgorod to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Dinaz Vyshgorod vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Karpaty (inactive), allowing Dinaz Vyshgorod's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Dinaz Vyshgorod, while Karpaty (inactive) takes risks to salvage a result.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Dinaz Vyshgorod have found the net in 56% of their last 32 matches.
Karpaty (inactive) have conceded at least one goal in 88% of their last 26 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
Dinaz Vyshgorod remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Karpaty (inactive) suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 46:13 | 57 |
| 2 | FC Uzhhorod | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 50:23 | 55 |
| 3 | Dinaz Vyshgorod | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 52:19 | 51 |
| 4 | Epitsentr | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 36:15 | 48 |
| 5 | Karpaty Halych | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 42:25 | 46 |
| 6 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 38:38 | 33 |
| 7 | Bukovyna | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 27:31 | 32 |
| 8 | Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 26:32 | 25 |
| 9 | Obolon 2 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 21:39 | 24 |
| 10 | FC Chernihiv | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19:33 | 21 |
| 11 | Rubikon Kyiv | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17:44 | 17 |
| 12 | Volyn Lutsk 2 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16:43 | 13 |
| 13 | Karpaty (inactive) | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20:55 | 13 |
| 14 | Kalush | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metalist Kharkiv | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 65:5 | 62 |
| 2 | Kryvbas | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 53:15 | 50 |
| 3 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 42:20 | 43 |
| 4 | Tavriya | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 41:22 | 42 |
| 5 | Nova Kakhovka | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 34:35 | 30 |
| 6 | Fenix Mariupol | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 27:39 | 28 |
| 7 | Dnipro Cherkasy | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 17:34 | 27 |
| 8 | FK Balkany | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 20:28 | 23 |
| 9 | Peremoga Dnipro | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 21:29 | 23 |
| 10 | Real Pharma Odesa | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 13:40 | 18 |
| 11 | FC Nikopol | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18:46 | 14 |
| 12 | MFK Mykolaiv 2 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 13:51 | 8 |
| 13 | Cherkashchyna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |