Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Dumbarton vs Keith - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
sam. 24 oct. 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

A one-off knockout match in the Scottish Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Dumbarton have averaged 1.33 scored and 2.3 conceded recently, against Keith's 1.83 scored and 1.53 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.75, favoring Keith. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

40%
Dumbarton
33%
Nuls
27%
Keith
Projection de nul: 33% Favori: Dumbarton

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

70% / Moyen de Confiance
  • Keith have won more games recently than Dumbarton.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Dumbarton taking it.
  • Keith arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 99%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 94%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 50%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 23%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 75%
Dumbarton Match sans Encaisser 12%
Keith Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Dumbarton Keith
Matchs Joués 30 30
Victoires 10 17
Nuls 3 4
Défaites 17 9
Buts Marqués 1.33 1.83
Buts Encaissés 2.3 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.75
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Dumbarton 38 / 100
Keith 26 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumbarton Keith

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Dumbarton Win (1)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Dumbarton found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Keith let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Dumbarton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Keith registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tendances de Buts

Dumbarton VS Keith
2 Buts Marqués 1.38
2.13 Buts Encaissés 2.13
100% Plus de 1.5 88%
100% Plus de 2.5 63%
50% Plus de 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

(Home)
13 Oct
Clydebank FC
4 : 0
Dumbarton
10 Oct
Clyde
2 : 1
Dumbarton
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 6

Keith

(Away)
10 Oct
Huntly
2 : 0
Keith
07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0
Turriff United
03 Oct
Keith
2 : 1
Stonehaven
26 Sept
Brora Rangers
5 : 0
Keith
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3
Strathspey Thistle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Boness United 3
Irvine Meadow 2
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Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
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Kelty Hearts -
Rothes 0
Brora Rangers 9
Cowdenbeath 4
Berwick 0
Newton Stewart 1
Johnstone Burgh 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
Formartine Utd 2
Brechin 3
Buckie Thistle 2
Strathspey Thistle 3
Dalbeattie Star 2
Lochee United 3
Inverurie Loco Works 2
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Spartans -
Haddington Athletic 0
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1
Banks O' Dee 2
Hill Of Beath 2
Glasgow University 0
Musselburgh 2
Lossiemouth 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Largs Thistle 1
Dunipace 5
Preston Athletic 2
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Keith 2
Stonehaven 1
Nairn County 0
Gretna 2008 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Deveronvale 2
Troon FC 3
Caledonian Braves 4
Fraserburgh 0
Beith 0
Huntly 3
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Annan -
Forres Mechanics 0
Stirling University 1
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Elgin City -
Renfrew 3
Broxburn Athletic 2
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Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle 2
East Stirlingshire 0
Clachnacuddin 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Stranraer -
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Tayport FC 3
Wick Academy 0
Penicuik 3
Kilwinning Rangers 1
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Clyde -
Threave Rovers 3
Invergordon 2
Pollok 4
Albion Rovers 1
Linlithgow Rose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Tranent FC 3
Turriff United 1
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1/64-finals
Boness United -
Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
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Cowdenbeath -
Johnstone Burgh -
Formartine Utd -
Brechin -
Strathspey Thistle -
Lochee United -
Spartans -
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Banks O' Dee -
Hill Of Beath -
Musselburgh -
Largs Thistle -
Dunipace -
Dumbarton -
Keith -
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Cumnock Juniors -
Troon FC -
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Huntly -
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Stirling University -
Elgin City -
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Bonnyton Thistle -
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