Pronostics Sportifs
Esteli vs Alianza FC
North & Central America
CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Independencia, Estelí 
Résumé du Match
A one-off knockout match in the CONCACAF Central American Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Esteli have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Alianza FC's 1.25 scored and 1 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.25 - 0.94) back Esteli to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Look at the last few games and Esteli come out ahead of Alianza FC on wins alone.
- Model gives Esteli a 50% chance of winning this.
- Esteli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
- Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Esteli | Alianza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 28 | 31 |
| Victoires | 17 | 16 |
| Nuls | 7 | 6 |
| Défaites | 4 | 9 |
| Buts Marqués | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Buts Encaissés | 0.63 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.00 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Indice de Momentum SokaPicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Esteli scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Esteli has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Alianza FC let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Difficult form: Alianza FC registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Tendances de Buts
Recent Form & Match History
Esteli
(Home)Alianza FC
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diriangen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Xelaju | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Alajuelense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Luis Angel Firpo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Plaza Amador | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Herediano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Marathon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Alianza FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Esteli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Antigua | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Saprissa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Alianza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | UMECIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Deportivo Mixco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Motagua | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Municipal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cartagines | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | FAS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Verdes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
