Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

F. Karagumruk vs Soma Spor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turquie Turquie

Turkish Cup
mer. 28 oct. 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

A one-off knockout match in the Turkish Cup. This one's hard to separate. F. Karagumruk have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Soma Spor's 1.54 scored and 1.82 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.40 vs 1.54, favoring F. Karagumruk. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

36%
F. Karagumruk
44%
Nuls
20%
Soma Spor
Projection de nul: 44% Favori: Draw

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

71% / Moyen de Confiance
  • Soma Spor average 1.54 goals a game right now, well clear of F. Karagumruk's 1.18.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 35%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 16%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 73.8%
F. Karagumruk Match sans Encaisser 15%
Soma Spor Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique F. Karagumruk Soma Spor
Matchs Joués 28 28
Victoires 10 10
Nuls 6 5
Défaites 12 13
Buts Marqués 1.18 1.54
Buts Encaissés 1.39 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.54
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

F. Karagumruk 35 / 100
Soma Spor 20 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
F. Karagumruk Soma Spor

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Soma Spor Win (2)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

F. Karagumruk scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Soma Spor let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

F. Karagumruk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Soma Spor's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tendances de Buts

F. Karagumruk VS Soma Spor
1.5 Buts Marqués 1.71
1.38 Buts Encaissés 1.29
88% Plus de 1.5 57%
50% Plus de 2.5 57%
13% Plus de 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

F. Karagumruk

(Home)
03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1
F. Karagumruk
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Manisa FK
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3
F. Karagumruk
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Kayserispor
Page 1 of 6

Soma Spor

(Away)
07 Oct
Soma Spor
4 : 2
Alanya 1221
26 Sept
Ankaraspor
0 : 1
Soma Spor
20 Sept
Soma Spor
1 : 3
Musspor
12 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
1 : 3
Soma Spor
06 Sept
Soma Spor
3 : 3
Aksaray Bld.
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
SinopSpor 0
Arit Kayadibi 3
Bursa Yildirimspor -
TBD -
Amasyaspor 10
Cankirigucu 0
Elazigspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 -
TBD -
Kilis Birlikgucu 0
Kahta 2
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 3
Kesap 0
TBD -
Etimesgut -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altay 2
Soke 1970 4
TBD -
Ayvalikgucu -
Nigde -
TBD -
TBD -
Agri 1970 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
Bigaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Bucaspor 1928 0
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 4
TBD -
Fethiyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eyupspor -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Duzcespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksehirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mazidagi -
TBD -
Kirikkale FK 0
Kirsehir SK 3
Adana 01 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Kutahyaspor -
Osmaniyespor -
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5
Bucak Belediyesi 1
TBD -
TBD -
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Musspor -
Pazarspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Erbaaspor -
TBD -
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Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
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12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
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Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu -
TBD -
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Cizre Belediyesi -
Hakkari Zap -
TBD -
Adanademirspor -
Orduspor 1967 10
Torul Belediye Genclik Ve Spor 0
TBD -
Karadeniz Eregli -
TBD -
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TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gemlikspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu -
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hatayspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Karakopru -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu -
TBD -
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirklarelispor -
TBD -
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 3
Borcka Spor 0
Menemenspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. -
TBD -
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Yesil Yalova FK 1
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
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Kucukcekmece -
TBD -
TBD -
Buyukcekmece Gucu -
Sanliurfaspor -
TBD -
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Golcukspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Yozgat -
Inegol Kafkas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor -
TBD -
Uzunkopruspor Kulubu 1
Bulvarspor 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soma Spor -
TBD -
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Alanya 1221 -
Adanaspor AS -
Yeni Malatyaspor -
TBD -
Adana Adaletgucu -
TBD -
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Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 -
TBD -
TBD -
Silifke -
TBD -
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Kayserispor -
Gole Spor 0
Kars 36 Spor 5
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karsiyaka -
TBD -
Afyonkarahisaspor 2
Urgupspor Kulubu 1
52 Orduspor -
TBD -
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TBD -
Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malatya -
TBD -
Dersim Spor 0
Gelecek Siirt 3
Osmaneli Belediyespor 0
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Karaman FK 2
Kepez Bld. 3
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Aksaray Bld. -
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1/8-finals
Sakaryaspor 2
Arit Kayadibi 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Amasyaspor 0
Elazigspor -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 2
Kahta 0
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
Etimesgut 5
TBD -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
TBD -
Soke 1970 1
Ayvalikgucu 2
Nigde 0
Agri 1970 2
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
Bigaspor 0
Balikesirspor 3
TBD -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 0
Fethiyespor 2
TBD -
Eyupspor -
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Duzcespor 1
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor 4
Aksehirspor 1
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
Mazidagi 1
Kirsehir SK 0
Adana 01 -
TBD -
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Kutahyaspor -
Osmaniyespor 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 3
TBD -
Musspor -
Pazarspor 3
Erbaaspor 1
TBD -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0
Serik Spor 1
Hakkari Zap 6
Adanademirspor 1
Orduspor 1967 4
Karadeniz Eregli 1
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
Gemlikspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 0
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
Hatayspor 1
Karakopru 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 0
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
Kirklarelispor 1
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 0
Menemenspor -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. 3
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece 5
Buyukcekmece Gucu 1
Sanliurfaspor -
TBD -
Golcukspor 2
Yozgat 0
Inegol Kafkas -
TBD -
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K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor 3
Bulvarspor 2
TBD -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
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Corluspor -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
Soma Spor 4
Alanya 1221 2
Adanaspor AS 0
Adana Adaletgucu 2
TBD -
Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 6
Silifke 0
TBD -
Kayserispor -
Kars 36 Spor 1
Fatsa Bld. 0
TBD -
Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
Karsiyaka 3
Afyonkarahisaspor 1
52 Orduspor -
TBD -
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Trabzon FK -
Guzide Gebzespor -
TBD -
Malatya 3
Gelecek Siirt 1
Eskisehir Anadolu 4
Kepez Bld. 2
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Quarter-finals
Sakaryaspor -
Bursa Yildirimspor -
Elazigspor -
Erciyes 38 -
Kastamonuspor -
24Erzincanspor -
Etimesgut -
Gaziantep -
Sariyer -
Ayvalikgucu -
Agri 1970 -
Istanbulspor AS -
Balikesirspor -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Fethiyespor -
Eyupspor -
Duzcespor -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Eskisehirspor -
Igdir FK -
Kocaelispor -
Mazidagi -
Adana 01 -
Kutahyaspor -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu -
Musspor -
Pazarspor -
Aliaga -
Alanyaspor -
12 Bingol Spor -
Inegolspor -
Sebat Spor Kulubu -
Serik Spor -
Hakkari Zap -
Orduspor 1967 -
Vanspor FK -
Ankara Demirspor -
Gemlikspor -
Genclerbirligi -
Karakopru -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu -
Iskenderunspor -
Ankaraspor -
Kirklarelispor -
Menemenspor -
Karacabey Bld. -
Umraniyespor -
Kucukcekmece -
Sanliurfaspor -
Golcukspor -
Inegol Kafkas -
K. Istklalspor -
Silivrispor -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
Kasimpasa -
Corluspor -
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Soma Spor -
Adana Adaletgucu -
Ankaragucu -
Bitlis 1916 -
Kayserispor -
Kars 36 Spor -
Antalyaspor -
Boluspor -
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52 Orduspor -
Trabzon FK -
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Malatya -
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