Pronostics Sportifs
Résumé du Match
FC Caracal enters this Liga 3 - Seria 4 2008/2009 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 58%. FC Caracal averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. Armata Craiova shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for FC Caracal, 0 wins for Armata Craiova, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 30.04.10 ended in a 0:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.97 for FC Caracal and 0.75 for Armata Craiova, suggesting the primary value lies in the FC Caracal double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- FC Caracal a pris plus de points récemment que Armata Craiova.
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (0.97 vs 0.75 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les locaux.
- Des défenses solides favorisent une rencontre fermée avec peu de buts.
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | FC Caracal | Armata Craiova |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 32 | 30 |
| Victoires | 17 | 6 |
| Nuls | 7 | 6 |
| Défaites | 8 | 18 |
| Buts Marqués | 1.41 | 0.87 |
| Buts Encaissés | 0.88 | 1.77 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
FC Caracal
Armata Craiova
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
FC Caracal is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Armata Craiova will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of FC Caracal's attacks.
Expect FC Caracal to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see FC Caracal vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Armata Craiova, allowing FC Caracal's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from FC Caracal, while Armata Craiova takes risks to salvage a result.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
FC Caracal have found the net in 72% of their last 32 matches.
Armata Craiova have conceded at least one goal in 80% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.
FC Caracal remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Armata Craiova suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Turnu Severin | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63:24 | 74 |
| 2 | FC Caracal | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 55:24 | 65 |
| 3 | Adunatii-Copaceni | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 61:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Muscelul Muscel | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 61:36 | 55 |
| 5 | Viitorul Pucioasa | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 49:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Oltchim Ramnicu | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:34 | 51 |
| 7 | Minerul Motru | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 55:49 | 49 |
| 8 | Olt Slatina | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 36:41 | 45 |
| 9 | Armata Craiova | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 10 | Jiul Rovinari | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 42 |
| 11 | Matasari | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33:40 | 40 |
| 12 | Prometeu Craiova | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 37:41 | 38 |
| 13 | Campionii Arges 2 | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 41:46 | 38 |
| 14 | Energia Rovinari | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 37:54 | 34 |
| 15 | Progresul Corabia | 32 | 10 | 3 | 19 | 37:53 | 33 |
| 16 | Petrom Chimia Craiova | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 28:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Bals | 32 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 19:89 | 12 |