Pronostics Sportifs
FC Mariupol II vs Kryvbas Krivoy Rog
Ukraine
Druha Liga 2011/2012 Volodymyr Boiko Stadium 
Résumé du Match
Kryvbas Krivoy Rog is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to FC Mariupol II, backed by a win probability of 58%. FC Mariupol II averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Kryvbas Krivoy Rog shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for FC Mariupol II, 4 wins for Kryvbas Krivoy Rog, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 27.04.12 ended in a 3:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for FC Mariupol II and 1.25 for Kryvbas Krivoy Rog, suggesting the primary value lies in the Kryvbas Krivoy Rog double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- FC Mariupol II a pris plus de points récemment que Kryvbas Krivoy Rog.
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (1.23 vs 1.25 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les visiteurs.
- Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 58%).
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | FC Mariupol II | Kryvbas Krivoy Rog |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 32 | 32 |
| Victoires | 12 | 18 |
| Nuls | 1 | 10 |
| Défaites | 19 | 4 |
| Buts Marqués | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Buts Encaissés | 1.59 | 0.97 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
FC Mariupol II
Kryvbas Krivoy Rog
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
Kryvbas Krivoy Rog will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
FC Mariupol II will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Kryvbas Krivoy Rog's early runs.
Expect Kryvbas Krivoy Rog to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as FC Mariupol II tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Kryvbas Krivoy Rog increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for FC Mariupol II's defense, opening up opportunities for Kryvbas Krivoy Rog's forward line.
Expect Kryvbas Krivoy Rog to manage the closing stages, while FC Mariupol II searches for late drama.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
FC Mariupol II have found the net in 68% of their last 31 matches.
Kryvbas Krivoy Rog have conceded at least one goal in 52% of their last 29 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.60 goals per match.
FC Mariupol II remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Kryvbas Krivoy Rog suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sumy | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 51:13 | 66 |
| 2 | Desna | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 48:19 | 59 |
| 3 | Cherkashchyna | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 36:16 | 53 |
| 4 | Nova Kakhovka | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51:18 | 52 |
| 5 | UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:25 | 48 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (2004) | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 40:32 | 33 |
| 7 | Real Pharma Odesa | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 28:41 | 33 |
| 8 | Krystal | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 30:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Skala Stryj | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26:36 | 28 |
| 10 | FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 23:50 | 22 |
| 11 | Ch. Odesa 2 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 19:20 | 20 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:41 | 18 |
| 13 | Yednist | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19:57 | 15 |
| 14 | Yalpuh Bolhrad | 26 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 10:54 | 7 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Poltava | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 50:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Kramatorsk 2 | 26 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 41:15 | 58 |
| 3 | Shakhter Sverdlovsk | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 49:23 | 51 |
| 4 | Kryvbas Krivoy Rog | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 44:22 | 51 |
| 5 | Kremin | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 34:23 | 51 |
| 6 | Stal Kamianske | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 34:19 | 48 |
| 7 | Myr Hornostajivka | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 36:26 | 46 |
| 8 | Shakhtar 3 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 15 | 46:56 | 31 |
| 9 | Hirnyk-Sport | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:39 | 26 |
| 10 | FC Sevastopol 2 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 26:51 | 24 |
| 11 | Dnipro II | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24:45 | 23 |
| 12 | SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 2 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 19:43 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Mariupol II | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 25:47 | 17 |
| 14 | FC Nikopol | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 20:48 | 17 |