Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Fortaleza vs Maguary

Brésil Brésil

Copa Betano do Brasil Castelão, Fortaleza
Notre Pronostic

Événements du Match

15' Event
Luiz Fernando
42' Event
Julio Cesar
45' Event
Cardona T.

Résumé du Match

First leg ended 4-3. This leg finished 4-3.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

36%
Fortaleza
30%
Nuls
34%
Maguary
Projection de nul: 30% Favori: Fortaleza

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

66% / Moyen de Confiance
  • Fortaleza have won more games recently than Maguary.
  • Model gives Fortaleza a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Fortaleza have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fortaleza, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 70%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 32%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 70.2%
Fortaleza Match sans Encaisser 20%
Maguary Match sans Encaisser 12%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Fortaleza Maguary
Matchs Joués 34 30
Victoires 17 7
Nuls 7 10
Défaites 10 13
Buts Marqués 1.32 1.1
Buts Encaissés 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

25 févr. 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Fortaleza vs Maguary
4:3

Analyse d'Impact des Joueurs Clés

Joueurs majeurs et implication sur les buts attendus

Fortaleza Comparer

Meilleur Buteur Luiz Fernando
1 Buts
Meilleur Passeur Cardona T.
1 Ast
Moyenne xG / match 0.92
Moyenne xA / match 0.6

Maguary Comparer

Meilleur Buteur Julio Cesar
1 Buts
Meilleur Passeur Vinicius Kanu
1 Ast
Moyenne xG / match 0.91
Moyenne xA / match 0.56

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Fortaleza 36 / 100
Maguary 33 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza Maguary

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Draw (X)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Fortaleza's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Maguary conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Fortaleza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tendances de Buts

Fortaleza VS Maguary
1 Buts Marqués 1
1 Buts Encaissés 1.4
63% Plus de 1.5 60%
38% Plus de 2.5 40%
0% Plus de 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza

(Home)
09 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Fortaleza
06 Aug
Fortaleza
3 : 2
Palmeiras
02 Aug
Palmeiras
3 : 0
Fortaleza
29 Jul
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
22 Jul
Vila Nova FC
2 : 1
Fortaleza
Page 1 of 7

Maguary

(Away)
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1
Maguary
04 Jul
Maguary
2 : 3
Iguatu
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
14 Jun
ABC
1 : 0
Maguary
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
TBD -
Sport Recife -
Anapolis -
TBD -
TBD -
Cianorte -
Rio Branco ES -
TBD -
TBD -
Athletic Club -
Ypiranga FC -
TBD -
Ji-Parana 2
Pantanal 0
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Ivinhema 1
Independente AP 0
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
America RN -
TBD -
TBD -
Gremio Atletico Sampaio -
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
America MG -
TBD -
America de Propria 1
Tirol 2
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Corinthians -
Bragantino -
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Mirassol -
Gremio -
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Vasco da Gama AC 1
Velo Clube 2
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Vila Nova FC -
ASA -
TBD -
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Operario MS -
Confianca -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tombense -
TBD -
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Oratorio -
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista -
TBD -
TBD -
Maringa FC -
Retro -
TBD -
TBD -
Uberlandia -
Gama 2
Monte Roraima 0
TBD -
Goias -
Trem -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense-PI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Joinville -
TBD -
TBD -
CSA -
Sao Bernardo -
TBD -
TBD -
Alagoinhas -
Sao Luiz -
TBD -
TBD -
Maranhao -
Ceara -
TBD -
Araguaina 0
Primavera EC 3
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuna Luso -
TBD -
TBD -
Tocantinopolis -
EC Juventude -
TBD -
Galvez 1
Guapore 2
Bare 0
Madureira 3
TBD -
ABC -
Aguia De Maraba -
TBD -
TBD -
Independencia Futebol Clube -
Portuguesa -
TBD -
TBD -
AE Altos -
Avai -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Vitoria -
Paysandu PA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Maracana -
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Vasco -
Capital FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Manaus FC -
Londrina -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Penedense -
Betim FC 1
Piaui 0
TBD -
Operario-PR -
Juazeirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Capital -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
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TBD -
Operario VG -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Velho -
Atletico GO -
TBD -
Primavera AC 2
Bragantino PA 1
Ponte Preta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SER Caxias do Sul -
TBD -
TBD -
Guarany de Bage -
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
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Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
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Santa Catarina 2
IAPE 0
TBD -
Cuiaba -
Ceilandia -
TBD -
TBD -
Jacuipense -
Mixto -
TBD -
TBD -
Botafogo PB -
Novorizontino -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional-AM (Manaus) -
Castanhal -
TBD -
TBD -
Guarani -
Nova Iguacu -
TBD -
TBD -
Lagarto -
Manauara -
TBD -
TBD -
Itabaiana -
Fortaleza -
TBD -
Maguary 1
Laguna RN 0
Santa Cruz -
TBD -
TBD -
Sousa -
CRB -
TBD -
Porto-BA 2
Serra Branca 1
Imperatriz -
TBD -
TBD -
Amazonas -
Figueirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Azuriz -
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/128-finals
Desportiva Ferroviaria 0
Sport Recife 1
Anapolis 3
Cianorte 1
Rio Branco ES 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 2
Ji-Parana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Ivinhema 2
Volta Redonda 4
America RN 3
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
TBD -
America MG 2
Tirol 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Velo Clube 0
Vila Nova FC 1
ASA 1
Operario MS 2
Confianca -
TBD -
Tombense 2
Oratorio 1
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista 2
Maringa FC 3
Retro 1
Uberlandia 2
Gama 2
Goias 3
Trem 0
Fluminense-PI 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Joinville 1
CSA 0
Sao Bernardo 2
Alagoinhas 0
Sao Luiz 0
Maranhao 1
Ceara 2
Primavera EC 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuna Luso 4
Tocantinopolis 1
EC Juventude 5
Guapore 0
Madureira 1
ABC 0
Aguia De Maraba 2
Independencia Futebol Clube 0
Portuguesa 5
AE Altos 1
Avai 3
Porto Vitoria 0
Paysandu PA -
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ 1
Maracana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Capital FC 1
Manaus FC 2
Londrina 1
SC Penedense 0
Betim FC 0
Operario-PR 2
Juazeirense 1
Capital 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Operario VG 1
Porto Velho 2
Atletico GO 1
Primavera AC 0
Ponte Preta -
TBD -
SER Caxias do Sul 0
Guarany de Bage 1
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
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Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
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TBD -
Santa Catarina 2
Cuiaba 1
Ceilandia 1
Jacuipense 2
Mixto 2
Botafogo PB 1
Novorizontino 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0
Castanhal 2
Guarani 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Lagarto 1
Manauara 3
Itabaiana 1
Fortaleza 4
Maguary 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sousa 1
CRB 6
Porto-BA 0
Imperatriz 0
Amazonas 3
Figueirense 1
Azuriz 0
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/64-finals
Sport Recife 2
Anapolis 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 1
America RN 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
America MG 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 2
Operario MS 1
Confianca 2
Tombense 0
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 3
Uberlandia 2
Goias 3
Fluminense-PI 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Joinville 0
Sao Bernardo 1
Maranhao 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuna Luso 1
EC Juventude 2
Madureira 0
Aguia De Maraba 1
Portuguesa 2
Avai 1
Paysandu PA 3
Portuguesa RJ 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco -
Manaus FC 0
Londrina 1
Operario-PR 2
Capital 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Velho 0
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 1
Guarany de Bage 0
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Catarina 0
Jacuipense 1
Mixto 0
Novorizontino 3
Castanhal 0
Nova Iguacu 4
Manauara 0
Fortaleza 1
Sousa 0
CRB 2
Amazonas 0
Figueirense 1
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/32-finals
Sport Recife 1
Athletic Club 3
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 0
Confianca 1
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 0
Goias 1
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
Sao Bernardo 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
EC Juventude 3
Aguia De Maraba 0
Portuguesa 2
Paysandu PA 3
TBD -
Vasco -
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 0
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
Jacuipense 1
Novorizontino 0
Nova Iguacu 0
Fortaleza 1
CRB 1
Figueirense 0
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
Coritiba -
Bahia -
TBD -
TBD -
Remo -
1/16-finals
Athletic Club 3
Internacional 5
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0
Corinthians 2
Bragantino 2
Mirassol 3
Gremio 5
Confianca 0
Botafogo RJ 1
Chapecoense-SC 2
Goias 2
Cruzeiro 3
Atletico-MG 4
Ceara 3
Sao Paulo 2
EC Juventude 3
Paysandu PA 2
Vasco 4
Operario-PR 1
Fluminense 2
Athletico-PR 1
Atletico GO 0
Flamengo RJ 2
Vitoria 3
Palmeiras 7
Jacuipense 1
Fortaleza 2
CRB 1
Santos 2
Coritiba 0
Bahia 2
Remo 5
1/8-finals
Internacional 3
Corinthians 2
Mirassol 1
Gremio 2
Chapecoense-SC 0
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 1
EC Juventude 0
Vasco 3
Fluminense 1
Athletico-PR 2
Vitoria 4
Palmeiras 5
Fortaleza 3
Santos 1
Remo 0
Quarter-finals
Internacional -
Gremio -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
Vasco -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
Santos -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -