Pronostics Sportifs
Galactico Pegaso vs Atl. Madrid C
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 7 2008/2009 
Résumé du Match
Atl. Madrid C is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Galactico Pegaso, backed by a win probability of 58%. Galactico Pegaso averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Atl. Madrid C shows a form average of 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Galactico Pegaso, 3 wins for Atl. Madrid C, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 11.04.10 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Galactico Pegaso and 1.93 for Atl. Madrid C, suggesting the primary value lies in the Atl. Madrid C double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Galactico Pegaso a pris plus de points récemment que Atl. Madrid C.
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (1.23 vs 1.93 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les visiteurs.
- Des défenses solides favorisent une rencontre fermée avec peu de buts.
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Galactico Pegaso | Atl. Madrid C |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 32 | 35 |
| Victoires | 6 | 17 |
| Nuls | 4 | 12 |
| Défaites | 22 | 6 |
| Buts Marqués | 0.75 | 2.34 |
| Buts Encaissés | 1.81 | 1.31 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
Galactico Pegaso
Atl. Madrid C
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
Atl. Madrid C will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Galactico Pegaso will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Atl. Madrid C's early runs.
Expect Atl. Madrid C to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Galactico Pegaso tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Atl. Madrid C increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Galactico Pegaso's defense, opening up opportunities for Atl. Madrid C's forward line.
Expect Atl. Madrid C to manage the closing stages, while Galactico Pegaso searches for late drama.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Galactico Pegaso have found the net in 50% of their last 32 matches.
Atl. Madrid C have conceded at least one goal in 80% of their last 35 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.25 goals per match.
Galactico Pegaso remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Atl. Madrid C suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSD Alcala | 40 | 27 | 7 | 6 | 65:22 | 88 |
| 2 | Parla | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 63:34 | 77 |
| 3 | Rayo Majadahonda | 40 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 53:37 | 69 |
| 4 | Mexico | 40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 59:43 | 68 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano B | 40 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 52:34 | 65 |
| 6 | Getafe B | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 62:46 | 62 |
| 7 | CD Ciempozuelos | 40 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 49:42 | 60 |
| 8 | Real Madrid C | 40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 60:46 | 58 |
| 9 | Vallecas CF | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 56:53 | 57 |
| 10 | CF Fuenlabrada | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 50:48 | 56 |
| 11 | CD Mostoles | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 48:41 | 56 |
| 12 | Santa Ana | 40 | 15 | 8 | 17 | 46:52 | 53 |
| 13 | San Sebastian Reyes | 40 | 12 | 17 | 11 | 35:34 | 53 |
| 14 | Atl. Madrid C | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 52:49 | 53 |
| 15 | Atletico Pinto | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 53:49 | 52 |
| 16 | Galactico Pegaso | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 48:45 | 52 |
| 17 | Puerta Bonita | 40 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 35:41 | 51 |
| 18 | CD Las Rozas | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 19 | Club Deportivo Colonia Ofigevi | 40 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | 30 |
| 20 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 40 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 41:75 | 29 |
| 21 | Collado Villalba | 40 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 31:139 | 8 |