Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Gresley vs Romulus

Angleterre Angleterre

FA Trophy 2014/2015
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

This match ends 3-1, with Gresley advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

36%
Gresley
30%
Nuls
34%
Romulus
Projection de nul: 30% Favori: Gresley

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

66% / Moyen de Confiance
  • Look at the last few games and Gresley come out ahead of Romulus on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gresley's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Gresley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gresley, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Gresley here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 70%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 32%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 71.4%
Gresley Match sans Encaisser 17%
Romulus Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Gresley Romulus
Matchs Joués 28 30
Victoires 11 9
Nuls 5 5
Défaites 12 16
Buts Marqués 1.57 1.23
Buts Encaissés 1.54 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

6 oct. 2015 FA Trophy
Gresley vs Romulus
2:1
2 oct. 2015 FA Trophy
Romulus vs Gresley
0:0
1 nov. 2014 FA Trophy
Gresley vs Romulus
3:1

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Gresley 36 / 100
Romulus 33 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresley Romulus

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Draw (X)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Gresley found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Romulus has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Romulus registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tendances de Buts

Gresley VS Romulus
1 Buts Marqués 1.25
1.5 Buts Encaissés 2.88
63% Plus de 1.5 100%
38% Plus de 2.5 88%
25% Plus de 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresley

(Home)
23 Jul
Gresley
0 : 1
Nuneaton
09 Sept
Gresley
0 : 6
Kidsgrove Athletic
13 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 0
Gresley
13 Oct
Gresley
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
07 Oct
Gresley
0 : 1
Bedworth United
Page 1 of 6

Romulus

(Away)
18 Jul
Boldmere St Michaels
1 : 0
Romulus
03 Sept
Basford Utd.
5 : 0
Romulus
07 Sept
Romulus
0 : 4
Buxton
22 Sept
Neots
4 : 3
Romulus
08 Sept
Romulus
4 : 0
Belper Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Chasetown 5
Norton United 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Newcastle Town 2
Grantham Town -
TBD -
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Loughborough Dynamo 6
Spennymoor 3
Harrogate Railway 2
Lancaster 2
Bamber Bridge 6
Spalding United 6
Soham 1
Bedworth United 2
Leek Town 5
Rushall -
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Cambridge City -
Stafford 1
Rugby 0
St Ives Town 0
Stratford 1
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
TBD -
Farsley -
Matlock -
TBD -
TBD -
Halesowen -
Neots -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
Radcliffe 0
Darlington FC 2
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Kendal 1
Northwich Victoria 2
Stamford -
TBD -
TBD -
Barwell -
Witton Albion -
TBD -
Stocksbridge 3
Sheffield FC 4
Clitheroe 3
Droylsden 2
TBD -
Workington -
Market Drayton 5
Rainworth 2
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Carlton Town -
Redditch -
TBD -
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Corby -
Trafford -
TBD -
Brighouse Town 0
Ossett Town 1
Gresley 2
Tividale 0
Daventry 0
Romulus 2
Prescot Cables 2
Salford 1
Burscough 0
Goole 1
United of Manchester -
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Brigg Town 2
Padiham 4
Ashton United -
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Buxton -
Nantwich -
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Skelmersdale -
Whitby -
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Ramsbottom Utd -
Mickleover 4
Coalville Town 1
Lincoln Utd. 1
Kettering 2
Mossley AFC 2
Warrington Town 1
Ossett Albion 1
New Mills 2
Evesham -
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Banbury -
Frickley -
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Marine -
Hereford -
TBD -
Cinderford Town 2
AFC Totton 4
Bishops Cleeve -
TBD -
Clevedon 0
Mangotsfield 3
FC Witham Town -
TBD -
Potters 3
Royston Town 6
Egham Town 2
Bridgwater United 1
TBD -
Truro -
Dereham 2
Hanwell Town 1
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Tiverton 2
Wantage 0
Bashley 0
Sholing 1
Weymouth -
TBD -
Larkhall 2
Shortwood 4
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
Burnham FC -
Maidstone -
TBD -
Needham Market 1
Walton & Hersham 3
Sudbury 3
Whitstable Town 1
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Bognor Regis -
Metropolitan Police -
TBD -
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Billericay -
Chalfont St Peter 2
AFC Hayes 1
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Barkingside -
TBD -
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Kingstonian -
Ware 4
Great Wakering 0
Sittingbourne 2
Horsham FC 6
Peacehaven & Telscombe -
TBD -
East Grinstead Town 1
Walton Casuals 6
Three Bridges 4
Carshalton 1
Aylesbury United 2
Thamesmead 3
Lewes -
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Wroxham 2
Harlow 5
South Park 5
Cheshunt 1
Herne Bay 3
Heybridge 6
Leiston -
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Corinthian-Casuals 4
Leighton Town 6
Fleet Town 2
Swindon Supermarine 1
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Paulton Rovers -
Burgess Hill 1
Aveley 0
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Chesham -
Thurrock 4
Tilbury 3
Ramsgate 1
Folkestone 4
Slough Town -
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Margate -
Cirencester -
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Taunton Town 1
Merthyr Town 2
Brentwood 3
Redhill 2
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Biggleswade Town -
North Leigh 2
Yate 1
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Poole Town -
Uxbridge 4
Romford 3
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Hythe 3
Didcot 3
Marlow 1
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Bideford -
Bedford 4
Chipstead 3
Burnham Ramblers 1
Brightlingsea 5
Frome Town -
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Chippenham Town -
Whyteleafe 2
Redbridge 1
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Dunstable Town -
Leatherhead -
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Canvey Island -
Hornchurch -
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Harrow Borough -
Aylesbury Vale 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
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Merstham -
Histon -
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Belper Town -
Faversham 4
Beaconsfield Town 0
Hastings 0
Cray Wanderers 2
Hungerford -
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East Thurrock Utd -
Wingate & Finchley -
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Arlesey -
Hendon -
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Bury Town -
Chatham 1
North Greenford Utd. 0
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Worthing FC -
Tonbridge -
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VCD Athletic -
Hampton & Richmond -
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Grays -
Wimborne 3
Godalming Town 2
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Dorchester -
Guernsey FC 4
Barton 0
Waltham Abbey 1
Northwood 3
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Semi-finals
Chasetown 2
Newcastle Town 1
Grantham Town 1
Loughborough Dynamo 3
Spennymoor 3
Bamber Bridge 1
Spalding United 3
Leek Town 4
Rushall 2
Cambridge City 0
Stafford 0
Stratford 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Farsley 0
Matlock 1
Halesowen 5
Neots 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Darlington FC 4
Curzon Ashton 1
Northwich Victoria 0
Stamford 0
Barwell 1
Witton Albion 1
Sheffield FC 0
Clitheroe 0
Workington 2
Market Drayton 3
King’s Lynn 7
Stourbridge 5
Carlton Town 3
Redditch 1
Corby 0
Trafford 5
Ossett Town 2
Gresley 3
Romulus 1
Prescot Cables 2
Goole 4
United of Manchester 2
Padiham 0
Ashton United 0
Buxton 2
Nantwich 2
Skelmersdale 0
Whitby 1
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Mickleover 3
Kettering 2
Mossley AFC 2
New Mills 3
Evesham 2
Banbury 3
Frickley 0
Marine 2
Hereford 2
AFC Totton 1
Bishops Cleeve 1
Mangotsfield 5
FC Witham Town 2
Royston Town 1
Egham Town 0
Truro 3
Dereham 1
Enfield Town 0
Tiverton 0
Sholing 1
Weymouth 1
Shortwood 0
Hitchin 2
Burnham FC 4
Maidstone 3
Walton & Hersham 2
Sudbury 4
Bognor Regis 3
Metropolitan Police 1
Billericay 0
Chalfont St Peter 0
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Barkingside 3
Kingstonian 1
Ware 0
Horsham FC 1
Peacehaven & Telscombe 4
Walton Casuals 2
Three Bridges 1
Thamesmead 3
Lewes 1
Harlow 0
South Park 1
Heybridge 4
Leiston 7
Leighton Town 4
Fleet Town 0
Paulton Rovers 3
Burgess Hill 2
Chesham 0
Thurrock 2
Folkestone 3
Slough Town 2
Margate 0
Cirencester 0
Merthyr Town 2
Brentwood 3
Biggleswade Town 4
North Leigh 1
Poole Town 3
Uxbridge 6
Hythe 1
Didcot 5
Bideford 4
Bedford 4
Brightlingsea 0
Frome Town 1
Chippenham Town 3
Whyteleafe 3
Dunstable Town 1
Leatherhead 4
Canvey Island 3
Hornchurch 2
Harrow Borough 0
Aylesbury Vale 1
Merstham 2
Histon 3
Belper Town 2
Faversham 0
Cray Wanderers 3
Hungerford 3
East Thurrock Utd 5
Wingate & Finchley 1
Arlesey 2
Hendon 3
Bury Town 1
Chatham 1
Worthing FC 2
Tonbridge 2
VCD Athletic 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Grays 3
Wimborne 3
Dorchester 1
Guernsey FC 2
Northwood 3
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Final
Chasetown 4
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Spennymoor 4
Leek Town 3
Rushall 5
Stratford 0
Blyth Spartans 1
Halesowen 3
Neots 3
Darlington FC 1
Curzon Ashton 1
Barwell 2
Witton Albion 3
Workington 6
King’s Lynn 3
Stourbridge 1
Redditch 5
Trafford 2
Gresley 2
Goole 0
United of Manchester 2
Buxton 0
Nantwich 1
Ramsbottom Utd 3
Mickleover 3
New Mills 1
Banbury 3
Marine 2
Hereford 2
Mangotsfield 0
FC Witham Town 0
Truro 1
Dereham 0
Sholing 2
Weymouth 1
Burnham FC 0
Maidstone 0
Sudbury 2
Metropolitan Police 2
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Barkingside 1
Horsham FC 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 4
Thamesmead 3
Lewes 4
Heybridge 3
Leiston 3
Paulton Rovers 2
Burgess Hill 1
Folkestone 0
Slough Town 3
Merthyr Town 4
Biggleswade Town 1
Poole Town 2
Uxbridge 1
Didcot 2
Bedford 2
Chippenham Town 1
Whyteleafe 1
Leatherhead 4
Hornchurch 4
Merstham 2
Histon 0
Cray Wanderers 2
East Thurrock Utd 6
Arlesey 5
Hendon 4
Worthing FC 0
Tonbridge 2
Grays 0
Wimborne 2
Northwood 1
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