Pronostics Sportifs
Résumé du Match
Hinckley host Chesham in the Southern Premier League 2013/2014. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Hinckley have averaged 1.67 scored and 2.67 conceded recently, against Chesham's 2.03 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Hinckley slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 1 mars 2014, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 1.74, favoring Chesham. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Chesham carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Chesham a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Hinckley | Chesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 3 | 30 |
| Victoires | 1 | 15 |
| Nuls | 0 | 3 |
| Défaites | 2 | 12 |
| Buts Marqués | 1.67 | 2.03 |
| Buts Encaissés | 2.67 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Indice de Momentum SokaPicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Hinckley scored in 100% of their last 3 games.
Chesham let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.
Hinckley went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Tendances de Buts
Recent Form & Match History
Hinckley
(Home)Chesham
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hemel Hempstead | 44 | 32 | 6 | 6 | 128:38 | 102 |
| 2 | Chesham | 44 | 29 | 5 | 10 | 102:47 | 92 |
| 3 | Cambridge City | 44 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 95:49 | 88 |
| 4 | St. Albans | 44 | 25 | 10 | 9 | 89:49 | 85 |
| 5 | Stourbridge | 44 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 114:54 | 84 |
| 6 | Hungerford | 44 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 83:45 | 84 |
| 7 | Poole Town | 44 | 25 | 10 | 9 | 82:48 | 82 |
| 8 | Bideford | 44 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 75:64 | 67 |
| 9 | Biggleswade Town | 44 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 85:61 | 64 |
| 10 | Redditch | 44 | 20 | 3 | 21 | 68:85 | 63 |
| 11 | Corby | 44 | 18 | 6 | 20 | 65:68 | 60 |
| 12 | Weymouth | 44 | 18 | 6 | 20 | 69:80 | 60 |
| 13 | Hitchin | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 63:52 | 59 |
| 14 | Frome Town | 44 | 16 | 9 | 19 | 63:74 | 57 |
| 15 | Arlesey | 44 | 15 | 10 | 19 | 68:79 | 55 |
| 16 | Neots | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 74:76 | 54 |
| 17 | Truro | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 68:84 | 54 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 44 | 14 | 6 | 24 | 59:87 | 48 |
| 19 | Banbury | 44 | 14 | 5 | 25 | 64:116 | 47 |
| 20 | Burnham FC | 44 | 12 | 8 | 24 | 60:91 | 44 |
| 21 | AFC Totton | 44 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 58:119 | 37 |
| 22 | Bedford | 44 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 46:114 | 24 |
| 23 | Bashley | 44 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 33:131 | 16 |