Pronostics Sportifs
Imperio Merida vs Atletico San Jose Promesas
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2010/2011 
Résumé du Match
Atletico San Jose Promesas is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Imperio Merida, backed by a win probability of 64%. Imperio Merida averages 0.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded in recent matches. Atletico San Jose Promesas shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Imperio Merida, 1 wins for Atletico San Jose Promesas, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 15.05.11 ended in a 3:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.04 for Imperio Merida and 0.86 for Atletico San Jose Promesas, suggesting the primary value lies in the Atletico San Jose Promesas double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Imperio Merida a pris plus de points récemment que Atletico San Jose Promesas.
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (1.04 vs 0.86 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les visiteurs.
- Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 59%).
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Imperio Merida | Atletico San Jose Promesas |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 30 | 32 |
| Victoires | 3 | 10 |
| Nuls | 3 | 8 |
| Défaites | 24 | 14 |
| Buts Marqués | 0.67 | 1.03 |
| Buts Encaissés | 2.73 | 1.66 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
Imperio Merida
Atletico San Jose Promesas
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
Atletico San Jose Promesas will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Imperio Merida will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Atletico San Jose Promesas's early runs.
Expect Atletico San Jose Promesas to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Imperio Merida tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Atletico San Jose Promesas increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Imperio Merida's defense, opening up opportunities for Atletico San Jose Promesas's forward line.
Expect Atletico San Jose Promesas to manage the closing stages, while Imperio Merida searches for late drama.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Imperio Merida have found the net in 47% of their last 30 matches.
Atletico San Jose Promesas have conceded at least one goal in 69% of their last 32 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.50 goals per match.
Imperio Merida remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Atletico San Jose Promesas suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villanovense | 38 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 83:30 | 93 |
| 2 | Sp. Villanueva | 38 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 81:24 | 92 |
| 3 | Arroyo | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 62:36 | 70 |
| 4 | Jerez CF | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 61:32 | 64 |
| 5 | Merida UD | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 48:32 | 58 |
| 6 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 55:49 | 56 |
| 7 | Don Benito | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 48:47 | 56 |
| 8 | Moralo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 47:45 | 54 |
| 9 | Miajadas | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 38:41 | 54 |
| 10 | Sanvicenteno | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 47:39 | 51 |
| 11 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 12 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45:50 | 49 |
| 13 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 39:48 | 47 |
| 14 | CD Coria | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:52 | 47 |
| 15 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 52:61 | 44 |
| 16 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 53:68 | 42 |
| 17 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 38:52 | 39 |
| 18 | CD Santa Marta | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 34:58 | 35 |
| 19 | Olivenza CP | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 39:72 | 30 |
| 20 | Imperio Merida | 38 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 28:98 | 18 |