Pronostics Sportifs
Indy Eleven vs Monterey Bay
USA
USL Championship Michael A. Carroll Stadium 
Résumé du Match
Indy Eleven enters this USL Championship fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 57%. Indy Eleven averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Monterey Bay shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Indy Eleven, 2 wins for Monterey Bay, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 11.04.26 ended in a 3:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.63 for Indy Eleven and 1.25 for Monterey Bay, suggesting the primary value lies in the Indy Eleven double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Indy Eleven a pris plus de points récemment que Monterey Bay.
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (1.63 vs 1.25 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les locaux.
- Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 59%).
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Indy Eleven | Monterey Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 28 | 28 |
| Victoires | 13 | 6 |
| Nuls | 6 | 6 |
| Défaites | 9 | 16 |
| Buts Marqués | 1.36 | 0.93 |
| Buts Encaissés | 1.11 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.88 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
Indy Eleven
Monterey Bay
Analyse d'Impact des Joueurs Clés
Joueurs majeurs et implication sur les buts attendus
Indy Eleven Comparer
Monterey Bay Comparer
Alertes Disponibilité
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
Indy Eleven is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Monterey Bay will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Indy Eleven's attacks.
Expect Indy Eleven to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Indy Eleven vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Monterey Bay, allowing Indy Eleven's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Indy Eleven, while Monterey Bay takes risks to salvage a result.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Indy Eleven have found the net in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Monterey Bay have conceded at least one goal in 82% of their last 28 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.60 goals per match.
Indy Eleven remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Monterey Bay suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23:8 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30:19 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 10:10 | 18 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:23 | 17 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21:15 | 15 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15:26 | 10 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17:39 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:15 | 26 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20:17 | 24 |
| 3 | Oakland Roots | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 23:20 | 21 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 19 |
| 5 | New Mexico | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 18 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Sacramento Republic | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:23 | 16 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Lexington | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14:22 | 14 |