Pronostics Sportifs
Événements du Match
3'
3'
Erverson
90'
90'
Rigley
Résumé du Match
Joinville in this Serie D matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Joinville.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
31%
39%
30%
Projection de nul: 39% Favori: Draw
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
65%
/ Moyen de Confiance
- Form's been kind to Sao Luiz lately — more wins on the board than Joinville.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Des défenses solides favorisent une rencontre fermée avec peu de buts.
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Plus de 0.5 Buts 85%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 44%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 25%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 19%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 9%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 29.6%
Joinville Match sans Encaisser 21%
Sao Luiz Match sans Encaisser 68%
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Joinville | Sao Luiz |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 29 | 30 |
| Victoires | 7 | 9 |
| Nuls | 5 | 11 |
| Défaites | 17 | 10 |
| Buts Marqués | 0.9 | 1.03 |
| Buts Encaissés | 1.59 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
7 juin 2026 Serie D
Sao Luiz vs Joinville
3:1
4 avr. 2026 Serie D
Joinville vs Sao Luiz
2:0
14 juin 2025 Serie D
Joinville vs Sao Luiz
2:1
26 mai 2025 Serie D
Sao Luiz vs Joinville
0:1
14 nov. 2020 Serie D
Sao Luiz vs Joinville
2:1
Analyse d'Impact des Joueurs Clés
Joueurs majeurs et implication sur les buts attendus
Joinville Comparer
Meilleur Buteur Erverson
1 Buts Meilleur Passeur Rigley
1 Ast
Moyenne xG / match 0.48
Moyenne xA / match 0.32
Sao Luiz Comparer
Moyenne xG / match 1.03
Moyenne xA / match 0.63
Indice de Momentum SokaPicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Joinville 32 / 100
Sao Luiz 41 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Joinville Sao Luiz
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Pronostic Principal Sao Luiz Win (2)
Pronostic Secondaire Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
Pronostic BTTS No (NG)
Prono Plus/Moins Under 2.5
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Defensive concern: Sao Luiz conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Joinville found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: Joinville stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Tendances de Buts
Joinville VS Sao Luiz
0.75 Buts Marqués 1
1.25 Buts Encaissés 0.5
50% Plus de 1.5 38%
25% Plus de 2.5 13%
25% Plus de 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Joinville
(Home) 30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2 Joinville
07 Jun
Sao Luiz
3 : 1 Joinville
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0 Guarany de Bage
23 May
Joinville
0 : 0 Cianorte
16 May
Santa Catarina
1 : 0 Joinville
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0 Guarany de Bage
23 May
Joinville
0 : 0 Cianorte
02 May
Joinville
1 : 1 FC Cascavel
25 Apr
Joinville
2 : 1 Santa Catarina
04 Apr
Joinville
2 : 0 Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 3
Sao Luiz
(Away) 26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1 Sao Luiz
19 Jul
Sao Luiz
0 : 0 CSA
12 Jul
Sao Luiz
3 : 1 Velo Clube
04 Jul
Velo Clube
2 : 1 Sao Luiz
27 Jun
Blumenau
1 : 2 Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1 Sao Luiz
04 Jul
Velo Clube
2 : 1 Sao Luiz
27 Jun
Blumenau
1 : 2 Sao Luiz
31 May
FC Cascavel
0 : 0 Sao Luiz
23 May
Santa Catarina
1 : 0 Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manauara | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 13:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Raimundo RR | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Monte Roraima | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Manaus FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 6 | Gremio Atletico Sampaio | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guapore | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Porto Velho | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 33:9 | 18 |
| 3 | Araguaina | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 31:9 | 18 |
| 4 | Independencia Futebol Clube | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 5 | Galvez | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:31 | 10 |
| 6 | SC Humaita | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:50 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gama | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23:6 | 26 |
| 2 | Luverdense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Brasiliense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Aparecidense | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 5 | Primavera AC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 6 | Inhumas | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Capital | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Goiatuba EC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Ceilandia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Mixto | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 5 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | 9 |
| 6 | Operario VG | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:16 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trem | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:13 | 20 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Imperatriz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 4 | Tuna Luso | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 5 | Tocantinopolis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18:18 | 12 |
| 6 | Oratorio | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12:29 | 4 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iguatu | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Maracana | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Parnahyba | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Sampaio Correa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Moto Club | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 6 | IAPE | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10:20 | 4 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferroviario | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Piaui | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 3 | Fluminense-PI | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 4 | AE Altos | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 5 | Tirol | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Atletico Cearense | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6:14 | 7 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 23 |
| 2 | America RN | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:3 | 21 |
| 3 | Maguary | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Central SC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Sousa | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4:11 | 10 |
| 6 | Laguna RN | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Treze PB | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 2 | Sergipe | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 15 |
| 3 | Serra Branca | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Lagarto | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | 13 |
| 5 | Retro | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Decisao | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSA | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Juazeirense | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 17 |
| 3 | ASA | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Jacuipense | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:14 | 13 |
| 5 | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 6 | Alagoinhas | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5:20 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uberlandia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Betim FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 3 | CRAC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Ivinhema | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:12 | 13 |
| 5 | ABECAT Ouvidorense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | 12 |
| 6 | Operario MS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:12 | 9 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Democrata GV | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 2 | Tombense | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Vitoria ES | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Rio Branco ES | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 5 | Porto-BA | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:21 | 10 |
| 6 | Real Noroeste | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6:11 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 13)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | 21 |
| 2 | Agua Santa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 17 |
| 3 | Portuguesa RJ | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 4 | America RJ | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:21 | 12 |
| 5 | Madureira | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 6 | Pouso Alegre | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:14 | 7 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 14)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piracicaba | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 2 | Noroeste | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Velo Clube | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Sampaio Correa FE | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Nova Iguacu | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Marica | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 15)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Cianorte | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9:8 | 16 |
| 3 | FC Cascavel | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:4 | 15 |
| 4 | Sao Luiz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Joinville | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:8 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarany de Bage | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2:18 | 4 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 16)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenau | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 2 | Marcilio Dias | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Sao Joseense | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3:4 | 13 |
| 4 | EC Sao Jose (PA) | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | 13 |
| 5 | Brasil de Pelotas | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 6 | Azuriz | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:11 | 9 |
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)
