Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Knockbreda vs Crewe

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017
Notre Pronostic

Événements du Match

15' Event
McAllister E.
25' Event
McCracken W.
62' Event
Cooling M.
(Pénalty)

Résumé du Match

Crewe in this Irish Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

36%
Knockbreda
30%
Nuls
34%
Crewe
Projection de nul: 30% Favori: Knockbreda

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

66% / Moyen de Confiance
  • Crewe have won more games recently than Knockbreda.
  • Knockbreda are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Crewe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Crewe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 81%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 99%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 100%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 81%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 70%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 32%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 75%
Knockbreda Match sans Encaisser 14%
Crewe Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Knockbreda Crewe
Matchs Joués 33 30
Victoires 7 11
Nuls 4 1
Défaites 22 18
Buts Marqués 1.12 1.6
Buts Encaissés 2.61 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.83 1.58
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

7 janv. 2017 Irish Cup
Knockbreda vs Crewe
1:2

Analyse d'Impact des Joueurs Clés

Joueurs majeurs et implication sur les buts attendus

Knockbreda Comparer

Moyenne xG / match 2.18
Moyenne xA / match 1.42

Crewe Comparer

Meilleur Buteur McAllister E.
1 Buts
Meilleur Passeur McCracken W.
1 Ast
Moyenne xG / match 1.44
Moyenne xA / match 0.88

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Knockbreda 35 / 100
Crewe 33 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Knockbreda Crewe

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Draw (X)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Crewe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Knockbreda's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Crewe's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tendances de Buts

Knockbreda VS Crewe
1 Buts Marqués 0.67
2.5 Buts Encaissés 4.67
100% Plus de 1.5 100%
63% Plus de 2.5 100%
38% Plus de 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Knockbreda

(Home)
27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Bangor FC
03 Feb
Loughgall
2 : 0
Knockbreda
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4
Knockbreda
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0
Knockbreda
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Ards
Page 1 of 7

Crewe

(Away)
22 Jul
Crewe
0 : 8
Bangor FC
20 Jul
Crewe
1 : 3
Dollingstown
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 3
Ballymena
28 Sept
Crewe
3 : 4
Crumlin United
17 Aug
Crewe
:
Donegal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
TBD -
TBD -
Nortel -
St. Marys -
TBD -
Donegal 1
Oxford Stars 3
Glebe 4
Iveagh Utd 0
Portaferry Rovers 2
Silverwood 3
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Moyola 3
Craigavon City 1
Grove 6
Sport & Leisure 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Markethill 4
St. Patricks Young 5
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Laurelvale 1
TBD -
Ards Rangers -
Abbey Villa 5
Holywood 0
Saintfield 0
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Crewe 5
Chimney 0
TBD -
Ardglass -
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 0
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Sofia Farmer 2
Lower Maze 1
Banbridge 0
Limavady 2
Donard -
TBD -
Tullyvallen Rangers 0
Windmill 5
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 4
Rosario Youth 0
Dromore Amateurs 0
Queens University 14
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Foundry 1
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers -
Comber Rec 4
Brantwood 3
Ballywalter Recreation 1
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC -
TBD -
TBD -
St Luke's -
TBD -
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PSNI -
Institute -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 0
Dunloy 3
Strabane Athletic -
TBD -
Dundonald 2
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne Technical Old Boys -
Desertmartin 2
Newcastle 0
TBD -
Tobermore -
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown -
Killymoon -
Hanover 2
Sirocco 3
Newry City 7
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 4
Rathfern Rangers 0
Dungannon Rovers 0
U. U. Jordanstown 4
Barn -
TBD -
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Dundela -
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
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Drumaness -
TBD -
Bloomfield 3
Seapatrick 4
Camlough -
TBD -
TBD -
Dromara -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Bangor Amateurs FC -
TBD -
Ballynahinch United -
Crumlin Star -
TBD -
Immaculata 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart -
TBD -
Magherafelt 1
Moneyslane FC 6
Islandmagee 4
Ballymacash 1
TBD -
Killyleagh Youth -
Valley Rangers 3
Newtowne FC 1
TBD -
Seagoe -
Coagh Utd 2
Malachians 1
Banbridge Rangers 4
Derriaghy 5
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Glenavon -
1/128-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill -
Nortel -
St. Marys 4
Oxford Stars 5
Glebe 3
Silverwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Grove 5
Sport & Leisure 2
St. Patricks Young 1
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 4
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings 2
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 5
Ardglass 1
Crumlin United 2
Ballymoney 3
Sofia Farmer 2
Limavady 0
Donard -
Windmill -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Queens University 0
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Lisburn Rangers 4
Comber Rec 5
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC 1
St Luke's 4
TBD -
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PSNI -
Institute -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shorts 8
Dunloy 0
Strabane Athletic 4
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Desertmartin 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Sirocco 1
Newry City 1
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
U. U. Jordanstown 2
Barn 1
Dundela 2
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Seapatrick 0
Camlough 0
Dromara 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Ballynahinch United 1
Crumlin Star 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 2
Moneyslane FC 0
Islandmagee 5
Killyleagh Youth 3
Valley Rangers 7
Seagoe 0
Coagh Utd 1
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/64-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 1
Oxford Stars 0
Glebe 0
Grove 1
Sport & Leisure 3
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 2
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 3
Ballymoney 1
Sofia Farmer 0
Windmill 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Comber Rec 2
St Luke's 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shorts 2
East Belfast 0
Wakehurst 1
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 5
Newington FC 4
Downshire Y.M. 2
Dundela 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Dromara 1
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 5
Killyleagh Youth 0
Valley Rangers 0
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/32-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 6
Grove 2
Sport & Leisure 1
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 4
Windmill 3
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 3
St Luke's 0
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
Shorts 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Dundela 3
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
Drumaness 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart 4
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/16-finals
Dungannon 3
Dergview 0
Richhill 1
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 2
Knockbreda 1
Ballinamallard 0
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 2
Ards 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
PSNI 2
Institute 4
Ballyclare 2
Glentoran 1
Linfield 2
Coleraine 5
Carrick Rangers 1
Annagh 0
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Lurgan Celtic 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 2
Portadown 2
Larne 1
Fivemiletown 0
Loughgall 3
Armagh 2
Trojans 1
Portstewart 1
Glenavon 4
1/8-finals
Dungannon 4
Dollingstown 1
Crewe 0
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
PSNI 0
Institute 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Ballymena 3
Portadown 2
Loughgall 1
Armagh 0
Glenavon 2
Quarter-finals
Dungannon 2
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 4
Ballymena 0
Portadown 0
Glenavon 5
Semi-finals
Dungannon 0
Linfield 1
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 1
Final
Linfield 3
Coleraine 0