Pronostics Sportifs
Lagun Onak vs CD Ariznabarra
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 
Résumé du Match
This Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 encounter between Lagun Onak and CD Ariznabarra promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Lagun Onak averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. CD Ariznabarra shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Lagun Onak, 0 wins for CD Ariznabarra, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.03.21 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.17 for Lagun Onak and 0.88 for CD Ariznabarra, suggesting the primary value lies in the Lagun Onak double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Lagun Onak a pris plus de points récemment que CD Ariznabarra.
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (1.17 vs 0.88 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les locaux.
- Des défenses solides favorisent une rencontre fermée avec peu de buts.
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Lagun Onak | CD Ariznabarra |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 32 | 30 |
| Victoires | 17 | 5 |
| Nuls | 6 | 9 |
| Défaites | 9 | 16 |
| Buts Marqués | 1.56 | 0.9 |
| Buts Encaissés | 0.91 | 1.57 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
Lagun Onak
CD Ariznabarra
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
Lagun Onak is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
CD Ariznabarra will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Lagun Onak's attacks.
Expect Lagun Onak to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Lagun Onak vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for CD Ariznabarra, allowing Lagun Onak's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Lagun Onak, while CD Ariznabarra takes risks to salvage a result.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Lagun Onak have found the net in 72% of their last 32 matches.
CD Ariznabarra have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.75 goals per match.
Lagun Onak remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
CD Ariznabarra suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gernika Club | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad C | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 48:27 | 40 |
| 3 | Sestao | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 40:13 | 39 |
| 4 | SD Deusto | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 30:24 | 36 |
| 5 | Santutxu FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20:23 | 29 |
| 6 | Beasain | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 20:14 | 27 |
| 7 | Tolosa | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | 24 |
| 8 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23:31 | 20 |
| 9 | Balmaseda | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 22:27 | 18 |
| 10 | Somorrostro | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20:31 | 17 |
| 11 | Urgatzi | 20 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11:62 | 10 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vitoria | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 20:4 | 35 |
| 2 | Urduliz FT | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 28:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 22:14 | 34 |
| 4 | Basconia | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 24:15 | 30 |
| 5 | Anaitasuna FT | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 20:19 | 30 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:19 | 29 |
| 7 | Santurtzi | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18:27 | 23 |
| 8 | SCD Durango | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 10 | CD Ariznabarra | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12:28 | 16 |
| 11 | Lagun Onak | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17:31 | 15 |