Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Larne vs Crumlin Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2018/2019
Notre Pronostic

Événements du Match

13' Event
McNeill J.
26' Event
Hughes J.
65' Event
McDaid D.
(Pénalty)

Résumé du Match

This match ends 3-1, with Larne advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

90%
Larne
6%
Nuls
4%
Crumlin Star
Projection de nul: 6% Favori: Larne

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

95% / Très Élevé de Confiance
  • Crumlin Star carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Larne are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Crumlin Star arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 12.5%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 6%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 29.2%
Larne Match sans Encaisser 68%
Crumlin Star Match sans Encaisser 14%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Larne Crumlin Star
Matchs Joués 30 30
Victoires 19 21
Nuls 4 0
Défaites 7 9
Buts Marqués 1.67 2.43
Buts Encaissés 1.03 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

2 févr. 2019 Irish Cup
Larne vs Crumlin Star
3:1

Analyse d'Impact des Joueurs Clés

Joueurs majeurs et implication sur les buts attendus

Larne Comparer

Meilleur Buteur Hughes J.
1 Buts
Meilleur Passeur McDaid D.
1 Ast
Moyenne xG / match 0.8
Moyenne xA / match 0.52

Crumlin Star Comparer

Meilleur Buteur McNeill J.
1 Buts
Moyenne xG / match 1.08
Moyenne xA / match 0.66

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Larne 95 / 100
Crumlin Star 10 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Crumlin Star

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Larne Win (1)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
Pronostic BTTS No (NG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Larne stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Larne scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Crumlin Star's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Tendances de Buts

Larne VS -
0.88 Buts Marqués 0
1.38 Buts Encaissés 0
50% Plus de 1.5 0%
50% Plus de 2.5 0%
25% Plus de 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

Crumlin Star

(Away)
06 Jan
Institute
2 : 0
Crumlin Star
25 Dec
Crumlin Star
2 : 3
Comber Rec
25 Nov
Crumlin Star
2 : 0
Limavady
04 Jan
Ballymena
2 : 0
Crumlin Star
30 Nov
Coagh Utd
0 : 1
Crumlin Star
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
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Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
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Islandmagee 6
Cookstown Youth 1
Aquinas 3
Foundry 4
Moneyslane FC -
TBD -
Bangor Swifts 1
Crumlin United 2
Newtowne FC 6
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Broomhedge 1
Ballynahinch Olympic 12
Annagh -
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Rosemount Rec -
Cliftonville -
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Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
St Luke's 0
TBD -
Dundonald -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Mossley FC 3
Iveagh Utd 2
Dungiven 5
Lurgan Town Boys -
TBD -
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Desertmartin 3
Armagh -
TBD -
Hanover 0
Dunloy 2
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Limavady -
Knockbreda -
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St. James' Swifts 2
Sofia Farmer 1
Seapatrick 1
Coagh Utd 6
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
Holywood 1
Newbuildings 2
Banbridge -
TBD -
Dunmurry Y.M. 4
Rathfriland Rangers 5
Ballymoney 2
Rosario Youth 1
Derriaghy 1
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Ardstraw 7
Dromore Amateurs 0
TBD -
Tobermore -
Brantwood 4
Orangefield Old Boys' 2
Saintfield 1
Laurelvale 3
Valley Rangers 3
Tandragee 2
TBD -
Newington FC -
Comber Rec 1
Immaculata 0
Dromara 1
Lisburn Rangers 2
Downshire Y.M. -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness -
Shankill -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor Old Boys -
Wellington Rec -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Institute -
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Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
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Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 9
Malachians 2
Lower Maze 2
Trojans 3
Ballynahinch United 3
Groomsport 2
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Seagoe -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
Woodvale 2
St. Patricks Young 3
Oxford Sunnyside 6
Bryansburn 3
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Portstewart -
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Dergview -
Crumlin Star -
TBD -
Markethill 3
Killyleagh Youth 5
Banbridge Rangers 2
Sirocco 0
Glebe 1
Bangor FC 2
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Kilmore Rec 3
Moyola -
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Crewe -
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Loughgall -
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Larne -
Ballymena -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa -
TBD -
Chimney 2
Grove 5
Colin Valley 2
Suffolk 1
Silverwood 1
Shorts 8
Fivemiletown 7
Bloomfield 0
Oxford Stars 0
Wakehurst 1
Bangor Amateurs FC 3
Newcastle 2
Tullyvallen Rangers 3
Tullycarnet 4
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Portadown -
Linfield -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Crusaders -
1/128-finals
Ballinamallard -
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PSNI -
Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
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Islandmagee 2
Foundry 1
Moneyslane FC 1
Crumlin United 5
Newtowne FC 1
Ballynahinch Olympic 0
Annagh 1
Rosemount Rec 2
Cliftonville -
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Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Dundonald 0
Dunmurry Rec 1
Dungiven 4
Lurgan Town Boys 4
Desertmartin 1
Armagh 0
Dunloy 2
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Limavady -
Knockbreda -
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St. James' Swifts 4
Coagh Utd 2
Ards Rangers 0
Newbuildings 2
Banbridge 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Ballymoney 1
Strabane Athletic 5
Queens University 4
Dollingstown 3
Ardstraw 3
Tobermore 5
Brantwood 2
Laurelvale 1
Valley Rangers 1
Newington FC 3
Comber Rec 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Downshire Y.M. 0
Drumaness 4
Shankill 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Wellington Rec 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Institute -
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Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
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Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 3
Trojans 1
Ballynahinch United 3
Seagoe 4
Lurgan Celtic -
St. Patricks Young -
Oxford Sunnyside -
Portstewart -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Dergview -
Crumlin Star 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Banbridge Rangers 0
Bangor FC 2
Sport & Leisure 2
Kilmore Rec 1
Moyola 1
Crewe 2
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Loughgall -
Newry City -
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Larne -
Ballymena -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa 4
Grove 3
Colin Valley 3
Shorts 4
Fivemiletown 3
Wakehurst 2
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
Tullycarnet 1
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Portadown -
Linfield -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Islandmagee 3
Crumlin United 1
Newtowne FC 1
Rosemount Rec 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Dungiven 1
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Dunloy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 2
Newbuildings 0
Banbridge 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 6
Tobermore 3
Brantwood 2
Newington FC 3
Comber Rec 2
Drumaness 1
Shankill 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Institute -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 4
Seagoe 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Portstewart 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 5
Bangor FC 3
Sport & Leisure 0
Crewe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Abbey Villa 3
Shorts 1
Fivemiletown 1
Tullycarnet 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Linfield -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
Islandmagee 1
Rosemount Rec 3
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Dunloy 0
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 4
Newington FC 1
Comber Rec 3
Lisburn Distillery 4
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 1
Portstewart 0
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 2
Crewe 1
TBD -
Loughgall -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Abbey Villa 4
Tullycarnet 3
TBD -
Portadown -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Ballinamallard 5
PSNI 1
Ards 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Glenavon 5
Rosemount Rec 0
Cliftonville 0
Dungannon 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Limavady 0
Knockbreda 1
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 6
Lisburn Distillery 0
Institute 0
Warrenpoint 2
Coleraine 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Maiden City 2
Dergview 3
Crumlin Star 4
Loughgall 1
Newry City 1
Larne 2
Ballymena 3
Dundela 1
Abbey Villa 1
Portadown 5
Linfield 1
Ballyclare 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 4
1/8-finals
Ballinamallard 1
Carrick Rangers 0
Glenavon 0
Dungannon 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Strabane Athletic 1
Queens University 0
Warrenpoint 2
Coleraine 3
Dergview 0
Crumlin Star 1
Larne 3
Ballymena 4
Portadown 1
Linfield 1
Crusaders 2
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 3
Dungannon 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Warrenpoint 3
Coleraine 5
Larne 3
Ballymena 0
Crusaders 3
Semi-finals
Ballinamallard 1
Warrenpoint 0
Coleraine 0
Crusaders 2
Final
Ballinamallard 0
Crusaders 3