Pronostics Sportifs
Résumé du Match
Romania is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Lithuania, backed by a win probability of 61%. Lithuania averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded in recent matches. Romania shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Lithuania, 5 wins for Romania, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 15.10.24 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.19 for Lithuania and 1.69 for Romania, suggesting the primary value lies in the Romania double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Lithuania a pris plus de points récemment que Romania.
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (1.19 vs 1.69 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les visiteurs.
- Des défenses solides favorisent une rencontre fermée avec peu de buts.
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Lithuania | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 28 | 30 |
| Victoires | 6 | 15 |
| Nuls | 5 | 6 |
| Défaites | 17 | 9 |
| Buts Marqués | 0.82 | 1.73 |
| Buts Encaissés | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
Lithuania
Romania
Analyse d'Impact des Joueurs Clés
Joueurs majeurs et implication sur les buts attendus
Lithuania Comparer
Romania Comparer
Alertes Disponibilité
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
Romania will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Lithuania will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Romania's early runs.
Expect Romania to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Lithuania tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Romania increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Lithuania's defense, opening up opportunities for Romania's forward line.
Expect Romania to manage the closing stages, while Lithuania searches for late drama.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Lithuania have found the net in 57% of their last 28 matches.
Romania have conceded at least one goal in 70% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.80 goals per match.
Lithuania remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Romania suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Continental tournament fixture. Elite European competition dynamics apply, with massive stakes for both clubs.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Estonia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Belarus | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Macedonia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Armenia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |