Pronostics Sportifs
Luxembourg vs Estonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Résumé du Match
Luxembourg host Estonia in the UEFA Nations League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Estonia have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while Luxembourg have conceded 1.4 and scored 0.7. Past meetings favor Estonia slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 3 oct. 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.19, favoring Estonia. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Form's been kind to Estonia lately — more wins on the board than Luxembourg.
- Estonia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).
- Estonia have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Luxembourg | Estonia |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 30 | 30 |
| Victoires | 8 | 9 |
| Nuls | 4 | 6 |
| Défaites | 18 | 15 |
| Buts Marqués | 0.7 | 1 |
| Buts Encaissés | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Indice de Momentum SokaPicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Estonia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Luxembourg scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.
Luxembourg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tendances de Buts
Recent Form & Match History
Luxembourg
(Home)Estonia
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:2 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:16 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 3 | Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 3 |