Pronostics Sportifs
Mexico U17 W vs Kenya U17 W
World
Friendly International Women 2024 
Résumé du Match
This Friendly International Women 2024 encounter between Mexico U17 W and Kenya U17 W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Mexico U17 W averages 2.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Kenya U17 W shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Mexico U17 W, 1 wins for Kenya U17 W, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 23.10.24 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.75 for Mexico U17 W and 1.00 for Kenya U17 W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Mexico U17 W double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Mexico U17 W a pris plus de points récemment que Kenya U17 W.
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (1.75 vs 1.00 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les locaux.
- Des défenses solides favorisent une rencontre fermée avec peu de buts.
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Mexico U17 W | Kenya U17 W |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 27 | 6 |
| Victoires | 14 | 2 |
| Nuls | 3 | 2 |
| Défaites | 10 | 2 |
| Buts Marqués | 2.15 | 1 |
| Buts Encaissés | 0.96 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
Mexico U17 W
Kenya U17 W
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Mexico U17 W have found the net in 78% of their last 27 matches.
Kenya U17 W have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 6 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.50 goals per match.
Mexico U17 W remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Kenya U17 W suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Friendly match context where both Mexico U17 W and Kenya U17 W will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes