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Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Angleterre Angleterre

FA Trophy
sam. 24 oct. 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

A one-off knockout match in the FA Trophy. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Wingate & Finchley have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Needham Market have conceded 1.33 and scored 1.78. Head-to-head, Needham Market have won 2 to Wingate & Finchley's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 30 déc. 2017, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.63) point toward Needham Market. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

50%
Needham Market
28%
Nuls
22%
Wingate & Finchley
Projection de nul: 28% Favori: Needham Market

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

76% / Élevé de Confiance
  • Needham Market's 1.78 goals per match outpaces what Wingate & Finchley have produced (1.57).
  • Win probability leans Needham Market's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Wingate & Finchley, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 99%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 94%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 38%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 17%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 73%
Needham Market Match sans Encaisser 14%
Wingate & Finchley Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Needham Market Wingate & Finchley
Matchs Joués 27 30
Victoires 13 13
Nuls 6 8
Défaites 8 9
Buts Marqués 1.78 1.57
Buts Encaissés 1.33 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

30 déc. 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Needham Market
1:1
19 août 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley
0:1
11 févr. 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley
1:0
8 oct. 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Needham Market
0:1
8 sept. 2015 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Needham Market
6:0

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Needham Market 48 / 100
Wingate & Finchley 22 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Needham Market Wingate & Finchley

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Needham Market Win (1)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Needham Market found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Wingate & Finchley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Needham Market remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tendances de Buts

Needham Market VS Wingate & Finchley
2.25 Buts Marqués 2
1.25 Buts Encaissés 1.25
88% Plus de 1.5 100%
75% Plus de 2.5 75%
38% Plus de 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Needham Market

(Home)
20 Oct
Needham Market
2 : 1
Stortford
17 Oct
Leamington
1 : 2
Needham Market
13 Oct
Bury Town
0 : 5
Needham Market
10 Oct
Needham Market
1 : 1
Anstey Nomads
03 Oct
Rushall
5 : 3
Needham Market
Page 1 of 6

Wingate & Finchley

(Away)
20 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
4 : 2
Carshalton
17 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
4 : 1
Stanway Rovers
13 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 0
Ramsgate
10 Oct
Dartford
2 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
06 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 3
Bedford
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Warrington Rylands -
Guiseley -
Bury FC -
Prescot Cables -
Workington -
Cleethorpes -
Leek Town -
Bootle -
Ashton United -
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Bridlington Town -
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Avro -
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Alfreton -
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Bromsgrove -
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Halesowen -
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Stourbridge -
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Banbury -
Kettering -
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Uxbridge -
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Three Bridges -
Whitehawk -
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Aveley -
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Hastings -
Waltham Abbey -
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Faversham -
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