Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Newcastle vs Ardstraw

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2009/2010
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

This match ends 4-0, with Newcastle advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

13%
Newcastle
17%
Nuls
70%
Ardstraw
Projection de nul: 17% Favori: Ardstraw

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

88% / Très Élevé de Confiance
  • Ardstraw haven't matched Newcastle's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ardstraw a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Newcastle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Newcastle, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 89%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 99%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 100%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 89%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 69%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 31%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 79.8%
Newcastle Match sans Encaisser 10%
Ardstraw Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Newcastle Ardstraw
Matchs Joués 17 14
Victoires 8 7
Nuls 0 0
Défaites 9 7
Buts Marqués 2.29 3.29
Buts Encaissés 2.59 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.94
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

19 sept. 2009 Irish Cup
Newcastle vs Ardstraw
4:0

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Newcastle 14 / 100
Ardstraw 65 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Ardstraw

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal ARD Win (2)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Ardstraw's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 14 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Newcastle scored in 76% of their last 17 games.

Newcastle went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tendances de Buts

Newcastle VS Ardstraw
1.5 Buts Marqués 3.75
2.13 Buts Encaissés 3.25
100% Plus de 1.5 100%
75% Plus de 2.5 100%
50% Plus de 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle

(Home)
28 Sept
Newcastle
0 : 5
Banbridge
17 Aug
Grove
2 : 4
Newcastle
18 Aug
Bangor Amateurs FC
3 : 2
Newcastle
02 Dec
Dundela
5 : 0
Newcastle
04 Nov
Newcastle
3 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
Page 1 of 4

Ardstraw

(Away)
02 Nov
Ardstraw
1 : 2
Islandmagee
28 Sept
Ardstraw
4 : 1
Wakehurst
17 Aug
Fivemiletown
2 : 3
Ardstraw
29 Sept
Tobermore
5 : 3
Ardstraw
18 Aug
Ardstraw
7 : 0
Dromore Amateurs
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Malachians 3
Ballynure Old Boys 1
TBD -
Bangor Old Boys -
Lurgan Town Boys 6
Strabane FC 5
Ardstraw 0
Newcastle 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunmurry Rec -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Barn 4
Crewe 2
Mountjoy 1
Abbey Villa 0
Islandmagee 2
Omagh United -
TBD -
Ballynahinch United 1
Kilmore Rec 2
Richhill -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosside -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United -
Raceview -
TBD -
TBD -
Draperstown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
Desertmartin 0
Hanover 1
Dromara -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Nortel 6
Bloomfield 1
TBD -
Newbuildings -
Seagoe -
TBD -
East Belfast 2
Lisburn Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Oxford Stars 3
Lower Maze 2
TBD -
Grove -
Banbridge Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Foundry -
Dungiven -
TBD -
TBD -
Rathfriland Rangers -
Rosario Youth 5
Roe Valley 0
Kesh 2
Bryansburn 3
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood -
TBD -
TBD -
Tandragee -
Saintfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Killyleagh Youth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fivemiletown -
TBD -
TBD -
U. U. Jordanstown -
Sirocco -
TBD -
Downshire Y.M. 0
Wellington Rec 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymacash -
TBD -
Kilbride 1
Downpatrick 3
Broomhedge -
TBD -
Drumaness 1
Comber Rec 2
Holywood -
TBD -
TBD -
Shorts -
Newington FC 2
Laurelvale 0
TBD -
Magherafelt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
1/128-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Malachians 3
Bangor Old Boys 2
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Newcastle 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Barn 2
Crewe 4
Islandmagee 6
Omagh United 3
Kilmore Rec 2
Richhill 1
Mosside 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ards Rangers 5
Crumlin United 1
Raceview 1
Draperstown 2
Warrenpoint 4
Hanover 1
Dromara 1
Dollingstown 2
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Nortel 4
Newbuildings 0
Seagoe 1
Lisburn Rangers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Oxford Stars 2
Grove 0
Banbridge Rangers 0
Foundry 4
Dungiven 3
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Rosario Youth 3
Bryansburn 4
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood 4
Tandragee 1
Saintfield 0
Killyleagh Youth 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 3
U. U. Jordanstown 2
Sirocco 0
Wellington Rec 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Downpatrick 0
Broomhedge 1
Comber Rec 7
Holywood 4
Shorts 1
Newington FC 2
Magherafelt 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
1/64-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Malachians 4
Newcastle 1
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
Dunmurry Rec 2
Islandmagee 6
Omagh United 1
Mosside 0
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ards Rangers 4
Draperstown 1
Warrenpoint 0
Dollingstown 1
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Nortel 2
Lisburn Rangers 1
TBD -
Killymoon -
Oxford Stars 7
Foundry 5
Dungiven 1
Bryansburn 3
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 2
Wellington Rec 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Tobermore -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Comber Rec 2
Holywood 2
Magherafelt 1
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
1/32-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
Queens University 0
Donegal 1
Malachians 3
Limavady 1
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare 2
PSNI 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Islandmagee 2
Omagh United 2
Sport & Leisure 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
Moyola 0
Larne 2
Ards Rangers 3
Dollingstown 2
Armagh 1
Loughgall 2
Nortel 1
Killymoon 0
Oxford Stars 2
Bryansburn 3
Dundela 3
Dergview 2
TBD -
Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Knockbreda 1
Ards 2
Glebe 1
Wakehurst 0
Chimney 0
Ballinamallard 9
Institute -
TBD -
Brantwood 0
Ballymoney 4
Harland & Wolff 2
Wellington Rec 1
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Banbridge 2
Bangor FC 3
Tobermore 2
Comber Rec 1
Holywood 0
Coagh Utd 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers 3
Annagh 1
TBD -
Portadown -
1/16-finals
Linfield 4
Donegal 0
Malachians 0
Dungannon 6
Ballyclare 5
Islandmagee 1
Omagh United 0
Glentoran 5
Newry City 2
Larne 1
Ards Rangers 1
Loughgall 3
Nortel 5
Bryansburn 4
Dundela 0
Coleraine 2
Ballymena 1
Ards 0
Glebe 0
Ballinamallard 3
Institute 2
Ballymoney 1
Harland & Wolff 1
Glenavon 5
Crusaders 5
Bangor FC 1
Tobermore 0
Coagh Utd 1
Cliftonville 2
Lisburn Distillery 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Portadown 2
1/8-finals
Linfield 4
Dungannon 0
Ballyclare 1
Glentoran 2
Newry City 2
Loughgall 1
Nortel 0
Coleraine 6
Ballymena 5
Ballinamallard 2
Institute 1
Glenavon 2
Crusaders 4
Coagh Utd 0
Cliftonville 1
Portadown 2
Quarter-finals
Linfield 3
Glentoran 1
Newry City 2
Coleraine 3
Ballymena 5
Glenavon 3
Crusaders 1
Portadown 2
Semi-finals
Linfield 4
Coleraine 2
Ballymena 1
Portadown 2
Final
Linfield 2
Portadown 1