Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

PSNI vs Newcastle

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2008/2009
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

PSNI in this Irish Cup 2008/2009 tie, finishing 6-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

4%
PSNI
6%
Nuls
90%
Newcastle
Projection de nul: 6% Favori: Newcastle

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

95% / Très Élevé de Confiance
  • Form's been kind to Newcastle lately — more wins on the board than PSNI.
  • Win probability leans Newcastle's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Newcastle arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor PSNI, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 31.5%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 14%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 72.2%
PSNI Match sans Encaisser 11%
Newcastle Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique PSNI Newcastle
Matchs Joués 28 17
Victoires 6 8
Nuls 0 0
Défaites 22 9
Buts Marqués 1.21 2.29
Buts Encaissés 3.79 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.81
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

13 déc. 2008 Irish Cup
PSNI vs Newcastle
6:3

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

PSNI 10 / 100
Newcastle 83 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSNI Newcastle

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Newcastle Win (2)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Newcastle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Newcastle registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

PSNI's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Tendances de Buts

PSNI VS -
1.63 Buts Marqués 0
2.63 Buts Encaissés 0
75% Plus de 1.5 0%
63% Plus de 2.5 0%
63% Plus de 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PSNI

(Home)
09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7
Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1
Moyola
06 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 1
PSNI
02 Nov
Linfield
11 : 0
PSNI
14 Sept
Institute
4 : 3
PSNI
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle

(Away)
28 Sept
Newcastle
0 : 5
Banbridge
17 Aug
Grove
2 : 4
Newcastle
18 Aug
Bangor Amateurs FC
3 : 2
Newcastle
02 Dec
Dundela
5 : 0
Newcastle
04 Nov
Newcastle
3 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh 3
Ballymacash 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Fivemiletown -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff 1
Warrenpoint 2
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raceview 2
Donard 1
Sport & Leisure 0
Dromara 3
Kilmore Rec 3
East Belfast 1
Markethill 2
U. U. Coleraine 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malachians -
TBD -
Portadown BBOB 0
Tandragee 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Killyleagh Youth -
TBD -
TBD -
Lower Maze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Queens University 3
Desertmartin 0
TBD -
Brantwood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 5
Chimney 0
TBD -
Newington FC -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Foundry -
Churchill -
TBD -
Seagoe 1
Newcastle 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 3
Downshire Y.M. 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Dunmurry Y.M. 4
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Islandmagee 4
Downpatrick 4
Barn 0
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Moyola 3
Laurelvale 2
TBD -
Hanover -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Holywood 1
Sirocco 2
Bryansburn 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Portstewart 3
Comber Rec 2
Bloomfield 1
Grove 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saintfield -
TBD -
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 2
Dunmurry Rec 2
Ballynure Old Boys 1
TBD -
Abbey Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Nortel -
TBD -
Magherafelt 0
Draperstown 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newbuildings 6
Roe Valley 1
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Dungiven 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunaghy -
TBD -
Crewe 2
Crumlin United 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh 5
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Fivemiletown 1
Warrenpoint 3
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Raceview 3
Dromara 4
Kilmore Rec 3
U. U. Coleraine 1
TBD -
Donegal -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malachians 2
Tandragee 1
TBD -
Ards -
Limavady -
TBD -
Oxford Stars 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Killyleagh Youth 2
Lower Maze 0
TBD -
Killymoon -
Queens University 2
Brantwood 1
TBD -
Tobermore -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 2
Newington FC 4
PSNI 4
Foundry 3
Churchill 3
Newcastle 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 3
Dunmurry Y.M. 2
Ards Rangers 3
Islandmagee 4
Downpatrick 4
Knockbreda 2
Moyola 1
Hanover 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 4
Bryansburn 1
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Portstewart 1
Grove 0
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Portadown -
TBD -
Saintfield 0
Dundela 5
Dunmurry Rec 1
Abbey Villa 0
TBD -
Dergview -
Larne -
TBD -
Strabane FC 2
Dollingstown 6
Nortel 5
Draperstown 3
TBD -
Loughgall -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newbuildings 3
Dungiven 2
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
Dunaghy 0
Crumlin United 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Annagh 0
Warrenpoint 1
Ballinamallard 3
Dromara 1
Kilmore Rec 0
Donegal 3
Coleraine -
TBD -
Malachians 1
Ards 2
Limavady 5
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
Armagh 0
Banbridge 2
Killyleagh Youth 2
Killymoon 0
Queens University 2
Tobermore 3
Glenavon -
TBD -
Glebe 0
Newington FC 2
PSNI 6
Newcastle 3
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 0
Islandmagee 3
Downpatrick 5
Hanover 1
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Drumaness 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Portstewart 3
Coagh Utd 2
TBD -
Newry City -
Portadown 5
Dundela 2
Dunmurry Rec 2
Dergview 3
Larne 3
Dollingstown 1
Nortel 0
Loughgall 5
Ballymena -
TBD -
Newbuildings 1
Ballyclare 4
Ballymoney 2
Crumlin United 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Cliftonville 3
Warrenpoint 1
Ballinamallard 0
Donegal 1
Coleraine 3
Ards 0
Limavady 0
Glentoran 3
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 0
Killyleagh Youth 1
Tobermore 4
Glenavon 3
Newington FC 1
PSNI 0
Linfield 3
Institute 0
Islandmagee 3
Downpatrick 2
Dungannon 7
Bangor FC 6
Carrick Rangers 2
Portstewart 0
Newry City 8
Portadown 8
Dergview 1
Larne 3
Loughgall 1
Ballymena 2
Ballyclare 0
Ballymoney 0
Crusaders 1
1/8-finals
Cliftonville 2
Donegal 0
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 2
Lisburn Distillery 1
Tobermore 0
Glenavon 1
Linfield 3
Institute 1
Dungannon 0
Bangor FC 0
Newry City 1
Portadown 5
Loughgall 0
Ballymena 0
Crusaders 1
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 0
Lisburn Distillery 0
Linfield 3
Institute 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 2
Crusaders 5
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 3
Linfield 2
Institute 1
Crusaders 4
Final
Cliftonville 0
Crusaders 1