Pronostics Sportifs
Résumé du Match
QPR host Derby in the Championship. Little to choose between these two on current form. QPR have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Derby's 1.26 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, QPR have won 2 to Derby's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on 25 avr. 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.88) point toward QPR. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Derby haven't matched QPR's recent run of results.
- Model gives QPR a 40% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | QPR | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 28 | 27 |
| Victoires | 11 | 10 |
| Nuls | 8 | 3 |
| Défaites | 9 | 14 |
| Buts Marqués | 1.57 | 1.26 |
| Buts Encaissés | 1.29 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Indice de Momentum SokaPicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
QPR's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Derby let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: QPR remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Tendances de Buts
Recent Form & Match History
QPR
(Home)Derby
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 16 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 5 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 6 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | 4 |
