Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Rijeka vs Ilves

Europe Europe

Conference League Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
jeu. 6 août 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

A one-off knockout match in the Conference League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Ilves have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Rijeka have conceded 0.13 and scored 1.38. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.19) point toward Rijeka. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

40%
Rijeka
33%
Nuls
27%
Ilves
Projection de nul: 33% Favori: Rijeka

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

70% / Moyen de Confiance
  • Rijeka have won more games recently than Ilves.
  • Rijeka are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Rijeka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 31.5%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 14%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 67.4%
Rijeka Match sans Encaisser 20%
Ilves Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Rijeka Ilves
Matchs Joués 29 27
Victoires 17 12
Nuls 5 5
Défaites 7 10
Buts Marqués 1.38 2.25
Buts Encaissés 0.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 0.13 1.50

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Rijeka 40 / 100
Ilves 26 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rijeka Ilves

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal RIJ Win (1)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Rijeka went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Rijeka scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Ilves's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Difficult form: Ilves registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tendances de Buts

Rijeka VS Ilves
1.38 Buts Marqués 2.25
0.13 Buts Encaissés 1.5
50% Plus de 1.5 88%
25% Plus de 2.5 88%
0% Plus de 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rijeka

(Home)
30 Jul
Derry City
0 : 1
Rijeka
23 Jul
Rijeka
1 : 0
Derry City
16 Jul
Rijeka
2 : 0
Jadran Dekani
03 Jul
Radomlje
0 : 2
Rijeka
30 Jun
Grosuplje
0 : 3
Rijeka
Page 1 of 6

Ilves

(Away)
30 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1
Stjarnan
26 Jul
Ilves
1 : 0
Lahti
23 Jul
Stjarnan
1 : 0
Ilves
20 Jul
TPS
1 : 3
Ilves
16 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1
Differdange
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Drita -
Borac Banja Luka -
TBD -
TBD -
Petrocub Hincesti -
ML Vitebsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutjeska -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
Vardar -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Bissen -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Basaksehir -
TBD -
FK Sarajevo 2
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz -
TBD -
Mornar Bar 2
Atletic Escaldes 4
Mondorf 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 3
Petrovac 2
Zalgiris 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan -
TBD -
UNA Strassen 3
La Fiorita 0
FK Panevezys -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobol -
Paks -
TBD -
TBD -
Panathinaikos -
Spartak Trnava -
TBD -
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vojvodina -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
Kalju 3
Linfield 2
FCSB -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Aluminij -
TBD -
Dinamo Tirana 4
FC Astana 2
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
TBD -
Noah -
AF Elbasani 1
BATE 2
TBD -
Sion -
Zeleznicar Pancevo -
TBD -
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Braga -
Neftci Baku -
TBD -
Din. Minsk 2
Sileks 1
Valur -
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Zrinjski -
GAIS -
TBD -
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Nordsjaelland -
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Hapoel Tel Aviv -
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Ludogorets -
Zilina -
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GKS Katowice -
AEK Larnaca -
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Beitar Jerusalem -
Decic 1
FK Liepaja 3
TBD -
Austria Vienna -
Alashkert 4
Yelimay Semey 3
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CFR Cluj -
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Universitatea Cluj -
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Brann -
Dila Gori 3
Virtus 2
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Apollon Limassol -
Lugano -
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Dukagjini -
NSI Runavik 3
Hamrun 2
TBD -
Koper -
Rakow Czestochowa -
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Valletta -
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HJK -
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Coleraine -
Motherwell -
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HB Torshavn -
Vllaznia 2
Malisheva 6
TBD -
Hibernian -
Bravo -
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Europa FC 0
Shkendija Tetovo 6
IFK Goteborg -
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Caernarfon 0
Levadia 10
LNZ Cherkasy -
TBD -
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Gent -
FC Hegelmann 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Zira FK 6
Torpedo Kutaisi 0
Penybont 0
FC Santa Coloma 4
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Rapid Vienna -
Bohemians 2
St Josephs 0
Connahs Q. 2
FC Ballkani 3
TBD -
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Debrecen -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 0
Pyunik Yerevan 4
Polissya Zhytomyr -
TBD -
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FC Copenhagen -
Varazdin -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Glentoran 1
RFS 4
TBD -
Vestri -
Rijeka -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Vikingur 3
Stjarnan 5
Differdange 1
Ilves 3
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Dun. Streda -
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Velez Mostar 2
Milsami 1
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Quarter-finals
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
Floriana 2
Drita 3
Borac Banja Luka 3
Petrocub Hincesti 0
ML Vitebsk 3
Sutjeska 0
Flora 1
TNS 0
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
Vardar 4
Riga FC 8
Bissen 2
Gyor 6
Basaksehir 1
Inter Turku 1
Vaduz 4
Atletic Escaldes 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 3
Zalgiris 0
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan 4
UNA Strassen 0
FK Panevezys 1
Tobol 1
Paks 1
Panathinaikos 2
Spartak Trnava 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 1
Vojvodina 1
Ajax 4
Shelbourne 5
Kalju 2
FCSB 2
FK Auda Riga 3
Aluminij 1
Dinamo Tirana 1
Zimbru Chisinau 1
Noah 1
BATE 1
Sion 1
Zeleznicar Pancevo 0
Braga 1
Neftci Baku 2
Din. Minsk 4
Valur 1
Zrinjski 0
GAIS 1
Nordsjaelland 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 2
Ludogorets 0
Zilina 2
GKS Katowice 1
AEK Larnaca 0
Beitar Jerusalem 1
FK Liepaja 0
Austria Vienna 2
Alashkert 1
CFR Cluj 1
TBD -
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Universitatea Cluj 2
Brann 2
Dila Gori 0
Apollon Limassol 7
Lugano 6
Dukagjini 1
NSI Runavik 0
Koper 2
Rakow Czestochowa 3
Valletta 1
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HJK 5
Coleraine 0
Motherwell 2
HB Torshavn 0
Malisheva 2
Hibernian 0
Bravo 2
Shkendija Tetovo 1
IFK Goteborg 1
Levadia 2
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Gent 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Zira FK 0
FC Santa Coloma 3
Rapid Vienna 9
Bohemians 2
FC Ballkani 1
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Debrecen 1
Pyunik Yerevan 0
Polissya Zhytomyr 4
FC Copenhagen 5
Varazdin 3
Jablonec 2
RFS 4
Vestri 1
Rijeka 1
Derry City 0
Stjarnan 1
Ilves 0
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Dun. Streda 1
Velez Mostar 0
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Semi-finals
Tre Fiori -
Drita -
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Inter Escaldes -
Riga FC -
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CSKA 1948 Sofia -
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Apollon Limassol -
Lugano -
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Rapid Vienna -
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FC Copenhagen -
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