Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Spain vs Georgia

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
Notre Pronostic

Événements du Match

11'
Porro P.
24' Event
Pino Y.
Passe D.: Le Normand R.
29' Event
Torres F.
Penalty Missed

Résumé du Match

The World Championship 2026 game between Spain and Georgia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

90%
Spain
6%
Nuls
4%
Georgia
Projection de nul: 6% Favori: Spain

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

95% / Très Élevé de Confiance
  • Look at the last few games and Spain come out ahead of Georgia on wins alone.
  • Spain are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Spain here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 35.5%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 16%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Spain Match sans Encaisser 68%
Georgia Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Spain Georgia
Matchs Joués 32 30
Victoires 25 13
Nuls 6 6
Défaites 1 11
Buts Marqués 2.47 1.67
Buts Encaissés 0.78 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.92
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

15 nov. 2025 World Championship
Georgia vs Spain
0:4
11 oct. 2025 World Championship
Spain vs Georgia
2:0
30 juin 2024 Euro
Spain vs Georgia
4:1
19 nov. 2023 Euro
Spain vs Georgia
3:1
8 sept. 2023 Euro
Georgia vs Spain
1:7

Analyse d'Impact des Joueurs Clés

Joueurs majeurs et implication sur les buts attendus

Spain Comparer

Meilleur Buteur Pino Y.
1 Buts
Meilleur Passeur Oyarzabal M.
1 Ast
Moyenne xG / match 1.2
Moyenne xA / match 0.78

Georgia Comparer

Moyenne xG / match 0.84
Moyenne xA / match 0.51

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Spain 95 / 100
Georgia 10 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain Georgia

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Spain Win (1)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
Pronostic BTTS No (NG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Spain scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Spain went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Georgia has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Tendances de Buts

Spain VS Georgia
1.63 Buts Marqués 1.33
0.5 Buts Encaissés 1.5
63% Plus de 1.5 100%
50% Plus de 2.5 50%
38% Plus de 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain

(Home)
19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0
Argentina
14 Jul
France
0 : 2
Spain
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1
Belgium
06 Jul
Portugal
0 : 1
Spain
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
Page 1 of 7

Georgia

(Away)
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
02 Jun
Georgia
1 : 1
Romania
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2
Georgia
26 Mar
Georgia
2 : 2
Israel
18 Nov
Bulgaria
2 : 1
Georgia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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