Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Strabane Athletic vs Derriaghy

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2018/2019
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

Strabane Athletic in this Irish Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

30%
Strabane Athletic
39%
Nuls
31%
Derriaghy
Projection de nul: 39% Favori: Draw

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

65% / Moyen de Confiance
  • Strabane Athletic have won more games recently than Derriaghy.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Strabane Athletic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Strabane Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 84%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 98%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 87.5%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 84%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 87.5%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 39%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 77%
Strabane Athletic Match sans Encaisser 10%
Derriaghy Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Strabane Athletic Derriaghy
Matchs Joués 27 22
Victoires 12 11
Nuls 2 1
Défaites 13 10
Buts Marqués 2.04 2
Buts Encaissés 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.88
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

18 août 2018 Irish Cup
Strabane Athletic vs Derriaghy
2:1

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Strabane Athletic 29 / 100
Derriaghy 30 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strabane Athletic Derriaghy

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Strabane Athletic Win (1)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Strabane Athletic found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).

Derriaghy has conceded goals in 77% of their last 22 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Derriaghy's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tendances de Buts

Strabane Athletic VS Derriaghy
1.88 Buts Marqués 1.5
2.25 Buts Encaissés 3.5
75% Plus de 1.5 100%
75% Plus de 2.5 100%
75% Plus de 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Strabane Athletic

(Home)
15 Aug
Glenavon
4 : 1
Strabane Athletic
11 Aug
Moyola
1 : 3
Strabane Athletic
07 Aug
Strabane Athletic
0 : 1
Institute
01 Aug
Limavady
1 : 0
Strabane Athletic
18 Jul
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Dungannon
Page 1 of 6

Derriaghy

(Away)
25 Nov
Queens University
3 : 2
Derriaghy
17 Aug
Annagh
4 : 1
Derriaghy
18 Aug
Strabane Athletic
2 : 1
Derriaghy
30 Sept
Derriaghy
1 : 2
Shankill
19 Aug
Derriaghy
3 : 1
Bourneview Mill
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Ballinamallard -
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PSNI -
Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Islandmagee 6
Cookstown Youth 1
Aquinas 3
Foundry 4
Moneyslane FC -
TBD -
Bangor Swifts 1
Crumlin United 2
Newtowne FC 6
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Broomhedge 1
Ballynahinch Olympic 12
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosemount Rec -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
St Luke's 0
TBD -
Dundonald -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Mossley FC 3
Iveagh Utd 2
Dungiven 5
Lurgan Town Boys -
TBD -
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Desertmartin 3
Armagh -
TBD -
Hanover 0
Dunloy 2
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 2
Sofia Farmer 1
Seapatrick 1
Coagh Utd 6
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
Holywood 1
Newbuildings 2
Banbridge -
TBD -
Dunmurry Y.M. 4
Rathfriland Rangers 5
Ballymoney 2
Rosario Youth 1
Derriaghy 1
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Ardstraw 7
Dromore Amateurs 0
TBD -
Tobermore -
Brantwood 4
Orangefield Old Boys' 2
Saintfield 1
Laurelvale 3
Valley Rangers 3
Tandragee 2
TBD -
Newington FC -
Comber Rec 1
Immaculata 0
Dromara 1
Lisburn Rangers 2
Downshire Y.M. -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness -
Shankill -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor Old Boys -
Wellington Rec -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Institute -
TBD -
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Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
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Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 9
Malachians 2
Lower Maze 2
Trojans 3
Ballynahinch United 3
Groomsport 2
TBD -
Seagoe -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
Woodvale 2
St. Patricks Young 3
Oxford Sunnyside 6
Bryansburn 3
TBD -
Portstewart -
TBD -
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Dergview -
Crumlin Star -
TBD -
Markethill 3
Killyleagh Youth 5
Banbridge Rangers 2
Sirocco 0
Glebe 1
Bangor FC 2
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Kilmore Rec 3
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Crewe -
TBD -
TBD -
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Loughgall -
Newry City -
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Larne -
Ballymena -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa -
TBD -
Chimney 2
Grove 5
Colin Valley 2
Suffolk 1
Silverwood 1
Shorts 8
Fivemiletown 7
Bloomfield 0
Oxford Stars 0
Wakehurst 1
Bangor Amateurs FC 3
Newcastle 2
Tullyvallen Rangers 3
Tullycarnet 4
TBD -
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Portadown -
Linfield -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Crusaders -
1/128-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ards -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Islandmagee 2
Foundry 1
Moneyslane FC 1
Crumlin United 5
Newtowne FC 1
Ballynahinch Olympic 0
Annagh 1
Rosemount Rec 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Dundonald 0
Dunmurry Rec 1
Dungiven 4
Lurgan Town Boys 4
Desertmartin 1
Armagh 0
Dunloy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 4
Coagh Utd 2
Ards Rangers 0
Newbuildings 2
Banbridge 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Ballymoney 1
Strabane Athletic 5
Queens University 4
Dollingstown 3
Ardstraw 3
Tobermore 5
Brantwood 2
Laurelvale 1
Valley Rangers 1
Newington FC 3
Comber Rec 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Downshire Y.M. 0
Drumaness 4
Shankill 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Wellington Rec 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Institute -
TBD -
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Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 3
Trojans 1
Ballynahinch United 3
Seagoe 4
Lurgan Celtic -
St. Patricks Young -
Oxford Sunnyside -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Banbridge Rangers 0
Bangor FC 2
Sport & Leisure 2
Kilmore Rec 1
Moyola 1
Crewe 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Newry City -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Larne -
Ballymena -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Abbey Villa 4
Grove 3
Colin Valley 3
Shorts 4
Fivemiletown 3
Wakehurst 2
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
Tullycarnet 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Linfield -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Islandmagee 3
Crumlin United 1
Newtowne FC 1
Rosemount Rec 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Dungiven 1
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Dunloy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 2
Newbuildings 0
Banbridge 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 6
Tobermore 3
Brantwood 2
Newington FC 3
Comber Rec 2
Drumaness 1
Shankill 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 4
Seagoe 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Portstewart 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 5
Bangor FC 3
Sport & Leisure 0
Crewe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Abbey Villa 3
Shorts 1
Fivemiletown 1
Tullycarnet 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
Islandmagee 1
Rosemount Rec 3
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Dunloy 0
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 4
Newington FC 1
Comber Rec 3
Lisburn Distillery 4
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 1
Portstewart 0
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 2
Crewe 1
TBD -
Loughgall -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Abbey Villa 4
Tullycarnet 3
TBD -
Portadown -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Ballinamallard 5
PSNI 1
Ards 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Glenavon 5
Rosemount Rec 0
Cliftonville 0
Dungannon 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Limavady 0
Knockbreda 1
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 6
Lisburn Distillery 0
Institute 0
Warrenpoint 2
Coleraine 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Maiden City 2
Dergview 3
Crumlin Star 4
Loughgall 1
Newry City 1
Larne 2
Ballymena 3
Dundela 1
Abbey Villa 1
Portadown 5
Linfield 1
Ballyclare 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 4
1/8-finals
Ballinamallard 1
Carrick Rangers 0
Glenavon 0
Dungannon 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Strabane Athletic 1
Queens University 0
Warrenpoint 2
Coleraine 3
Dergview 0
Crumlin Star 1
Larne 3
Ballymena 4
Portadown 1
Linfield 1
Crusaders 2
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 3
Dungannon 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Warrenpoint 3
Coleraine 5
Larne 3
Ballymena 0
Crusaders 3
Semi-finals
Ballinamallard 1
Warrenpoint 0
Coleraine 0
Crusaders 2
Final
Ballinamallard 0
Crusaders 3