Pronostics Sportifs
Résumé du Match
This Liga e Pare encounter between Suhareka and Liria promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Suhareka averages 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Liria shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Suhareka, 3 wins for Liria, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.05.26 ended in a 4:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.50 for Suhareka and 2.13 for Liria, suggesting the primary value lies in the Liria double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- Suhareka a pris plus de points récemment que Liria.
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (1.50 vs 2.13 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les visiteurs.
- Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 65%).
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Suhareka | Liria |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 30 | 31 |
| Victoires | 11 | 20 |
| Nuls | 5 | 5 |
| Défaites | 14 | 6 |
| Buts Marqués | 1.73 | 1.74 |
| Buts Encaissés | 1.77 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
Suhareka
Liria
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
Liria will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Suhareka will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Liria's early runs.
Expect Liria to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Suhareka tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Liria increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Suhareka's defense, opening up opportunities for Liria's forward line.
Expect Liria to manage the closing stages, while Suhareka searches for late drama.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Suhareka have found the net in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Liria have conceded at least one goal in 58% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 5.00 goals per match.
Suhareka remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Liria suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vushtrria | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 62:26 | 75 |
| 2 | Feronikeli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 59:22 | 74 |
| 3 | Liria | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 60:29 | 71 |
| 4 | Dinamo Ferizaj | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 61:39 | 71 |
| 5 | Trepca 89 | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 72:33 | 70 |
| 6 | Vellaznimi | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 58:32 | 70 |
| 7 | Ramiz Sadiku | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 39:29 | 50 |
| 8 | Suhareka | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 60:61 | 44 |
| 9 | Tefik Canga | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:54 | 40 |
| 10 | 2 Korriku | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 52:64 | 39 |
| 11 | Besa Peja | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 39:52 | 35 |
| 12 | Vjosa | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 39:61 | 35 |
| 13 | Trepca Mitrovice | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 49:62 | 34 |
| 14 | Kika | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 25:43 | 33 |
| 15 | Istogu | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Rilindja | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 34:61 | 32 |
| 17 | Kek-U | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 25:63 | 21 |
| 18 | Prizreni | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 28:66 | 20 |