Pronostics Sportifs
Tacoma Defiance vs Sporting Kansas City II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Next Pro Starfire Sports, Tukwila, WA 
Événements du Match
11'
11'
Bronnik M.
Passe D.: Jauregui R.
12'
12'
Robles D.
Passe D.: Bell M.
19'
19'
Gnaulati X.
Passe D.: Jauregui R.
Résumé du Match
The MLS Next Pro game between Tacoma Defiance and Sporting Kansas City II finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tacoma Defiance.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
90%
6%
4%
Projection de nul: 6% Favori: Tacoma Defiance
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
95%
/ Très Élevé de Confiance
- Tacoma Defiance carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Tacoma Defiance a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 85%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Tacoma Defiance have taken 5 of them.
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Plus de 0.5 Buts 98%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 87.5%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 85%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 56.5%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 25%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 76.2%
Tacoma Defiance Match sans Encaisser 15%
Sporting Kansas City II Match sans Encaisser 10%
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | Tacoma Defiance | Sporting Kansas City II |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 29 | 30 |
| Victoires | 15 | 7 |
| Nuls | 0 | 0 |
| Défaites | 14 | 23 |
| Buts Marqués | 1.66 | 1.3 |
| Buts Encaissés | 1.62 | 2.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
25 août 2026 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Sporting Kansas City II
4:0
4 mai 2026 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Tacoma Defiance
2:3
23 avr. 2025 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Tacoma Defiance
1:4
8 juil. 2024 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Sporting Kansas City II
4:3
10 août 2023 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Sporting Kansas City II
3:1
Analyse d'Impact des Joueurs Clés
Joueurs majeurs et implication sur les buts attendus
Tacoma Defiance Comparer
Meilleur Buteur Bronnik M.
1 Buts Meilleur Passeur Robles D.
1 Ast
Moyenne xG / match 1.88
Moyenne xA / match 1.22
Sporting Kansas City II Comparer
Moyenne xG / match 1.42
Moyenne xA / match 0.87
Indice de Momentum SokaPicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Tacoma Defiance 84 / 100
Sporting Kansas City II 10 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Tacoma Defiance Sporting Kansas City II
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Pronostic Principal Tacoma Defiance Win (1)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
Sporting Kansas City II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Tacoma Defiance scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Tacoma Defiance has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tendances de Buts
Tacoma Defiance VS Sporting Kansas City II
2.5 Buts Marqués 1.13
2 Buts Encaissés 2.38
100% Plus de 1.5 75%
100% Plus de 2.5 75%
63% Plus de 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tacoma Defiance
(Home) 20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1 Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2 Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0 Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1 Portland Timbers 2
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0 Sporting Kansas City II
02 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 2 Vancouver Whitecaps 2
27 Jul
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1 Colorado Rapids 2
06 Jul
Tacoma Defiance
0 : 2 Portland Timbers 2
Page 1 of 3
Sporting Kansas City II
(Away) 20 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 3 Sporting Kansas City II
14 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 5 Los Angeles FC 2
06 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2 St. Louis City 2
30 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
5 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0 Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 3 Sporting Kansas City II
30 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
5 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0 Sporting Kansas City II
21 Aug
Los Angeles FC 2
2 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
10 Aug
Austin FC II
1 : 0 Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 49:43 | 48 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 47:42 | 48 |
| 3 | New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 50:44 | 47 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 59:52 | 46 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 58:48 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:56 | 39 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 32:62 | 20 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 67:39 | 58 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 56:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 62:46 | 48 |
| 4 | Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 5 | Orlando City B | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 55:56 | 44 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 50:48 | 39 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 40:53 | 31 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 30:74 | 15 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 37:29 | 57 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 58:36 | 53 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 39:62 | 27 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 54:21 | 65 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 53:33 | 52 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 5 | North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:41 | 40 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 36:75 | 23 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 28:52 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 67:39 | 58 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 56:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 62:46 | 48 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 49:43 | 48 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 47:42 | 48 |
| 6 | New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 50:44 | 47 |
| 7 | CT United FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 59:52 | 46 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 58:48 | 46 |
| 9 | Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Orlando City B | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 55:56 | 44 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:56 | 39 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 50:48 | 39 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 40:53 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 32:62 | 20 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 30:74 | 15 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 54:21 | 65 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 37:29 | 57 |
| 3 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 58:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 53:33 | 52 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 7 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 10 | North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:41 | 40 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 39:62 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 36:75 | 23 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 28:52 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
