Pronostics Sportifs
UD Guia vs Atletico Granadilla
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011 
Résumé du Match
UD Guia enters this Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 63%. UD Guia averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. Atletico Granadilla shows a form average of 0.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for UD Guia, 0 wins for Atletico Granadilla, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 05.01.11 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.17 for UD Guia and 1.38 for Atletico Granadilla, suggesting the primary value lies in the UD Guia double chance or over markets.
Probabilité de Victoire
Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme
Confiance du Modèle
Indicateur de score agrégé
- UD Guia a pris plus de points récemment que Atletico Granadilla.
- Le modèle prévoit une menace offensive supérieure pour les hôtes (1.17 vs 1.38 xG).
- L'historique des confrontations montre un avantage clair pour les locaux.
- Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 56%).
Calculateur de Buts
Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG
Analyse de la Forme Récente
Moyennes par match
| Métrique | UD Guia | Atletico Granadilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matchs Joués | 30 | 30 |
| Victoires | 10 | 2 |
| Nuls | 5 | 7 |
| Défaites | 15 | 21 |
| Buts Marqués | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Buts Encaissés | 1.67 | 2.8 |
H2H
Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés
Profil Tactique
Positionnement & Styles de Contrôle
UD Guia
Atletico Granadilla
Indice de Momentum Sokapicks
Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)
Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive
Pronostics de l'Algorithme
Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux
Détecteur de Value Bet (+EV)
Matchs où les cotes offertes sous-évaluent notre probabilité
Déroulement Attendu
Projections de domination par quarts d'heure
UD Guia is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Atletico Granadilla will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of UD Guia's attacks.
Expect UD Guia to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see UD Guia vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Atletico Granadilla, allowing UD Guia's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from UD Guia, while Atletico Granadilla takes risks to salvage a result.
Heatmaps & Tirs
Superpositions thermiques calculées sur les entrées de zone
Insights Logiques
Tendances détectées automatiquement
UD Guia have found the net in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Atletico Granadilla have conceded at least one goal in 90% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.50 goals per match.
UD Guia remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Atletico Granadilla suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Analyse de Risque
Analyse des facteurs perturbateurs et variables externes
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparateur d'Équipes
Comparaison des données d'équipes
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lanzarote | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 65:30 | 79 |
| 2 | Las Palmas B | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 68:43 | 78 |
| 3 | Tenerife B | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 64:34 | 72 |
| 4 | Atletico Granadilla | 40 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 48:29 | 71 |
| 5 | Villa Santa Brigida | 40 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 62:47 | 63 |
| 6 | CD Marino | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 52:38 | 62 |
| 7 | Corralejo | 40 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 52:39 | 62 |
| 8 | Pajara Playas | 40 | 17 | 6 | 17 | 54:59 | 57 |
| 9 | SD Tenisca | 40 | 17 | 6 | 17 | 48:58 | 57 |
| 10 | Tijarafe | 40 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 54:48 | 56 |
| 11 | Vera CD | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 63:60 | 56 |
| 12 | CD Laguna | 40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 13 | Mensajero | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 62:62 | 50 |
| 14 | AD Huracan | 40 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 45:59 | 49 |
| 15 | Teror | 40 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 53:60 | 49 |
| 16 | Las Zocas | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 42:50 | 47 |
| 17 | Victoria CD | 40 | 14 | 4 | 22 | 36:58 | 46 |
| 18 | Orientacion Maritima | 40 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 45:59 | 45 |
| 19 | San Isidro | 40 | 12 | 8 | 20 | 44:69 | 44 |
| 20 | UD Guia | 40 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 37:47 | 42 |
| 21 | UD Realejos | 40 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 40:84 | 23 |