Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Vado vs Folgore Caratese

Italie Italie

Serie D - Group A
Notre Pronostic

Événements du Match

35' Event
Abonckelet M.
39' Event
Raffini S.
79' Event
Abonckelet M.

Résumé du Match

The Serie D - Group A game between Vado and Folgore Caratese finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vado.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

36%
Vado
44%
Nuls
20%
Folgore Caratese
Projection de nul: 44% Favori: Draw

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

71% / Moyen de Confiance
  • Look at the last few games and Vado come out ahead of Folgore Caratese on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Des défenses solides favorisent une rencontre fermée avec peu de buts.

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 99%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 94%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 25%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 22%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 10%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vado Match sans Encaisser 16%
Folgore Caratese Match sans Encaisser 68%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Vado Folgore Caratese
Matchs Joués 31 30
Victoires 19 15
Nuls 6 11
Défaites 6 4
Buts Marqués 2.63 1.75
Buts Encaissés 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

17 mai 2026 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Folgore Caratese
3:0
18 avr. 2021 Serie D - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Vado
1:2
23 déc. 2020 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Folgore Caratese
0:1
12 avr. 2014 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Folgore Caratese
1:1
1 déc. 2013 Serie D - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Vado
1:2

Analyse d'Impact des Joueurs Clés

Joueurs majeurs et implication sur les buts attendus

Vado Comparer

Meilleur Buteur Abonckelet M.
2 Buts
Meilleur Passeur Raffini S.
1 Ast
Moyenne xG / match 2.02
Moyenne xA / match 1.31

Folgore Caratese Comparer

Moyenne xG / match 1.59
Moyenne xA / match 0.97

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Vado 36 / 100
Folgore Caratese 32 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vado Folgore Caratese

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal FOL Win (2)
Pronostic Secondaire Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
Pronostic BTTS No (NG)
Prono Plus/Moins Under 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Vado found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Vado has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Folgore Caratese conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Tendances de Buts

Vado VS Folgore Caratese
2.63 Buts Marqués 1.75
1.13 Buts Encaissés 1.25
100% Plus de 1.5 88%
88% Plus de 2.5 50%
38% Plus de 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6
Scafatese
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
24 May
Barletta
2 : 1
Vado
17 May
Vado
3 : 0
Folgore Caratese
10 May
Treviso
3 : 3
Vado
Page 1 of 7

Folgore Caratese

(Away)
31 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
25 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 1
Folgore Caratese
17 May
Vado
3 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0
Treviso
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1
Sondrio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Folgore Caratese 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Treviso 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 17)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 18)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 19)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 20)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Grosseto 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Ostiamare 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 21)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 22)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 23)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 24)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 25)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 26)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 27)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 28)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 29)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 30)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 A.C. Savoia 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Winners Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams