Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Vardar vs Riga FC

Europe Europe

Conference League
mer. 22 juil. 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

A one-off knockout match in the Conference League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vardar have averaged 1.43 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Riga FC's 2.5 scored and 0.38 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.91 vs 1.75, favoring Riga FC. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

36%
Vardar
44%
Nuls
20%
Riga FC
Projection de nul: 44% Favori: Draw

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

71% / Moyen de Confiance
  • Vardar haven't matched Riga FC's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Riga FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 33.5%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 15%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 69.8%
Vardar Match sans Encaisser 12%
Riga FC Match sans Encaisser 16%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Vardar Riga FC
Matchs Joués 27 30
Victoires 16 22
Nuls 4 5
Défaites 7 3
Buts Marqués 1.43 2.5
Buts Encaissés 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 2.50
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Vardar 35 / 100
Riga FC 21 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardar Riga FC

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal RIG Win (2)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Attacking prowess: Vardar scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Riga FC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Vardar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Riga FC's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tendances de Buts

Vardar VS Riga FC
1.43 Buts Marqués 2.5
1 Buts Encaissés 0.38
71% Plus de 1.5 88%
43% Plus de 2.5 63%
29% Plus de 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardar

(Home)
14 Jul
KuPS
2 : 3
Vardar
07 Jul
Vardar
0 : 2
KuPS
30 Jun
Virtus
2 : 3
Vardar
27 Jun
La Fiorita
1 : 1
Vardar
23 May
Vardar
3 : 0
Shkendija Tetovo
Page 1 of 6

Riga FC

(Away)
14 Jul
Riga FC
3 : 2
Ararat-Armenia
10 Jul
Leevon PPK
2 : 3
Riga FC
07 Jul
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 0
Riga FC
03 Jul
Riga FC
3 : 0
Jelgava
29 Jun
FK Auda Riga
0 : 2
Riga FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rijeka-
TBD-
TBD-
Derry City-
Lugano-
TBD-
TBD-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
TBD-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Caernarfon0
Levadia10
Varazdin-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
TBD-
Sion-
Motherwell-
TBD-
TBD-
HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
TBD-
Hibernian-
Paks-
TBD-
TBD-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
Vaduz-
TBD-
Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
TBD-
Koper-
Partizan-
TBD-
UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
Basaksehir-
TBD-
FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
HJK-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Glentoran1
RFS4
TBD-
Vestri-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
TBD-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
TBD-
TBD-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
TBD-
TBD-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori3
Virtus2
TBD-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
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TBD-
Brann-
Valur-
TBD-
TBD-
Zrinjski-
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
Dun. Streda-
TBD-
Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
FK Panevezys-
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TBD-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
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Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
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Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
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TBD-
FC Copenhagen-
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
TBD-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
TBD-
CFR Cluj-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Spartak Trnava-
TBD-
TBD-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
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TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
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TBD-
Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
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TBD-
Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
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Sutjeska-
Flora-
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TNS-
Floriana-
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Drita-
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Riga FC-
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Quarter-finals
Rijeka-
Derry City-
Lugano-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
Pyunik Yerevan-
IFK Goteborg-
Levadia-
Varazdin-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
Shkendija Tetovo-
Shelbourne-
Kalju-
Zimbru Chisinau-
Noah-
Aluminij-
Dinamo Tirana-
BATE-
Sion-
Motherwell-
HB Torshavn-
Malisheva-
Hibernian-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians-
FC Ballkani-
Vaduz-
Atletic Escaldes-
NSI Runavik-
Koper-
Partizan-
UNA Strassen-
Basaksehir-
Inter Turku-
HJK-
Coleraine-
RFS-
Vestri-
FK Liepaja-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
Brann-
Valur-
Zrinjski-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Zalgiris-
Dun. Streda-
Velez Mostar-
Stjarnan-
Ilves-
FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
Din. Minsk-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
FC Santa Coloma-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert-
CFR Cluj-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Zira FK-
Spartak Trnava-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TNS-
Floriana-
Drita-
Vardar-
Riga FC-
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