Pronostics Sportifs

Stadium Background

Worcester vs Holbeach

Angleterre Angleterre

FA Cup 2015/2016
Notre Pronostic

Résumé du Match

Worcester in this FA Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Probabilité de Victoire

Généré à partir de 10 000 simulations selon l'avantage à domicile et la forme

60%
Worcester
22%
Nuls
18%
Holbeach
Projection de nul: 22% Favori: Worcester

Confiance du Modèle

Indicateur de score agrégé

82% / Très Élevé de Confiance
  • Form's been kind to Worcester lately — more wins on the board than Holbeach.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Worcester taking it.
  • Worcester have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Worcester, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Des taux de conversion élevés laissent présager un match prolifique (Probabilité d'Over 2.5: 78%).

Calculateur de Buts

Les estimations de buts basées sur l'historique xG

Plus de 0.5 Buts 92%
Plus de 1.5 Buts 82%
Plus de 2.5 Buts 78%
Plus de 3.5 Buts 19%
Plus de 4.5 Buts 9%
Les Deux Équipes Marquent (BTTS) 71.8%
Worcester Match sans Encaisser 20%
Holbeach Match sans Encaisser 10%

Analyse de la Forme Récente

Moyennes par match

Métrique Worcester Holbeach
Matchs Joués 31 9
Victoires 12 2
Nuls 10 2
Défaites 9 5
Buts Marqués 1.13 1.56
Buts Encaissés 0.9 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Encaissés (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taux de réussite historiques dans les principaux marchés

29 sept. 2015 FA Cup
Worcester vs Holbeach
2:0
26 sept. 2015 FA Cup
Holbeach vs Worcester
1:1

Indice de Momentum SokaPicks

Indice actuel de performance intégrant la fatigue et l'adversaire (0-100)

Worcester 58 / 100
Holbeach 18 / 100
Comment c'est calculé : Formule pondérée basée sur la forme (60%), l'écart de buts (20%), le terrain (10%) et les absences (10%).

Indice de Capacité Offensive & Défensive

ATTAQUE DÉFENSE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Worcester Holbeach

Pronostics de l'Algorithme

Probabilités de scores et marchés principaux

Pronostic Principal Worcester Win (1)
Pronostic Secondaire Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Pronostic BTTS Yes (GG)
Prono Plus/Moins Over 2.5

Insights Logiques

Tendances détectées automatiquement

Defensive concern: Holbeach conceded in 89% of 9 recent games.

Worcester found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Worcester stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tendances de Buts

Worcester VS -
1.5 Buts Marqués 0
1.38 Buts Encaissés 0
63% Plus de 1.5 0%
50% Plus de 2.5 0%
38% Plus de 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Worcester

(Home)
08 Sept
Worcester
1 : 0
Knowle
05 Sept
Knowle
1 : 1
Worcester
31 Aug
Worcester
0 : 1
Bromsgrove
29 Aug
Leamington
1 : 1
Worcester
22 Aug
Worcester
1 : 0
Stamford
Page 1 of 7

Holbeach

(Away)
02 Sept
Grantham Town
2 : 1
Holbeach
03 Sept
Dereham
2 : 1
Holbeach
29 Sept
Worcester
2 : 0
Holbeach
26 Sept
Holbeach
1 : 1
Worcester
15 Sept
Stourport
0 : 1
Holbeach
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Oadby Town 1
Holbeach 3
Stourport 2
TBD -
Worcester -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County -
Stamford 3
Leamington 2
Newcastle Town 4
Coleshill Town 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Droylsden 2
Ossett Albion 1
Padiham 0
Lancaster 2
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Marine 2
Clitheroe 0
Runcorn Linnets 0
Washington 1
Hyde 3
Darlington FC 1
AFC Blackpool 0
Northwich Victoria 4
Whitley Bay 4
Matlock 3
Roofing 3
FC Congleton Town 4
Frickley 2
Maltby 0
TBD -
Chorley -
Harrogate -
TBD -
Colwyn Bay 0
Workington 5
Spennymoor 2
Blyth Spartans 1
Alsager 0
Burscough 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby -
Barwell 4
Westfields 1
Leighton Town 2
Cogenhoe 3
FC Witham Town 2
Thurrock 1
Wroxham 1
King’s Lynn 4
Ashton United 3
FC Guisborough Town 2
Thackley 2
Abbey Hey 3
Deeping Rangers 6
Leek Town 4
Bedfont & Feltham 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Salford 6
Whitby 1
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Consett 3
Colne 1
TBD -
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Sporting Khalsa 3
Wulfrunians 2
Long Eaton 0
Basford Utd. 1
Coalville Town 2
Stratford 0
Nantwich 0
Spalding United 1
United of Manchester -
TBD -
Farsley 1
Witton Albion 2
Armthorpe Welfare 4
AFC Liverpool 3
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Buxton 2
Chasetown 3
Grantham Town 0
Redditch 1
Hinckley 2
Kendal 5
Dunston 2
TBD -
Stalybridge -
Nuneaton -
TBD -
Mickleover 1
Halesowen 2
Newton Aycliffe 2
Brighouse Town 0
TBD -
North Ferriby United -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Guiseley -
Tranmere -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Stourbridge 1
Tividale 0
Belper Town 1
Dunkirk 3
Corby -
TBD -
Shepshed 1
Rushall 4
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Macclesfield -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford -
TBD -
Holwell 2
Bedworth United 4
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
Alfreton -
Brackley -
TBD -
Farnham 1
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Lincoln Utd. 2
Clipstone 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2
Rugby 3
Kettering 5
Market Drayton 0
TBD -
Telford -
Skelmersdale 3
Glossop North End 2
Goole 4
Bamber Bridge 6
Altrincham -
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Chester -
Whitehawk -
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond 0
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Bideford 3
Hamworthy United 1
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Hastings 1
Thatcham 0
Rochester United 1
Herne Bay 3
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
Barnstaple Town 0
Poole Town 1
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine 0
Winchester City 4
Wimborne 3
Witheridge 2
Cheltenham Saracens 1
Blackfield & Langley 2
TBD -
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Woking -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers 0
Slough Town 1
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
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Chelmsford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Grays 5
Biggleswade United 0
Basildon 0
Hullbridge 1
Mildenhall 1
North Greenford Utd. 0
Saffron 0
Hanwell Town 1
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TBD -
Welling -
Boreham Wood -
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TBD -
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Worthing FC 2
Thamesmead 1
Tilbury 3
Neots 6
Phoenix Sports 2
Lewes 0
Cambridge City 1
Hornchurch 2
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Brantham 1
Biggleswade Town 2
Portchester 3
Bristol Manor Farm 0
Mangotsfield 0
Brockenhurst 3
Oxford City -
TBD -
Bracknell Town 3
Shortwood 4
Lowestoft -
TBD -
Merstham 1
Bognor Regis 2
Didcot 5
VCD Athletic 4
Harrow Borough 0
Northwood 1
Chatham 1
Cray Wanderers 0
Shoreham 2
Eastbourne Town 3
Hoddesdon 3
Ashford Town 1
Metropolitan Police 0
Sittingbourne 1
Croydon FC 1
Molesey 0
Arlesey 0
Brentwood 2
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Hendon 1
Sudbury 3
Merthyr Town 2
Plymouth Parkway 0
Fleet Town 1
Hartley Wintney 5
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Chesham 2
Aylesbury Vale 1
Cinderford Town 1
Paulton Rovers 2
Slimbridge 3
Greenwich Borough 2
Chessington & Hook 2
North Leigh 3
Hitchin 5
Peterborough Sports 3
Beaconsfield Town 1
Kirkley & Pakefield 2
Ipswich Wanderers 1
Canvey Island 0
Billericay 1
Enfield Town 3
Staines 5
Faversham 3
Needham Market 1
Stanway Rovers 4
Carshalton 2
Pagham 1
Yaxley 1
East Thurrock Utd 3
Leiston 1
AFC Dunstable 0
Folkestone 2
Tonbridge 3
Kidlington 1
Godalming Town 0
TBD -
Gloucester City -
Aldershot -
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Hemel Hempstead -
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Cockfosters 1
Bury Town 2
Stortford -
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Sutton -
Bromley -
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Eastleigh -
Margate -
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Haringey Borough 0
Potters 3
Taunton Town 3
Tuffley Rovers 0
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Truro -
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Forest Green -
Braintree -
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Harlow 5
Bedford 1
Welwyn Garden 0
St Ives Town 1
Bodmin Town 2
Almondsbury UWE 0
TBD -
Bath City -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
Bridport 2
Larkhall 5
Horsham YMCA 2
Burgess Hill 1
Histon 1
Aveley 5
TBD -
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Cheltenham -
Chippenham Town 1
Frome Town 0
Hungerford 1
Bradford Town 3
Dartford -
TBD -
Heybridge 1
Uxbridge 3
Dunstable Town 2
Barton 1
Farnborough 3
Kingstonian 4
South Park 4
Leatherhead 2
TBD -
Maidstone -
St. Albans -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 1
Deal Town 3
Cirencester 4
Dorchester 2
Weymouth 1
Petersfield 3
Wingate & Finchley 4
Long Buckby 0
TBD -
Concord Rangers -
Hook Norton 1
Eastbourne United 0
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Quarter-finals
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors 3
Oadby Town 1
Holbeach 1
Worcester 3
AFC Fylde 1
Stockport County 0
Stamford 0
Coleshill Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Droylsden 2
Lancaster 0
Boston United 0
Gainsborough 2
Marine 6
Washington 5
Hyde 1
Northwich Victoria 2
Whitley Bay 2
FC Congleton Town 1
Frickley 0
Chorley 2
Harrogate 1
Workington 0
Spennymoor 0
Burscough 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby -
Barwell 5
Cogenhoe 0
FC Witham Town 0
King’s Lynn 1
Ashton United 5
Abbey Hey 0
Deeping Rangers 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Salford 2
Curzon Ashton 1
Consett 1
Bradford PA 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Sporting Khalsa 3
Basford Utd. 2
Coalville Town 0
Spalding United 3
United of Manchester 3
Witton Albion 1
Armthorpe Welfare 1
Buxton 6
Chasetown 5
Hinckley 2
Kendal 2
Stalybridge 3
Nuneaton 2
Halesowen 0
Newton Aycliffe 0
North Ferriby United 3
Halifax -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Tranmere -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Stourbridge 3
Dunkirk 1
Corby 2
Rushall 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Macclesfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford 2
Bedworth United 0
Tamworth 2
Alfreton 3
Brackley 3
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Lincoln Utd. 2
Rugby 3
Kettering 2
Telford 1
Skelmersdale 0
Bamber Bridge 2
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Whitehawk 4
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Bideford 0
Gosport Borough 7
Hastings 4
Herne Bay 3
Hayes & Yeading 2
Poole Town 3
Maidenhead 5
Winchester City 3
Wimborne 1
Blackfield & Langley 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Basingstoke 4
Slough Town 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Chelmsford 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Grays 6
Hullbridge 0
Mildenhall 0
Hanwell Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC 4
Neots 3
Phoenix Sports 3
Hornchurch 5
Wealdstone 3
Biggleswade Town 1
Portchester 0
Brockenhurst 1
Oxford City 3
Shortwood 1
Lowestoft 1
Bognor Regis 2
Didcot 2
Northwood 1
Chatham 1
Eastbourne Town 2
Hoddesdon 2
Sittingbourne 1
Croydon FC 1
Brentwood 3
Eastbourne Borough 2
Sudbury 1
Merthyr Town 0
Hartley Wintney 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Chesham 2
Paulton Rovers 0
Slimbridge 1
North Leigh 4
Hitchin 2
Kirkley & Pakefield 0
Ipswich Wanderers 0
Enfield Town 1
Staines 1
Stanway Rovers 0
Carshalton 0
East Thurrock Utd 5
Leiston 3
Tonbridge 1
Kidlington 2
Gloucester City 4
Aldershot -
TBD -
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TBD -
Hemel Hempstead 3
Bury Town 0
Stortford 0
Sutton 2
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Margate 5
Potters 1
Taunton Town 3
Truro 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harlow 3
St Ives Town 0
Bodmin Town 1
Bath City 2
Havant & Waterlooville 5
Larkhall 3
Horsham YMCA 3
Aveley 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheltenham -
Chippenham Town 3
Bradford Town 2
Dartford 0
Uxbridge 1
Dunstable Town 2
Kingstonian 0
South Park 2
Maidstone 6
St. Albans 2
Deal Town 1
Cirencester 1
Petersfield 3
Wingate & Finchley 2
Concord Rangers 1
Hook Norton 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Semi-finals
Gateshead -
TBD -
Solihull Moors 1
Worcester 2
AFC Fylde 9
Coleshill Town 0
TBD -
Barrow -
Wrexham -
TBD -
Droylsden 3
Gainsborough 4
Marine 2
Northwich Victoria 4
Whitley Bay 2
Chorley 3
Harrogate 3
Burscough 0
TBD -
Grimsby -
Barwell 1
King’s Lynn 0
Ashton United 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Salford 2
Bradford PA 1
TBD -
Southport -
Sporting Khalsa 3
Spalding United 2
United of Manchester 3
Buxton 1
Chasetown 1
Stalybridge 3
Nuneaton 1
North Ferriby United 2
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Tranmere -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Stourbridge 1
Rushall 0
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Macclesfield -
TBD -
Hednesford 2
Alfreton 4
Brackley 3
Rugby 1
Kettering 3
Bamber Bridge 4
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Whitehawk 4
Gosport Borough 3
Hastings 0
Poole Town 2
Maidenhead 1
Blackfield & Langley 0
TBD -
Woking -
Basingstoke 4
Chelmsford 2
TBD -
Torquay -
Grays 2
Hanwell Town 1
TBD -
Welling -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
Worthing FC 1
Hornchurch 4
Wealdstone 5
Brockenhurst 1
Oxford City 2
Bognor Regis 4
Didcot 4
Eastbourne Town 1
Hoddesdon 1
Brentwood 2
Eastbourne Borough 3
Hartley Wintney 2
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Chesham 2
North Leigh 0
Hitchin 1
Enfield Town 2
Staines 6
East Thurrock Utd 3
Leiston 1
Gloucester City 3
Aldershot -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead 2
Sutton 3
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Margate 4
Truro 1
TBD -
Forest Green -
Braintree -
TBD -
Harlow 4
Bath City 3
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Aveley 0
TBD -
Cheltenham -
Chippenham Town 3
Uxbridge 0
Dunstable Town 0
Maidstone 2
St. Albans 1
Petersfield 0
Wingate & Finchley 1
Weston-super-Mare 3
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Gateshead 1
Worcester 2
AFC Fylde 1
Barrow 0
Wrexham 0
Gainsborough 1
Northwich Victoria 2
Chorley 1
Harrogate 1
Grimsby 4
Barwell 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Salford 1
Southport 0
Sporting Khalsa 1
United of Manchester 3
Stalybridge 2
North Ferriby United 1
Halifax 4
Guiseley 3
Tranmere 0
Lincoln City 2
Stourbridge 3
Kidderminster 0
Macclesfield 3
Alfreton 2
Brackley 3
Bamber Bridge 0
Altrincham 1
Chester 0
Whitehawk 2
Poole Town 0
Maidenhead 3
Woking 0
Basingstoke 3
Torquay 0
Grays 1
Welling 5
Boreham Wood 2
Hornchurch 1
Wealdstone 2
Bognor Regis 1
Didcot 4
Brentwood 2
Eastbourne Borough 1
Dover Ath. 2
Chesham 2
Enfield Town 1
Staines 2
Gloucester City 1
Aldershot 1
Sutton 0
Bromley 1
Eastleigh 2
Margate 1
Forest Green 2
Braintree 2
Harlow 0
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Cheltenham 4
Chippenham Town 0
Maidstone 2
St. Albans 2
Weston-super-Mare 1