Sport Tippek

Stadium Background

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Anglia Anglia

FA Cup Stadium MK, Milton Keynes
2026. nov. 7., Szo
VS
du. 03:00
Mi tippünk

Meccs Összegzés

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Swindon have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while Milton Keynes Dons have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.82. Past meetings favor Milton Keynes Dons slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 2026. márc. 14., ending 1:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.06) point toward Milton Keynes Dons. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Győzelmi Esélyek

10 000 szimuláció alapján, a hazai pálya és forma figyelembevételével

60%
Milton Keynes Dons
22%
Döntetlenek
18%
Swindon
Döntetlen valószínűség: 22% Favorit: Milton Keynes Dons

Modell Magabiztosság

Aggregált indikátor pontszám

82% / Nagyon Magas Magabiztosság
  • Swindon haven't matched Milton Keynes Dons's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Milton Keynes Dons's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Milton Keynes Dons have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Milton Keynes Dons, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • A jó befejezések gólgazdag meccsre utalnak (Over 2.5 valószínűség: 78%).

Gólvalószínűség

Gólpiacok becslése xG átalakítási előzmények alapján

Over 0.5 Gól 92%
Over 1.5 Gól 82%
Over 2.5 Gól 78%
Over 3.5 Gól 38%
Over 4.5 Gól 17%
Mindkét csapat betalál (BTTS) 74.2%
Milton Keynes Dons Kapott gól nélkül 20%
Swindon Kapott gól nélkül 10%

Csapatform Elemzés

Meccsenkénti átlagok

Statisztika Milton Keynes Dons Swindon
Meccsek 28 29
Győzelmek 11 10
Döntetlenek 10 5
Vereségek 7 14
Lőtt Gólok 1.82 1.24
Kapott Gólok 1.29 1.62
Várható Gólok (xG) 2.06 1.06
Várható Kapott Gólok (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historikus sikerességi arányok a fő piacokon

2026. márc. 14. League Two
Swindon vs Milton Keynes Dons
1:2
2025. dec. 26. League Two
Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon
1:0
2025. nov. 11. EFL Trophy
Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon
0:4
2025. máj. 3. League Two
Swindon vs Milton Keynes Dons
0:0
2024. nov. 9. League Two
Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Aktuális teljesítményindex fáradtság & ellenfél szerint (0-100)

Milton Keynes Dons 58 / 100
Swindon 18 / 100
Hogyan számítjuk: Súlyozott képlet a formából (60%), gólkülönbségből (20%), pályaválasztásból (10%) és hiányzókból (10%).

Támadási & Védekezési Hatékonyság

TÁMADÁS VÉDEKEZÉS BIRTOKLÁS Fegyelem
Milton Keynes Dons Swindon

Predikciós Panel

Szimulált eredménygyakoriságok

Elsődleges Tipp Milton Keynes Dons Win (1)
Másodlagos Tipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Tipp Yes (GG)
Over/Under Vélemény Over 2.5

Smart Insights

A rendszer által észlelt egyedi minták

Swindon has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Milton Keynes Dons's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Milton Keynes Dons stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Gólszerzési trendek

Milton Keynes Dons VS Swindon
3.13 Lőtt gólok 0.63
1.5 Kapott gólok 1
88% Felett 1.5 50%
75% Felett 2.5 13%
63% Felett 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Milton Keynes Dons

(Home)
31 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
6 : 1
Doncaster
27 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1
Bromley
24 Oct
Stevenage
0 : 1
Milton Keynes Dons
20 Oct
Blackpool
2 : 0
Milton Keynes Dons
17 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 1
Luton
Page 1 of 6

Swindon

(Away)
31 Oct
Swindon
2 : 1
Rotherham
24 Oct
Bristol Rovers
0 : 0
Swindon
20 Oct
Barnet
1 : 3
Swindon
17 Oct
Swindon
1 : 1
Walsall
10 Oct
Swindon
0 : 1
Crewe
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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Oldham -
Sheffield Wed -
Kidderminster -
Doncaster -
Leyton Orient -
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Accrington -
Wycombe -
Milton Keynes Dons -
Swindon -
Newport -
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Bromley -
Rotherham -
Barnet -
Tranmere -
Fleetwood Town -
Rochdale -
Barnsley -
Aldershot -
Plymouth Parkway -
Berkhamsted Town -
Chesterfield -
Yeovil -
Gillingham -
Barrow -
Harrogate -
AFC Fylde -
Crewe -
AFC Wimbledon -
Oxford Utd -
Stevenage -
Burton -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Cray Wanderers -
Stockport County -
Port Vale -
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Halifax -
Colchester -
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Eastleigh -
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Blackpool -
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