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Stadium Background

Aberystwyth vs Caerau Ely - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Sab, 10 Okt 2026
VS
01.30 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Aberystwyth host Caerau Ely in the Cymru South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Aberystwyth have averaged 1.59 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Caerau Ely's 2.43 scored and 1.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Aberystwyth have won 0 to Caerau Ely's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on 1 Mar 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (2.81 xG vs 1.63) point toward Caerau Ely. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

40%
Aberystwyth
33%
Seri
27%
Caerau Ely
Proyeksi hasil seri: 33% Unggulan: Aberystwyth

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

70% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Caerau Ely lately — more wins on the board than Aberystwyth.
  • Model gives Aberystwyth a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 98%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 87.5%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 69%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 31%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71.8%
Aberystwyth Tanpa Kebobolan 14%
Caerau Ely Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Aberystwyth Caerau Ely
Main 29 35
Menang 14 20
Seri 4 7
Kalah 11 8
Gol Masuk 1.59 2.43
Gol Kemasukan 1.31 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.63
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

1 Mar 2026 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Caerau Ely
0:4
20 Des 2025 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Aberystwyth
1:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Aberystwyth 39 / 100
Caerau Ely 26 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Aberystwyth Caerau Ely

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Aberystwyth Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Recent resilience: Aberystwyth stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Aberystwyth's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Caerau Ely let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Tren Skor

Aberystwyth VS Caerau Ely
2.75 Gol Dicetak 2.25
1 Gol Kebobolan 2.88
75% Atas 1.5 100%
75% Atas 2.5 88%
63% Atas 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberystwyth

(Home)
03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3
Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
12 Sept
Caerphilly
2 : 3
Aberystwyth
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
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Caerau Ely

(Away)
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1
Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 8 6 2 0 25:6 20
2 Aberystwyth 8 6 1 1 22:8 19
3 Pontypridd United 8 5 1 2 19:15 16
4 Caerau Ely 9 5 1 3 21:18 16
5 Baglan Dragons 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
6 Carmarthen Town 9 4 2 3 20:19 14
7 Ynyshir Albions 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
8 Treowen 9 4 1 4 18:18 13
9 Afan Lido 10 3 2 5 13:17 11
10 Trethomas Bluebirds 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Pontardawe 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
12 Newport City 7 2 2 3 10:6 8
13 Cardiff Draconians 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
14 Caerphilly 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
15 Llantwit Major 7 2 1 4 6:16 7
16 Llanelli 10 0 2 8 7:27 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)