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Alaves vs Atl. Madrid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spanyol Spanyol

LaLiga Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Sab, 10 Okt 2026
VS
02.15 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Alaves host Atl. Madrid in the LaLiga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Alaves have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Atl. Madrid's 1.79 scored and 1.59 conceded. Past meetings favor Atl. Madrid slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 18 Jan 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.19, favoring Alaves. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Alaves
44%
Seri
20%
Atl. Madrid
Proyeksi hasil seri: 44% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

71% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Atl. Madrid carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 98%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 87.5%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 77%
Alaves Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Atl. Madrid Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Alaves Atl. Madrid
Main 29 29
Menang 12 13
Seri 8 2
Kalah 9 14
Gol Masuk 1.66 1.79
Gol Kemasukan 1.45 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

18 Jan 2026 LaLiga
Atl. Madrid vs Alaves
1:0
30 Agu 2025 LaLiga
Alaves vs Atl. Madrid
1:1
3 Mei 2025 LaLiga
Alaves vs Atl. Madrid
0:0
23 Nov 2024 LaLiga
Atl. Madrid vs Alaves
2:1
21 Apr 2024 LaLiga
Alaves vs Atl. Madrid
2:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Alaves 36 / 100
Atl. Madrid 20 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Alaves Atl. Madrid

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Atl. Madrid Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Alaves found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Atl. Madrid let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Alaves stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Alaves VS Atl. Madrid
2 Gol Dicetak 1.5
0.88 Gol Kebobolan 1.75
75% Atas 1.5 100%
63% Atas 2.5 88%
13% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves

(Home)
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
06 Sept
Alaves
5 : 2
Osasuna
28 Aug
Alaves
1 : 0
Villarreal
20 Aug
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1
Alaves
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Atl. Madrid

(Away)
16 Sept
Atl. Madrid
4 : 0
Osasuna
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3
Atl. Madrid
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1
Atl. Madrid
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0
Atl. Madrid
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3
Atl. Madrid
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 6 6 0 0 28:6 18
2 Real Madrid 6 5 0 1 17:6 15
3 Atl. Madrid 6 4 1 1 14:6 13
4 Sevilla 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Betis 5 4 0 1 7:6 12
6 Alaves 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
7 Dep. A Coruna 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
8 Espanyol 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
9 Ath Bilbao 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Racing Santander 6 2 1 3 11:16 7
11 Rayo Vallecano 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
12 Real Sociedad 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
13 Osasuna 6 2 1 3 5:12 7
14 Levante 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
15 Getafe 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
16 Celta Vigo 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
17 Valencia 6 1 1 4 2:10 4
18 Malaga 5 0 3 2 2:8 3
19 Villarreal 5 0 2 3 7:10 2
20 Elche 6 0 2 4 8:16 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)