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Alverca vs Arouca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo
Sab, 24 Okt 2026
VS
05.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Alverca host Arouca in the Liga Portugal. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Alverca at 1.15 goals for, 1.19 against; Arouca at 1.45 for, 1.17 against. Past meetings favor Alverca slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 24 Apr 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.31) point toward Arouca. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

40%
Alverca
33%
Seri
27%
Arouca
Proyeksi hasil seri: 33% Unggulan: Alverca

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

70% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Arouca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alverca are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 73%
Alverca Tanpa Kebobolan 18%
Arouca Tanpa Kebobolan 14%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Alverca Arouca
Main 27 29
Menang 9 13
Seri 9 5
Kalah 9 11
Gol Masuk 1.15 1.45
Gol Kemasukan 1.19 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

24 Apr 2026 Liga Portugal
Alverca vs Arouca
2:1
14 Des 2025 Liga Portugal
Arouca vs Alverca
1:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Alverca 40 / 100
Arouca 27 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Alverca Arouca

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Alverca Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Alverca's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Arouca let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Alverca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tren Skor

Alverca VS Arouca
1.13 Gol Dicetak 1.25
1.38 Gol Kebobolan 1
75% Atas 1.5 75%
50% Atas 2.5 50%
38% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca

(Home)
19 Sept
Alverca
1 : 0
Rio Ave
12 Sept
Nacional
1 : 3
Alverca
05 Sept
Alverca
1 : 2
Braga
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1
Santa Clara
22 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 1
Alverca
Page 1 of 6

Arouca

(Away)
19 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 2
Arouca
13 Sept
Arouca
1 : 2
Santa Clara
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0
Arouca
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1
Maritimo
23 Aug
FC Porto
2 : 0
Arouca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto 7 7 0 0 18:3 21
2 Sporting CP 8 5 3 0 20:9 18
3 Benfica 7 5 1 1 22:7 16
4 Santa Clara 7 4 3 0 11:4 15
5 Arouca 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
6 Gil Vicente 7 3 2 2 6:5 11
7 Braga 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
8 Academico Viseu 7 3 2 2 9:9 11
9 Estrela da Amadora 7 2 4 1 14:14 10
10 Alverca 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
11 Maritimo 7 2 2 3 8:12 8
12 Moreirense 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
13 Famalicao 7 1 4 2 9:7 7
14 Vitoria Guimaraes 7 1 2 4 5:8 5
15 Nacional 7 1 1 5 7:15 4
16 Rio Ave 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
17 Casa Pia 7 1 1 5 3:16 4
18 Estoril 7 0 2 5 3:10 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)